ILM2714 Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 2 hours ago, mappy said: I just talked to the first responders for that incident. Absolutely tragic. Those guys are riding around hotel to hotel and building to building to administer aid. Legends. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 35 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: Downeast, the tide keeping them backed up will just exacerbate situation, correct? Sure though they are draining out now......even where I am the creeks came up 6-7 ft on the surge that doesnt do anything to homes around here but it does prevent the ditches and smaller creeks from draining all this damn rain.......all the water rise on this chart is surge related.....its actually going out now....a lot slower than normally though usually the hurricanes go S to N so once the center gets north of us the winds go around to the west and blow it out.....not happening this time, still getting gust to 40-45 regularly and I sure its worse out over the open water.....its unreal the stuff I am seeing from friends...the surge numbers will be record breaking for the Neuse and Pamlico rivers..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 22 minutes ago, gymengineer said: Cape Fear River at Wilmington just beat the record crest from Matthew in 2016. Its rare the ILM to have the center west of them like this, Matthew approach angle was crazy ( well until Flo)....once the center got west of them and the winds went south and the center more or less stalled it was the "perfect storm " scenario to get record surge there....might not be topped out either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 If anything, the rain shield seems to be expanding, especially to the North and East of the circulation. The edge of the steady banding is now almost up to OBX. A few hours ago it was closer to Morehead City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 @NWSMoreheadCity has measured 19.40" for a storm total rainfall as of 4 PM this afternoon. Daily total of 10.59" so far... 1:16 PM - 14 Sep 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 We'll see if the upcoming advisory drops it below hurricane strength, but so far it has held on to cat 1 for like 16 hours. Being in close proximity to the water has undoubtedly helped slow the weakening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salbers Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 34 minutes ago, downeastnc said: Its rare the ILM to have the center west of them like this, Matthew approach angle was crazy ( well until Flo)....once the center got west of them and the winds went south and the center more or less stalled it was the "perfect storm " scenario to get record surge there....might not be topped out either As pointed out in Bob Henson's blog it's easier to beat Hazel's records with a weaker hurricane with the 0.7' higher sea level nowadays. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jmg378s Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 18z sounding from Morehead City. No surprise here, high PW and lots of low level shear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 21 minutes ago, Hoosier said: We'll see if the upcoming advisory drops it below hurricane strength, but so far it has held on to cat 1 for like 16 hours. Being in close proximity to the water has undoubtedly helped slow the weakening. She's been downgraded to a TS for the 5 pm update. 985 WTNT31 KNHC 142039 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Florence Advisory Number 62 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062018 500 PM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018 ...FLORENCE NOW PRODUCING TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WIND GUSTS IN FLORENCE SOUTH CAROLINA... ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGES TO CONTINUE TONIGHT... ...CATASTROPHIC FRESHWATER FLOODING EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.0N 78.6W ABOUT 50 MI...75 KM WSW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 25 MI...45 KM NE OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.70 INCHES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 Other than Isaac before it got upgraded to a hurricane, this must be the highest storm surge forecast for a tropical storm. STORM SURGE: The Neuse, Pamlico, Pungo, and Bay Rivers...8-12 ft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 Flash Flood Emergency for Johnston and Wayne counties, multiple water rescues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 Man look at that band near New Bern. Good lord. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Man look at that band near New Bern. Good lord. We're approaching dusk in a few hours too, gonna be a really dire situation soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Capt. Adam Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 Wilmington radar appears down now...Raleigh up...having experienced the "eye" of Sandy go right over my house, I can't imagine being on the ground and knowing they are in for those bands for another 24 hours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 2 minutes ago, MattPetrulli said: We're approaching dusk in a few hours too, gonna be a really dire situation soon. Sunset there is 7:17 pm, about 1/2 hour from this post time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 Just now, Hurricane Agnes said: Sunset there is 7:17 pm, about 1/2 hour from this post time. I was way off, still get the point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 6 minutes ago, Capt. Adam said: Wilmington radar appears down now... Oh my. It most certainly is. I have the GRLevel3 program with the hurricane up using that radar location and haven't had chance to check back with it until now. Last data pull I got was at 5:12 pm ET. Just switched to KRAX which is still up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Summey Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 Any recent reports on condition from topsail, Snead’s ferry, swansboro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 HRRR going insane starting in the next few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 7 minutes ago, Summey said: Any recent reports on condition from topsail, Snead’s ferry, swansboro? Seeing reports of up to 14+ft of surge in that area.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 I shot this between 130 and 2 in topsail. We couldn't get further than pretty much the base of the bridge. The main roadhad high water 4 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 Pretty strong looking band headed into Virginia Beach. I'm 14 floors up here on the water and its getting really windy. 30-35 sustained at the moment id say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 15, 2018 Share Posted September 15, 2018 ILM ASOS failed around the same time as the radar. Probably power or comms infrastructure loss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 15, 2018 Share Posted September 15, 2018 4"/hr rates coming on shore near Jacksonville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jtm12180 Posted September 15, 2018 Share Posted September 15, 2018 Seems we are entering what’s left of the “eye” here just west of Myrtle Beach. Had a good bit of heavy rain and wind around 7:00-8:00, and it has calmed to a drizzle and lighter winds. Interested to see if it calms more the next hour or so... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted September 15, 2018 Share Posted September 15, 2018 32 minutes ago, Jtm12180 said: Seems we are entering what’s left of the “eye” here just west of Myrtle Beach. Had a good bit of heavy rain and wind around 7:00-8:00, and it has calmed to a drizzle and lighter winds. Interested to see if it calms more the next hour or so... Approximately what are the rates on the left side of the eye? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted September 15, 2018 Share Posted September 15, 2018 Quiet around here, but perhaps what will in many ways be the worst part of the storm, still to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pugsgirl13 Posted September 15, 2018 Share Posted September 15, 2018 NC is under tornado warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 15, 2018 Share Posted September 15, 2018 10 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Quiet around here, but perhaps what will in many ways be the worst part of the storm, still to come. Harvey numbers going down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jtm12180 Posted September 15, 2018 Share Posted September 15, 2018 37 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said: Approximately what are the rates on the left side of the eye? It was mostly 0.5-1.0” the whole day. It was more of a steady rain than torrential downpours for the most part Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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