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Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD


stormtracker
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2 hours ago, Tibet said:

Anyone see this? Suprised there were this many aircraft present... assuming they were airworthy, to begin with.

 


737 
NWUS52 KILM 151807
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
207 PM EDT SAT SEP 15 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 AM     TROPICAL STORM   4 E MARION              34.18N  79.33W
09/15/2018                   MARION             SC   MEDIA           

            MARION COUNTY AIRPORT - 3 TO 4 HANGARS COMPLETELY 
            DESTROYED. AT LEAST 4 ROBINSON HELICOPTERS, A FIXED-WING 
            AIRPLANE, AND AN ULTRALIGHT AIRCRAFT SUSTAINED 
            SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE. DAMAGE OCCURRED BETWEEN LAST NIGHT 
            AND THIS MORNING. 


&&

CORRECTED REMARKS

EVENT NUMBER ILM1800213

$$

OLIVA

That airport is the hub of McLeod Hospital's helicopter fleet. It's the only trauma center still open in this part of the state

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Amazing to think this could remain tropical for another 48 hours.  FSU phase space diagrams indicate the gradual loss of tropical characteristics (nothing you can't find from radar anyway), but the diagrams based on the GFS show just how slow the degradation has been.

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1 hour ago, Will - Rutgers said:

Amazing to think this could remain tropical for another 48 hours.  FSU phase space diagrams indicate the gradual loss of tropical characteristics (nothing you can't find from radar anyway), but the diagrams based on the GFS show just how slow the degradation has been.

Helps that there's no front around to interact anytime soon (even when Florence gets toward Ohio the front is still back in the western Midwest).

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NC state rainfall record has almost certainly fallen, probably been surpassed on Morehead City by this point, as they are back into some of the mod-heavier bands shifting back east. Probably hard to get accurate numbers right now due to power outages and the fact so many roads are impassable.

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On 9/14/2018 at 7:26 AM, frankdp23 said:

Any updates?  See on twitter you were in the eye wall.  Be safe!

Hi Frank! Thanks for the kind words and thoughts.  Drove into Scotts Hill to document the absolute brunt of the eyewall.   From there, drove into the center of the eye near Wrightsville beach. Been really busy posting updates and damage pics on Twitter.  Now, I just got a tornado warning alert on my phone.  

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5 hours ago, Hoosier said:

Helps that there's no front around to interact anytime soon (even when Florence gets toward Ohio the front is still back in the western Midwest).

Is the NHC forecast potentially conservative?  Not that it matters too much as sensible weather.  But as a weather nerd discussion, is this tropical on the 18th?  That's unbelievable!

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6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Wilmington has couplets left and right moving onshore. Holy cow.

With seemingly hours and hours more to go, according to radar. I have a feeling once airborne photography is able to launch after the bands pass, we are going to see devastating, Harvey-eque images. That radar has looks essentially the same for days.

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People need to realize now devastating the river flooding is going to be as well. Cape Fear river is already at record flood stage (surpassing record set in Floyd) and is forecast to rise another 4.5 feet. Still raining over that basin although rates have decreased. ILM area continues to get pounded. Hearing of many water resources ongoing in that area in particular.

ILM just updated their climate data:

1.50 Thursday + 9.58 Friday + 7.44 Satuday = 18.52" + 2.59 today" (as of 6 am)  = 21.11"

 

 

 

 

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3 hours ago, dan11295 said:

People need to realize now devastating the river flooding is going to be as well. Cape Fear river is already at record flood stage (surpassing record set in Floyd) and is forecast to rise another 4.5 feet. Still raining over that basin although rates have decreased. ILM area continues to get pounded. Hearing of many water resources ongoing in that area in particular.

ILM just updated their climate data:

1.50 Thursday + 9.58 Friday + 7.44 Satuday = 18.52" + 2.59 today" (as of 6 am)  = 21.11"

 

 

 

 

NC Emergency Management just tweeted out about a mandatory evacuation for those within a mile on either side of the Cape Fear river -

 

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OMG watching the radar, the bands that had slowly crawled from NE --> SW to finally reach and overspread Wilmington yesterday evening, are now reversing and moving SW --> NE as the TD circulation center starts to lift to the WNW, and are smacking them again (also as a note, KLTX is back up again).

 

950am-snapshot-KLTX-09162018.png

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TW for possible Waterspout

1151 AM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 PM EDT FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL HORRY COUNTY...

At 1151 AM EDT, a possible waterspout was located just offshore over
Murrells Inlet, moving north at 35 mph.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...Doppler weather radar.

IMPACT...Expect damage to mobile homes, roofs, and vehicles.

Locations impacted include...
Garden City, Socastee, Murrells Inlet, Bucksville, Burgess and
Bucksport.
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