HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 Wow, Wilmington and surrounding counties just getting hammered by rain bands, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper08 Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 9 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: Wow yea infrared just blew up in the nw quadrant New Bern, structures must be weak.. https://mobile.twitter.com/WeatherNation/status/1040445078169255936 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 26 minutes ago, AJF0602 said: Jones onslow haha and man even though its a cat one these winds are so strong right now, you step outside and all you can smell is fresh pine. Let’s be honest, sub 960 on a Cat 1 is BS. Not sure when the NHC will get the impact equation right but ~1 minute sustained is not the answer as you are currently witness to. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 NC coast is in for a very rough day ahead, just unreal the beating it is taking from this west outer eyewall. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
samdman95 Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 When is peak storm surge expected/when is high tide? Are they expected to overlap? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 1 minute ago, Wmsptwx said: NC coast is in for a very rough day ahead, just unreal the beating it is taking from this west outer eyewall. The aftermath in coastal communities will be met with "but, but it was only a Cat 1 when it came ashore". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 Well , can’t add attachments via mobile I guess? But yea.. saw a a few frames of -80° C cloud tops over top of those hot towers. Pretty impressive, and not good news for the coast. Largest burst of cold tops in terms of coverage so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 I am stunned looking at IR images, just exploding on West edge. Seriously highest we have seen today pretty much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 I mean c'mon this is serious business. Tornado Watch TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 372 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 900 PM EDT THU SEP 13 2018 TORNADO WATCH 372 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 AM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NCC013-031-049-055-061-079-095-103-107-117-133-137-147-177-187- 141100- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0372.180914T0100Z-180914T1100Z/ NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAUFORT CARTERET CRAVEN DARE DUPLIN GREENE HYDE JONES LENOIR MARTIN ONSLOW PAMLICO PITT TYRRELL WASHINGTON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 9 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: I am stunned looking at IR images, just exploding on West edge. Seriously highest we have seen today pretty much. You can see how little the IR corresponds to the radar. one little convective dot in the eyewall on the radar and the IR lights up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 Maybe I should stop looking at it, just seemed to be very impressive last few frames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 Just now, Wmsptwx said: Maybe I should stop looking at it, just seemed to be very impressive last few frames. It is very impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 Wrightsville Beach near-shore and offshore buoys now both getting 70 kt (81mph) wind gusts. The outer buoy (41037) seems to be in the eyewall convection. Cape Lookout station getting pretty decent 89mph (77kt). Still category 1 wind gusts. It is kind of true with such a low pressure of 957mb, normally you see cat 2 to possibly cat 3. But the winds of cat 2 just aren't quite there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 Just now, Chinook said: Wrightsville Beach near-shore and offshore buoys now both getting 70 kt (81mph) wind gusts. The outer buoy (41037) seems to be in the eyewall convection. Cape Lookout station getting pretty decent 89mph (77kt). Still category 1 wind gusts. It is kind of true with such a low pressure of 957mb, normally you see cat 2 to possibly cat 3. But the winds of cat 2 just aren't quite there. I guess what matters is the storm surge of Cat 2 there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 Yes, that matters a lot. Lots of things depend on the level of the surge. Just think, back in Hurricane Katrina, which was Category 5 over the Gulf of Mexico, weakened to cat 2/cat 3 (??) at landfall in Mississippi. There was something like a 25 ft storm surge at Bay St. Louis/ Waveland/ Pass Christian MS. I think that may be a record for the USA. I saw that area in 2010-- nearly everything had been rebuilt. At one place in Bay St Louis, there were just stilts left over from a home that was long gone. So, that is making me wonder. Is this storm bringing a 15 ft storm surge? I haven't checked, but it is a big deal. I also used to be at Myrtle Beach. I was not there for any disasters, but it seems like some areas are not too protected. Like a 5-7 ft storm surge