Rtd208 Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 Every year around this time I like to get things started for the upcoming fall and winter with the "Predict the Date" of the first bonafide nor'easter of the season be it rain and or snow. Hopefully this season will be an active one. Starts October 1st 2018 thru March 31st 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 17, 2018 Author Share Posted September 17, 2018 October 11th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 October 6. Relying on EPS AO/NAO/PNA sweet spot and cooler air around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ALEXA Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 Dec 6th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyg Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 November 21st Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 I wouldn't mind seeing another one the day before Thanksgiving where I get 10" of cement that shuts down the drunken stupidity like we got in 2014. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 Latest EURO Weeklies look 'cold behind the ears'. This clashes with other LR outputs. Therefore I do not think there will be a Nor'easter till an accidental BN period can occur---ie. when just normal temps. might produce one anyway. I will go with Dec. 11. Hope this is not optimistic. lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 Did we get one last year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
denvillenj Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 October 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 I think we need some parameters. Just “nor’easter” is too broad. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 20 hours ago, Rtd208 said: Every year around this time I like to get things started for the upcoming fall and winter with the "Predict the Date" of the first bonafide nor'easter of the season be it rain and or snow. Hopefully this season will be an active one. Starts October 1st 2018 thru March 31st 2019 Noreaster season should be considered as lasting through April as we have gotten some rather big ones in April (some rain some snow.) Tax Day noreaster in 2007 was one of the biggest on record, not to mention April 1982, 1983, 1996, 1997, 2003, etc. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 October 30th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 10 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: I think we need some parameters. Just “nor’easter” is too broad. I agree, some people need to look up their definitions of what a noreaster is and when it can occur. We've had some in the summer also. Nor'easters are most often associated with strong winter storms crawling up the Northeast coast, but snow isn't a requirement for such a storm. These storms are most frequent and strongest between September and April, but can occur any time of the year.Mar 1, 2018 What is a Nor'easter? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 18, 2018 Author Share Posted September 18, 2018 22 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: I agree, some people need to look up their definitions of what a noreaster is and when it can occur. We've had some in the summer also. Nor'easters are most often associated with strong winter storms crawling up the Northeast coast, but snow isn't a requirement for such a storm. These storms are most frequent and strongest between September and April, but can occur any time of the year.Mar 1, 2018 What is a Nor'easter? Ok thank you Mr. Know it all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 11 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: I think we need some parameters. Just “nor’easter” is too broad. Agree. That's nearly always the problem with the "predict the first" and "predict the next time" threads. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted September 23, 2018 Share Posted September 23, 2018 November 11th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted September 24, 2018 Share Posted September 24, 2018 Dec 8th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 30, 2018 Author Share Posted September 30, 2018 Bump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 2, 2018 Share Posted October 2, 2018 October 24. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 24, 2018 Share Posted October 24, 2018 I was a few days off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 10/9 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 7, 2019 Author Share Posted October 7, 2019 11 minutes ago, forkyfork said: 10/9 Ah bringing back last years thread, I decided not to do one this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 19 minutes ago, forkyfork said: 10/9 Gfs says what northeaster lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted October 7, 2019 Share Posted October 7, 2019 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: Gfs says what northeaster lol The seas are dreadful with 10-15 foot rollers being forecast and gale force east winds. Can't remember such a run of bad conditions this time of year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted October 8, 2019 Share Posted October 8, 2019 Lucky 10s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 8, 2019 Share Posted October 8, 2019 4 hours ago, Rtd208 said: Ah bringing back last years thread, I decided not to do one this year. Nobody ever wins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 8, 2019 Share Posted October 8, 2019 16 hours ago, weatherpruf said: The seas are dreadful with 10-15 foot rollers being forecast and gale force east winds. Can't remember such a run of bad conditions this time of year. It’s all about your perception: I think this fall has been incredible so far. Hurricane swell after hurricane swell. Followed by a solid nor’easter. A surfers dream. This one will not work out for New Jersey but there are spots on Long Island that will have world class waves this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 8, 2019 Share Posted October 8, 2019 Just now, LongBeachSurfFreak said: It’s all about your perception: I think this fall has been incredible so far. Hurricane swell after hurricane swell. Followed by a solid nor’easter. A surfers dream. This one will not work out for New Jersey but there are spots on Long Island that will have world class waves this week. There might be some good surf on the Jersey coast with this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 8, 2019 Share Posted October 8, 2019 1 minute ago, LibertyBell said: There might be some good surf on the Jersey coast with this! Winds will be onshore in NJ, resulting in sloppy unsurfable waves. Offshore on li Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 8, 2019 Share Posted October 8, 2019 6 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Winds will be onshore in NJ, resulting in sloppy unsurfable waves. Offshore on li Oh my bad, I thought you meant wave heights. How surfable were the waters around here during the Dec 1992 noreaster? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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