Santa Claus Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 4 minutes ago, Whineminster said: I don't want money I pay for insurance to go to some rich jamoke who owns a house on a BARRIER island i refuse to fund jamokes of any sort. gadflies, dinguses, and ne'er-do-wells are also on my s-list. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 Hey @Akeem.. (I see you),, love ya lets chase this & share a blunt! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 Kinda curious, CDO is contracting, cloud tops warning, eye looking just a bit raggedy compared to earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 Since storm mode thread was posted, i'm gonna just lurk. I've had some problems with posting too much yesterday. I acknowledge that storm mode is a very serious thread and involves tracking a dangerous/deadly hurricane which has to potential to cause significant loss of life and destruction of property. Therefore i'm gonna take it seriously. I think it's better to just lurk when you're very new and have less than 500 posts and learn from other posters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 Just last month, I vacationed with family at North Topsail Island a little further down the island in the condos. When I walked up the island to find the sandbags I remembered thinking to myself (any year now...) I find it shocking that North Topsail at one point had dunes 100ft high as now the land sits barely above sea level! The entire community seems like a testament to humanity's arrogance. With Florence now looming it has got me thinking. If the North Topsail is inevitably going to be inundated with storm surge and Florence's landfall on the east coast is inevitable as well... Perhaps it should make landfall directly at North Topsail. When it comes to a major hurricane, deaths are likely inevitable but those who meet their fate on the coast will have nobody to blame but themselves. With Florence we have had days of forewarning leaving ample time for evacuation. Perhaps then, if the community is destroyed the landowners will rebuild more responsibly or better yet not at all! Am I crazy for thinking this way or am I not alone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keelala Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 2 minutes ago, BlunderStorm said: Perhaps then, if the community is destroyed the landowners will rebuild more responsibly or better yet not at all! Am I crazy for thinking this way or am I not alone? Right there with you. We should also definitely stop rebuilding cities below sea level. I'm looking at you, New Orleans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 1 hour ago, Jakkel138 said: There's a storm mode thread now. Some wonder if stormtracker looks like his profile picture in real life... I do. I am a 200+ year old white, deaf, cranky mofo. Watch it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drexelkathy Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 14 minutes ago, BlunderStorm said: Just last month, I vacationed with family at North Topsail Island a little further down the island in the condos. When I walked up the island to find the sandbags I remembered thinking to myself (any year now...) I find it shocking that North Topsail at one point had dunes 100ft high as now the land sits barely above sea level! The entire community seems like a testament to humanity's arrogance. With Florence now looming it has got me thinking. If the North Topsail is inevitably going to be inundated with storm surge and Florence's landfall on the east coast is inevitable as well... Perhaps it should make landfall directly at North Topsail. When it comes to a major hurricane, deaths are likely inevitable but those who meet their fate on the coast will have nobody to blame but themselves. With Florence we have had days of forewarning leaving ample time for evacuation. Perhaps then, if the community is destroyed the landowners will rebuild more responsibly or better yet not at all! Am I crazy for thinking this way or am I not alone? It is a lot easier to make suppositions about what you would do then to make those decisions in real life. personally? I’m all about packing up and leaving at the mere sign of a landfall near me/us. Property and things aren’t important to me. But it’s a hard sell to people that may have worked their entire lives for that little “slice” of their American dream. Anyone criticizing people that make tough choices has likely never faced it themselves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I do. I am a 200+ year old white, deaf, cranky mofo. Watch it! 248 to be exact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 2 minutes ago, jburns said: 248 to be exact. You mean he's your age? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 Just now, Hoosier said: You mean he's your age? Give or take a year or two, yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 19 minutes ago, drexelkathy said: It is a lot easier to make suppositions about what you would do then to make those decisions in real life. personally? I’m all about packing up and leaving at the mere sign of a landfall near me/us. Property and things aren’t important to me. But it’s a hard sell to people that may have worked their entire lives for that little “slice” of their American dream. Anyone criticizing people that make tough choices has likely never faced it themselves. I understand but it is just so hard for me to feel sympathy for those who chose to own land there. The people who my heart really goes out to is the children who have no decision in where they live or if they even evacuate and the first responders who put their lives on the line to help others in these terrible natural disasters. When people choose to own property there I hope they go in with the expectation their beach homes destruction is but only a matter of time and evacuate when that time comes. There is no worse tragedy than the loss of a life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drexelkathy Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 5 minutes ago, BlunderStorm said: I understand but it is just so hard for me to feel sympathy for those who chose to own land there. The people who my heart really goes out to is the children who have no decision in where they live or if they even evacuate and the first responders who put their lives on the line to help others in these terrible natural disasters. When people choose to own property there I hope they go in with the expectation their beach homes destruction is but only a matter of time and evacuate when that time comes. I’m sorry you find it hard to have sympathy for people facing natural disasters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 6 hours ago, Akeem the African Dream said: give me 110kt at landfall id gamble and ride it out if I was