might hurt pretty bad south of Myrtle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 Wilmington, isn't really Getting Hammered We are however, experiencing Light to Moderate Rains & "sustained" Winds just shy of TS Force... That said, I'm just inland over Snows Cut bridge.. I'm not "on the Island" at this time.. Still have power, NO "Transformer Flashes" I've seen or heard, thus far.. At this time.. Listening to the "scanner" for New Bern though... God Bless those "Swift Boat" Crews.. Appears they quite BUSY, listening to addresses broadcast for "rescue", & Cross-referencing with Google Maps, !Listening Seems MANY "rescues" are in the Vicinity Right on or extremely close to the Neuse River Bank! Listened to One rescue the Folks Went into the ATTIC A-la Katrina Style! GOD BLESS those First Responders Swift Boat Crews 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 It appears Land Fall Will be Figure 8 Island to Scotts Hill/Hampstead, about 10 miles as the crow flies from Me, to My Northeast.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 Red Porch Guy!!!! I know this may be OT but just wanted to let you know that we have Florence’s blue shed.....this guy in Wilmington....periscope feed....he’s consistently streaming and seems to have portable power enough to stay on....not sure about when Flo knocks out his internet https://www.pscp.tv/w/bms2JjF4TmpheHdEQXlrS2J8MXlvS01WempweU9HUXgYZgjJTVsbc13408Fw8HLx4PPkicrXrSFYSlw0meqJ?t=10m49s 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 Intense convection, especially over the last hour: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 Not sure IR matters from what I learned bit ago, radar better look at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 Recent 72mph gust from the southeast at the buoy shown in the eye, 94mph gust from the southwest, on the southwest eyewall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 It's here.. Winds have arrived with a vengence .. Low jet Engine sound..[/I] Sustained about 70~80 MPH.. Heavy Rain Looking at Radar, I'm In the Eyewall on the West Side.. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 39 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: Not sure IR matters from what I learned bit ago, radar better look at it. They are both equally important. What is presented on radar real-time right now is why the coldest convective canopy of the last 24 hours is in progress. Eastern band has been feeding into western wall and now the eastern band is more or less the eastern eyewall. The eyewall looks healthy and not eroded. Whether that translates to falling pressure, we'll see. If nothing else, this could halt pressure rise and maintain steady state. Doubt winds would respond (as has been repeated by many) due to loose gradient / large vortex / expanded windfield at this point however. But destructive hurricane force gusts may mix down better as that western wall passes over the shoreline and eventually Wilmington. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 My lil house is SHAKING Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 1 hour ago, Chinook said: Wrightsville Beach near-shore and offshore buoys now both getting 70 kt (81mph) wind gusts. The outer buoy (41037) seems to be in the eyewall convection. Cape Lookout station getting pretty decent 89mph (77kt). Still category 1 wind gusts. It is kind of true with such a low pressure of 957mb, normally you see cat 2 to possibly cat 3. But the winds of cat 2 just aren't quite there. As you noted, while Florence is a Cat 1 storm, as defined by max winds, when looking at the central pressure of 957 millibars, it looks more like a Cat 3 storm. As I'm sure you know, the reason for this is that the storm has become much larger than most storms, such that the energy is spread out in lower winds, much further from the center, but the surge and rainfall impacts will be worse for a larger area than for a smaller storm with greater winds at the center. The IKE (integrated kinetic energy) is just as much as it was when it had 130 mph winds, as per NHC comments yesterday. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 I'm in Seagate, not far from wilmington and I'm seeing a lot of transformers going off. Wind really picking up the last 20 minutes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 I have lost power my house is shaking like a no-go jet sound outside 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 3 minutes ago, SENC said: I have lost power my house is shaking like a no-go jet sound outside i will pray towards mecca for you 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJF0602 Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 House in jville has been shaking for hours, these wind gusts are something else. Can only imagine how many trees are going to be down around town with all of the rain. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 The 0914 00z ECMWF continues to model grim totals for the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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