SnoJoe Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 This is starting to look eerily similar to the Dec. 8 storm last year. I got about 10 from the low and another 2 from flow that night. Some of you guys to my SW got over a foot. I'll take that in a heartbeat. That was a nice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Just now, BlueRidgeFolklore said: I use 'tiebreaker' loosely. Better wording would likely be if the Euro looks good, do we toss the NAM for now? Yes. But don't toss the idea of the warm nose being stronger than modeled in the globals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, SnoJoe said: This is starting to look eerily similar to the Dec. 8 storm last year. I got about 10 from the low and another 2 from flow that night. Some of you guys to my SW got over a foot. I'll take that in a heartbeat. That was a nice storm. We got right at a foot here.... but this is a totally different setup. Looking at a lot of slop down this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 4 minutes ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said: I use 'tiebreaker' loosely. Better wording would likely be if the Euro looks good, do we toss the NAM for now? Most likely since its towards the end of its run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 City of Asheville going with a brave graphic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 UKMET with the save. Its still a high performing model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 As long as I’ve been on this board some people hug each model run. Here’s a friendly psa. Watch trends not individual model runs. No reason to cliff dive now. As far N FB river valley goes after living there for 11 years I will be stunned if their is freezing rain issues or major dry slotting. Not saying it won’t happen but I think it’s unlikely. Take a breath, the chase is part of the fun! . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Time to go grab some coffee and strap in for the Euro. Cheers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 When does the euro run next? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, Rainforrest said: When does the euro run next? Now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 KAVL GEFS plumes down to 15.17 mean, but 2.33 QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Euro coming in colder at 850 compared to 12z run yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Just now, franklin NCwx said: Euro coming in colder at 850 compared to 12z run yesterday Yeah, the 850s at 72hrs look good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Sensing another tent-pitcher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 7 minutes ago, BretWheatley said: Sensing another tent-pitcher. Especially for Boone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 20 inches here per Euro. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Bloop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Upped my forecast to 12-16 inches for Boone with some wiggle room on the higher amounts. I'm ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 13 minutes ago, BretWheatley said: Bloop. Southern escarpment looks golden Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 That was a great Euro run for my area too. I like the progressions of the simulated radar and r/s/ip line too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 19 minutes ago, BretWheatley said: Bloop. Is it still snowing at hr 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 27 inches on the Euro for me. Jesus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Going to book a hotel room tonight -- Staying the night Saturday at my gf's house in Greenville (to see Hamilton, I wonder if it'll be canceled) and heading north first thing in the morning. Would y'all say Hendersonville, Asheville, or somewhere else that's relatively easy to get out of? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 20 inches here per Euro. Wow. Still looking good man! What town you in? . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 9 minutes ago, chapelhillwx said: Going to book a hotel room tonight -- Staying the night Saturday at my gf's house in Greenville (to see Hamilton, I wonder if it'll be canceled) and heading north first thing in the morning. Would y'all say Hendersonville, Asheville, or somewhere else that's relatively easy to get out of? I'd say somewhere between the 2. Fletcher or Skyland, maybe somewhere around the airport. I say that only because Asheville proper can sometimes be prone to getting snowholed if warmer air travels down the FB River Valley from the NW. Honestly, if you can find an AirBNB around Bearwallow Mountain. I think that will be the SweetSpot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 the "dry" GFS 12z ensembles still have 16 inches for Boone, quite a stepdown from 6z, but I'm not putting much stock in the drier runs or the NAM especially after the Euro. Now if the 18z Nam or GFS show drier runs again, then I'll be a bit more concerned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 19 minutes ago, Rainforrest said: Southern escarpment looks golden The escarpment in general is looking great. I say in terms of inhabited areas (not Mt. Pisgah, or Mitchell), high elevations along the escarpment are going to see a boat load. Highlands, Sapphire, Balsam Grove, Bearwallow Mtn, and obviously going up into the Spruce Pine and Blowing Rock areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 23 minutes ago, strongwxnc said: Still looking good man! What town you in? . NE of Marion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 Well, I'm hyped again. WSW's probably won't be posted until tomorrow AM, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted December 6, 2018 Share Posted December 6, 2018 25 minutes ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said: The escarpment in general is looking great. I say in terms of inhabited areas (not Mt. Pisgah, or Mitchell), high elevations along the escarpment are going to see a boat load. Highlands, Sapphire, Balsam Grove, Bearwallow Mtn, and obviously going up into the Spruce Pine and Blowing Rock areas. Don’t forget Lake Toxaway. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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