Met1985 Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 56 minutes ago, landof2rivers said: We had no ice this morning off of Russ Cornett and Poplar Grove at 4000 ft. Went down Russ Cornett to Winklers Creek to go into Boone and was shocked by the amount of ice on the trees. CAD ftw. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Event Map 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted November 25, 2018 Author Share Posted November 25, 2018 NAM with some decent upslope for a little bit om Monday/Monday night. Higher elevations might do ok. Sent from my SM-G960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 NAM showing a pretty decent NWF fetch for tomorrow evening. Should be fun for the higher elevations.. winds even suggest some flurries around Asheville. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 3km NAM hammers the higher elevations again this run. Even shows 4” in Boone, but doubtful that will verify. I think a widespread 1”-3” is possible above 3500’ along the apps. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 6 minutes ago, Hvward said: 3km NAM hammers the higher elevations again this run. Even shows 4” in Boone, but doubtful that will verify. I think a widespread 1”-3” is possible above 3500’ along the apps. I'll take my 1-3" and be happy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 15 minutes ago, Hvward said: . also has flurries/light showers going all the way into Wednesday as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted November 26, 2018 Author Share Posted November 26, 2018 0z has 7" for Boone over the duration of the run. Obviously overdone but should be a nice event regardless. Hoping for an inch or so here at the house in less-than-optimal nwf location. Sent from my SM-G960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Wow come on mountain peeps, we got a good NWF headed our way later today get excited! Even Asheville may see some flurries or a snow shower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 17 minutes ago, Hvward said: Wow come on mountain peeps, we got a good NWF headed our way later today get excited! Even Asheville may see some flurries or a snow shower. I'm trying to get excieted but GSP gives me no accumulation and only a 20% chance. ..Little to no snow accumulation is expected attm, though near a half of an inch to an inch could not be ruled out at the higher elevations. High temperatures across the NC mountains will range from the upper 30s to mid to upper 40s. And Ray says a dusting to an inch. ...At best, you'll see a dusting of snow with, perhaps, an inch or so at the highest elevations near the state line. What are they missing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted November 26, 2018 Author Share Posted November 26, 2018 I'm trying to get excieted but GSP gives me no accumulation and only a 20% chance. ..Little to no snow accumulation is expected attm, though near a half of an inch to an inch could not be ruled out at the higher elevations. High temperatures across the NC mountains will range from the upper 30s to mid to upper 40s. And Ray says a dusting to an inch. ...At best, you'll see a dusting of snow with, perhaps, an inch or so at the highest elevations near the state line. What are they missing?Who knows, but Ive rarely see either get a NWF forecast right since I moved here. I had a 7" in foscoe last year with a nws/ray forecast for flurries. Sent from my SM-G960U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Went from partly sunny and 44 at 7 to 35, heavy fog and building winds currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 21 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said: Who knows, but Ive rarely see either get a NWF forecast right since I moved here. I had a 7" in foscoe last year with a nws/ray forecast for flurries. Sent from my SM-G960U using Tapatalk They never got it right up here last winter either, Joe. Not for Wolf anyway. I vividly remember them forecasting an inch max late last October and we had 4-6" on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Really surprised at the inactivity on here today. Nam and 3k nam look great above 3,000 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 10 minutes ago, NC_WX10 said: Really surprised at the inactivity on here today. Nam and 3k nam look great above 3,000 feet. We had some sunshine earlier. Now we're back to heavy fog and down to 24.3/23.3 with a nice coat of rime ice coating the trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 20 minutes ago, NC_WX10 said: Really surprised at the inactivity on here today. Nam and 3k nam look great above 3,000 feet. It'll get busy later when it's closer to game time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 The 3k NAM and HRRR are miles apart on their accumulated snow through 5a Tuesday. HRRR lines up more like the global models. I've seen the 3k NAM gung-ho stuff like this before and wouldn't be surprised if that was the case this time as well. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Further note is ground truth of predicted 3k NAM snowfall as of 1pm. Map says about 1/2 inch at my location on Beech while ground truth shows flakes are not even flying. Hmmm.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Having a few flakes reach the ground here just west of Boone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 The HRRR is pretty unreliable when it’s comes to forecasting NWFS imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Flurries here for the last 15 minutes in Wolf. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Looks like snow has started up at Beech and started to accumulate nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Flurries at APP and at the cottages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 3k and nam look even better at 18z than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 5 minutes ago, NC_WX10 said: 3k and nam look even better at 18z than 12z. Shows like 6-8 in Boone. Bull crap and even has me laughing at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Just now, AsheCounty48 said: Shows like 6-8 in Boone. Bull crap and even has me laughing at this point. Yeah that is laughable. Still think 1-3 is definitely possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Just now, NC_WX10 said: Yeah that is laughable. Still think 1-3 is definitely possible. Yea my "snapchat" forecast I made a couple of days ago is 2-3 and I'm sticking with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Oh and keep an eye on December 6th. GFS keeps throwing hints, whether it's the old or new versions, and has been for over a week now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Flurries here with a nice little shower 10 minutes ago. Really feels like our first blast of winter with a temp of 23.5 and a 16/G24 mph breeze. We'll see how it goes from here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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