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2018/2019 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread


Tyler Penland

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5 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said:

One thing to note. On the GEFS, the mean snowfall has yet to go down since the whole storm is in picture, the average has climbed every single run...

I keep waiting for something to fall through, but again, haven't seen this many models consecutively showing this. Wild. 

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18 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said:

One thing to note. On the GEFS, the mean snowfall has yet to go down since the whole storm is in picture, the average has climbed every single run...

This usually happens in storms like this.  This storm setup is a classic for heavy mountain snow.  The temp will be just right and the snow will be heavy and wet. A lot like last years storm. I'm hoping I'm back by this weekend to enjoy it with everyone. Iv been paying close attention to the models and the forum. Great job fellas.

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1 minute ago, BretWheatley said:

The Euro map just posted in the main forum. Holy hell. 

This is crazy. I keep on thinking these totals are going to start to be cut down and they do the opposite. Over 3' in spots of the mountains. Widespread 2'+ in all of the mountains.

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Model porn will keep you up at night! You fellas might want to pump the brakes a bit on the 2'-3' solutions. Not saying it won't happen or can't. I just would caution against verbatim model hugging. No matter what happens this is shaping up for many areas to cash with 12"+ totals which is amazing in it's own right! Exciting times in this thread for the next couple of days. Enjoy the ride folks!

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6 minutes ago, Inthepines said:

Good luck in Asheville! Just moved back to DC this summer.  Honestly, I'm not a fan of Asheville when it comes to snow (the upslope snow is def fun though)... too many variables to work out to get it right, but if any are going to produce there this would appear to be the one.

Euro Master gave them 41.9"...

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10 minutes ago, cold air aloft said:

I'm really curious about this afternoon's discussion from GSP.  Obviously they don't want to create a panic when the potential event is still several days away and of course the models will change. But holy smokes, if anything close to what the models are saying verifies, folks need to be prepared.

They're going to have to cave at some point. It won't be today or even tomorrow, but nearly every model consensus is pointing at a big storm in WNC.

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5 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

I will definitely be back fellas! Looking forward to getting into the game. I would hedge on the side of caution just because we are several days out. This does look "historical" but we have all see small changes and adjustments to the tracks of lows that make a big difference in snow totals.  

Well I know the entire sub forum will be glad to have you back for this one.

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6 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

I will definitely be back fellas! Looking forward to getting into the game. I would hedge on the side of caution just because we are several days out. This does look "historical" but we have all see small changes and adjustments to the tracks of lows that make a big difference in snow totals.  

I just got to thinking that a winter storm thread just doesn't seem right without Met.

Welcome back!

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