on the coast as well. All depends on where you are at with respect to the right front, I studied that area north off ILM through Lookout, Topsail in particular, one of the most active sandbars on the east coast, I would be inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 11 minutes ago, drexelkathy said: I’m sorry you find it hard to have sympathy for people facing natural disasters. It's not so much a lack of sympathy for their immediate situation but rather their loss of property when they knew the risks. I questioned how and why I felt this way myself and knew some would agree and others disagree. North Topsail is an exceptional example of this sentiment I have expressed. Most beach front property is certainly much safer than there. What gets to me is when these weather weenies wishcast for hurricanes to hit major metropolitan areas without any thought as to what the consequences of that would be if it were to actually occur. Looking at the NHC cone and the spaghetti models I would have never even entertained the thought of it hitting there if it were not for it appearing nearly inevitable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 Yes... let's talk about the 00z NAM in the storm mode Florence thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tibet Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 Can anyone explain the reduction in banding that seems to be occurring on IR? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mempho Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 In case anyone wants something fun to do over the next couple of evenings.... A good drinking game for major hurricane threads is to take a shot of tropical liquor (rum/tequila) every time someone uses the word "annular."Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 3 minutes ago, Tibet said: Can anyone explain the reduction in banding that seems to be occurring on IR? I'm not really qualified to answer this but if I had to guess it's probably the result of an eye wall replacement. Florence could very possibly transform into an annular hurricane. (EDIT) Got me there mempho! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mempho Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 Can anyone explain the reduction in banding that seems to be occurring on IR?EWRC, bud. However, if this thing completes the cycle in time to take advantage of the warm SSTs and low shear, she could become annular.Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tibet Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 And can anyone describe what is occurring just south of the eye? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mempho Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 I'm not really qualified to answer this but if I had to guess it's probably the result of an eye wall replacement. Florence could very possibly transform into an annular hurricane. (EDIT) Got me there mempho! Perfect timing! Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChineseFood4Snow Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 1 minute ago, mempho said: In case anyone wants something fun to do over the next couple of evenings.... A good drinking game for major hurricane threads is to take a shot of tropical liquor (rum/tequila) every time someone uses the word "annular." And if you prefer to get drunk faster, drink every time someone uses the word "trend." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 Since the other thread has a ton of NAM watchers right now... just to prove that NAM is not the worst model out there for hurricanes.... there is always CRAS. And wow is it bad! It already has the storm falling apart into an open wave in something like 24 hours, and the track is equally bad And now back to our regularly scheduled programming of waiting for the next useful hurricane model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 10 minutes ago, Tibet said: And can anyone describe what is occurring just south of the eye? florence is tired of doing hurricane stuff and doesn't feel like making thunderstorms the gfs shows the storm dissipating in the next 24 hours to take a job doing social work with kids Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 16 minutes ago, mempho said: In case anyone wants something fun to do over the next couple of evenings.... A good drinking game for major hurricane threads is to take a shot of tropical liquor (rum/tequila) every time someone uses the word "annular." Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk We will never get through a major hurricane again without somebody mentioning annular. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 1 hour ago, Jakkel138 said: Since storm mode thread was posted, i'm gonna just lurk. I've had some problems with posting too much yesterday. I acknowledge that storm mode is a very serious thread and involves tracking a dangerous/deadly hurricane which has to potential to cause significant loss of life and destruction of property. Therefore i'm gonna take it seriously. I think it's better to just lurk when you're very new and have less than 500 posts and learn from other posters. I've been here since the site launched and tracking hurricanes for 30 years and I mostly just lurk the main thread at this point. Sometimes I'll post some images I think would add to the discussion but when there are a dozen or more actual meteorologists in the thread my analysis is pretty worthless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fourseasons Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 17 minutes ago, mempho said: In case anyone wants something fun to do over the next couple of evenings.... A good drinking game for major hurricane threads is to take a shot of tropical liquor (rum/tequila) every time someone uses the word "annular." Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk Perhaps an enterprising soul around here could create a special cocktail for this purpose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 18 minutes ago, mempho said: In case anyone wants something fun to do over the next couple of evenings.... A good drinking game for major hurricane threads is to take a shot of tropical liquor (rum/tequila) every time someone uses the word "annular." Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk DO NOT do this in the comments section of Dr. Masters blog. You will die. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 1 minute ago, Hoosier said: We will never get through a major hurricane again without somebody mentioning annular. Well, I mean what's wrong with mentioning annular hurricanes? This is a weather forum. People here like weather that is cool. Hurricanes look cool. ANNULAR hurricanes look even cooler. xD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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