RCNYILWX Posted December 15, 2018 Share Posted December 15, 2018 I'd be really surprised if 2011-12 was walking through that door. In hindsight, the cold December thought was a fake out and this month likely finishing AN shouldn't be surprising in a weak Niño. Not sure how the snow dept will work out but no reason right now to punt the rest of the winter. I think we'll have some periods of exceptional cold at least. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 15, 2018 Share Posted December 15, 2018 7 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: I'd be really surprised if 2011-12 was walking through that door. In hindsight, the cold December thought was a fake out and this month likely finishing AN shouldn't be surprising in a weak Niño. Not sure how the snow dept will work out but no reason right now to punt the rest of the winter. I think we'll have some periods of exceptional cold at least. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk If we were gonna lose a month in a weak Nino it was going to be December. I'm bummed but I don't see a reason to give up yet as rest of the winter holds potential, especially with that SSW. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted December 15, 2018 Share Posted December 15, 2018 If we were gonna lose a month in a weak Nino it was going to be December. I'm bummed, but I don't see a reason to give up yet, rest of the winter holds potential, especially with that SSW.And also, not out of the realm some of us get lucky in the upcoming Niña like stretch. 12z FV3 lol:Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 15, 2018 Share Posted December 15, 2018 2 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: And also, not out of the realm some of us get lucky in the upcoming Niña like stretch. 12z FV3 lol: Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk The FV3 has been *very* snowy over the past several runs, but A ) it's the entire run and the majority of snow falls after FH200 and B ) its the FV3 and it has yet to prove itself to me, especially with its big letdown that was the early season blizzard. Not expecting that to come to fruition but I'll be a happy camper if it does. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted December 15, 2018 Share Posted December 15, 2018 be nice. We all know the change is coming. Have to get through this crap pattern til then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 15, 2018 Share Posted December 15, 2018 1 hour ago, RCNYILWX said: I'd be really surprised if 2011-12 was walking through that door. In hindsight, the cold December thought was a fake out and this month likely finishing AN shouldn't be surprising in a weak Niño. Not sure how the snow dept will work out but no reason right now to punt the rest of the winter. I think we'll have some periods of exceptional cold at least. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk I would be surprised also. I mean for starters 2011 had a top 20 warmest November and this year had a top 20 coldest November lol. As a whole snow lovers in much of this region have been very spoiled this century with Winter weather. Of course there have been down times but when you look at the big picture, over 140 years of weather records, there are a lot of winters that are not big snow or cold makers. Every year is not going to finish snowier than average or average would not be average. But this should not mean that every time we go into a mild or snowless stretch people should fear the worst of the worst. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 15, 2018 Share Posted December 15, 2018 Lately it seems so difficult to have a nice cold/snowy stretch starting a week or two before Christmas AND HOLD through the 25th. I can't even remember the last time it happened around here. 2010? Maybe before that? Last year was nice in that it snowed on Christmas Eve, but talk about getting saved at the last minute. December 2016 started out good but the 25th was mild and the snow rapidly melting. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 16, 2018 Share Posted December 16, 2018 4 hours ago, RCNYILWX said: I'd be really surprised if 2011-12 was walking through that door. In hindsight, the cold December thought was a fake out and this month likely finishing AN shouldn't be surprising in a weak Niño. Not sure how the snow dept will work out but no reason right now to punt the rest of the winter. I think we'll have some periods of exceptional cold at least. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Oh yeah I agree, my post was tongue-in-cheek 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted December 16, 2018 Share Posted December 16, 2018 Oh yeah I agree, my post was tongue-in-cheek More in response to Jonger's original post lol. I think it's easy to forget we've been basically cold since mid October til now. We were overdue for a mild stretch. On the same token, I dont think anyone thought the late 70s or 2013-14 was walking through that door this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 16, 2018 Share Posted December 16, 2018 24 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: More in response to Jonger's original post lol. I think it's easy to forget we've been basically cold since mid October til now. We were overdue for a mild stretch. On the same token, I dont think anyone thought the late 70s or 2013-14 was walking through that door this year. Oh yeah I agree there, this is actually closer to some fall like weather for once, I mean it has been nearly winter weather from when the switch flipped in October. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 16, 2018 Share Posted December 16, 2018 5 hours ago, Hoosier said: Lately it seems so difficult to have a nice cold/snowy stretch starting a week or two before Christmas AND HOLD through the 25th. I can't even remember the last time it happened around here. 2010? Maybe before that? Last year was nice in that it snowed on Christmas Eve, but talk about getting saved at the last minute. December 2016 started out good but the 25th was mild and the snow rapidly melting. For here last year we had a nice mid December snowpack that melted quickly a few days before christmas and then we had the perfect Currier and Ives Christmas Eve snowstorm. So despite the few day reprieve, I consider that a great December. In 2016 we also had a nice snowpack that was constant from early to mid December through christmas, tho christmas was a very murky day with melting snow (albeit still a full cover). 2013 had a nice snowpack 2 weeks before Christmas then we went down to patchy cover right around Christmas which only lasted a few days and would ironically be the only patch snow covered days until late March 2010 had solid snowcover and cold for 2 weeks before Christmas and into Christmas itself but it was actually quite boring after the storm on December 12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 16, 2018 Share Posted December 16, 2018 Big bertha brings in the new year if the GFS is right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 16, 2018 Share Posted December 16, 2018 Just now, Hoosier said: Big bertha brings in the new year if the GFS is right. Over/under set at changing 49.5 times between now and then. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 16, 2018 Share Posted December 16, 2018 Just now, RCNYILWX said: And also, not out of the realm some of us get lucky in the upcoming Niña like stretch. 12z FV3 lol: Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Interestingly enough as the OP GFS is wildly erratic, the FV3 has been very consistent on this cold and snowy change including tonight's run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted December 16, 2018 Share Posted December 16, 2018 Interestingly enough as the OP GFS is wildly erratic, the FV3 has been very consistent on this cold and snowy change including tonight's run.The 00z Euro ensemble snowfall mean fwiw was also much more solid than it had been lately. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted December 16, 2018 Share Posted December 16, 2018 11 hours ago, Hoosier said: Big bertha brings in the new year if the GFS is right. Nice shaft job for the western Lakes there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted December 16, 2018 Share Posted December 16, 2018 WV is kind of in between IMO but there are definitely some south mixed in. Maybe S IN/OH KY/WV is the mixing zone. The 'sleet' area I was born in Clarksburg WV. I still have family in WV. WV is neither North nor South.... it's Appalachia. Your level of Appalachianess is measured by altitude and not latitude.Sent from my Nexus 5X using Tapatalk 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted December 16, 2018 Share Posted December 16, 2018 Can’t wait for more rainers over the next couple of weeks! ”Snow to the left of me, snow to the right, here I am, stuck in the middle with you.” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 17, 2018 Share Posted December 17, 2018 On 11/14/2018 at 12:14 AM, cyclone77 said: The wireless transmitter on my Davis VP2 died a few days ago. Only a few years old. Had the Davis Vue for 5 years with no issues, but have only had the VP2 a little over 2yrs before this issue. Not too impressed. It's about $120 for a new transmitter. For those who are looking to buy the more expensive VP2, I'd just stick with the cheaper Vue. It's not quite as accurate, but still pretty darn close. The price difference really isn't worth it IMO. Ordered a new Vue tonight to replace the POS VP2. Tried several different things to revive the VP2 to no avail. VP2's are normally pretty reliable from everything I've read, but apparently I got the lemon that was built on a Monday/Friday. At least I got a few years of use out of it before it shit the bed. Other than having the option to mount the anemometer away from the rest of the sensor suite there's really not much of an advantage over the VUE anyway. You can't get the aspirated thermo shield with the VUE, but in my experience with the 24hr FARS it didn't make that much of a difference anyway. Perhaps one degree. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 17, 2018 Share Posted December 17, 2018 Even though the Nino's nowhere near as strong, this winter has a 1997-98 vibe going on. First sig snow in November, next one probably not 'til March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted December 17, 2018 Share Posted December 17, 2018 5 hours ago, cyclone77 said: Ordered a new Vue tonight to replace the POS VP2. Tried several different things to revive the VP2 to no avail. VP2's are normally pretty reliable from everything I've read, but apparently I got the lemon that was built on a Monday/Friday. At least I got a few years of use out of it before it shit the bed. Other than having the option to mount the anemometer away from the rest of the sensor suite there's really not much of an advantage over the VUE anyway. You can't get the aspirated thermo shield with the VUE, but in my experience with the 24hr FARS it didn't make that much of a difference anyway. Perhaps one degree. I got about five years out of my VP2 before the base unit died. It was the wired version and a replacement base unit was stupid expensive. I replaced it with a WS-2902A from Ambient. Not as good specs (at least on paper), but it was only 1/4 the cost and it has built-in internet functions instead of the add-on cost like the Davis. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 17, 2018 Share Posted December 17, 2018 12 hours ago, cyclone77 said: Ordered a new Vue tonight to replace the POS VP2. Tried several different things to revive the VP2 to no avail. VP2's are normally pretty reliable from everything I've read, but apparently I got the lemon that was built on a Monday/Friday. At least I got a few years of use out of it before it shit the bed. Other than having the option to mount the anemometer away from the rest of the sensor suite there's really not much of an advantage over the VUE anyway. You can't get the aspirated thermo shield with the VUE, but in my experience with the 24hr FARS it didn't make that much of a difference anyway. Perhaps one degree. If the rest of your VP2 is still good, why not just hold your nose and get the replacement transmitter? What kind of warranty do these stations come with? While it would be nice to have my own weather station like the Davis, there are plenty of person weather stations in Cedar Rapids I can access through wunderground. I'm satisfied with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted December 17, 2018 Share Posted December 17, 2018 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted December 17, 2018 Share Posted December 17, 2018 IND has had only .5 inch of snow this season so far and total precip for the year is only an inch above normal. Chi town has been much wetter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 4 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said: If the rest of your VP2 is still good, why not just hold your nose and get the replacement transmitter? What kind of warranty do these stations come with? While it would be nice to have my own weather station like the Davis, there are plenty of person weather stations in Cedar Rapids I can access through wunderground. I'm satisfied with that. It comes with a 1 year warranty. The problem was actually with the console, which is even more expensive to replace. Have had a weather station since 2010 so it's kinda hard not having one now. This area is pretty rural with very few stations close by so it's pretty convenient. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 Local media looking for a story....dredges up the Polar Vortex boogeyman. https://www.daily-chronicle.com/2018/12/17/polar-vortex-could-unleash-winter-wallop-by-january/aqvclg6/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tarheel17 Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 Making my yearly trip to Michigan to see family. What a #@*!fest, snow-wise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 I am in Michigan for the first time. On my way to Grand Rapids. Ive heard its a nice city ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 I wonder when was the last time that Miami was in a slight risk on day 3? The Keys too, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 19 minutes ago, Hoosier said: I wonder when was the last time that Miami was in a slight risk on day 3? The Keys too, lol Well, either the day 3 outlook issued on 1/20/2017 or sometime after that. Could have been something since then but it would take a while to search. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now