J.Spin Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Event totals: 0.3” Snow/0.01” L.E. We’ve had a bit of snow in the air this evening, but it seems like today’s snow associated with lake enhancement moisture is done for the most part, so Details from the 6:00 P.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 0.3 inches New Liquid: 0.01 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 30.0 Snow Density: 3.3% H2O Temperature: 18.3 F Sky: Flurries Snow at the stake: 3.0 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Well, this next winter storm has been deemed impactful enough to get a name, and it’s called Winter Storm Avery. It’s essentially wall to wall winter weather advisories and winter storm watches across NNE at this point as the advisories map below shows. The BTV NWS projected accumulations map has generally got 4-6” in the valleys and 6-8” along the spine of the Greens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Alex, not sure if you saw my question or if I simply cannot find your reply, but how many events have you had? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 The BTV NWS updated their maps for Winter Storm Avery overnight. The main changes were to put some areas into Winter Storm Warnings, and most of VT was bumped to the 6-8” bracket on the expected snowfall map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Alex, not sure if you saw my question or if I simply cannot find your reply, but how many events have you had? Hey, sorry about that - I hadn't seen it. Responded there but I'll add it here too (it's also in the snow table, I've been trying to keep up with it at least after somewhat meaningful events). My total so far is 14.8": 18-Oct 0.5 19-Oct 0 24-Oct 1.75 25-Oct 0.1 28-Oct 0.2 3-Nov 0.2 9-Nov 1.5 10-Nov 1.75 11-Nov 0.7 13-Nov 8 14-Nov 0.1 A lot of these were very elevation dependent, so the ski hill got a lot more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Looking at that map by BTV, I find it odd that Essex county has a WSW but Windsor County only has a WWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Did everything it could not to go below 0... Low of 0.1 lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 15, 2018 Author Share Posted November 15, 2018 Boy this storm doesn't look like a big deal up here. GFS only has .25" or so qpf, Euro and NAM a bit more. Maybe this will be a 3-6" type event. Most will fall overnight. Guess Im getting jaded when a storm like this doesn't even get me excited and its only mid November. Glad the SNE weenies are getting something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 Saw -4 at BML this morning, and 3 at IZG. Wind was still mixing things well into the evening so my possible run at zero was delayed, but temp got down near that IZG reading. I think a lot of folks were caught a bit short for winter prep. In my case our reno project occupied the front porch for materials prep. Since that's where we usually have about 60% of the year's firewood stacked by Nov 1, it put me way behind, and just as we cleaned off the construction stuff the rain arrived, further complicating things. Now it looks like there will be a foot of snow on the wood piled in the yard by tomorrow evening - at 5" currently - which will only slow the process more. It's also deer season, though for the first time since moving to Maine in 1973 I failed to hunt a single minute until the middle Saturday, and have been out only 2 mornings and one (very windy) evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 MVL hit 2F for a min... not bad. Not quite BML level but plenty cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 1 hour ago, wxeyeNH said: Boy this storm doesn't look like a big deal up here. GFS only has .25" or so qpf, Euro and NAM a bit more. Maybe this will be a 3-6" type event. Most will fall overnight. Guess Im getting jaded when a storm like this doesn't even get me excited and its only mid November. Glad the SNE weenies are getting something. I like widespread 4-7" but where ever that mesoscale band sets up in NNY and NVT into NNH could pop 8"+ in a short amount of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 22 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I like widespread 4-7" but where ever that mesoscale band sets up in NNY and NVT into NNH could pop 8"+ in a short amount of time. I thought you said "poop". ha ha, I'm so happy for snow, even the measly 2" i'll be getting down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 I just checked out the BTV NWS map updates, and as they often do, they’ve slowly ratcheted things up as the storm gets closer and confidence builds. The projected accumulations were bumped up a notch, apparently enough that it nudged most areas into Winter Storm Warning criteria, so those have expanded to a lot of the area. For our site, the point forecast is in the 6-12” range through Friday night, and as PF has been saying (and the BTV NWS forecast discussion notes as well), getting up into the higher end of that range would probably depend on getting into some banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted November 15, 2018 Share Posted November 15, 2018 It's amazing how wintry it feels. Trees are caked with snow, there's a pretty decent snowpack, and the forecast has snow every few days and temperature at or below freezing throughout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 3 hours ago, alex said: It's amazing how wintry it feels. Trees are caked with snow, there's a pretty decent snowpack, and the forecast has snow every few days and temperature at or below freezing throughout. One solid start to the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Our P&C was increased to 5-13". Seems high. Nothing yet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 17 minutes ago, alex said: Our P&C was increased to 5-13". Seems high. Nothing yet! Saw my first flake at 10:30. Nice, moderate snow now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Radar has been really impressive down in SVT...good amount of 30-35dbz moving through. I would assume some near 2" rates in there-although dryslot is racing N. Might need to get a webcam setup as I will be on the road a bit this winter for work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 I say that and of course DDH has just been reporting -SN and VIS about 1.5mi Not exactly 2" per hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 The BTV NWS mentioned in their discussion that they did a bit of an update in their projected accumulations map, so that’s added below. Their latest thoughts have a general 8-12” stripe along the spine of the Greens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Event totals: 4.4” Snow/0.43” L.E. Details from the 6:00 A.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 4.4 inches New Liquid: 0.43 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 10.2 Snow Density: 9.8% H2O Temperature: 24.4 F Sky: Snow (1-10 mm flakes) Snow at the stake: 7.0 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Below I’ve added the latest projected accumulations map from the BTV NWS. They talk about the mesoband hitting the Champlain Valley in their discussion, so the updated totals seem to reflect that. Here at the house our most recent overnight forecasts were 3-5” and then 4-8”, and both were good estimates of what we received. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
borderwx Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Pouring snow 21F 6.5” with an inch of that falling while I cleared the driveway full whiteout. Glad they cancelled school, the town plows must all be out in their stands Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Haven't measured yet but I'd say it's going to bust badly here. Maybe a couple of inches so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Snowfall was light and flake size was small as I headed west from Waterbury this morning, and it stayed that way as I continued toward the Champlain Valley up until I hit Williston. At that point the flakes got larger (10-15 mm) and intensity increased. Visibility was still in the ½ to ¼ mile range, so nothing outrageous, but a definite bump up from farther east. There’s a steady snow here in Burlington now, and it looks like the snow is pushing back to the east now based on the radar: Road conditions were fine this morning, snow-packed on Route 2 and black tire lanes on I-89. I didn’t see any accidents so it looks like it was experienced Vermonters driving the way experienced winter drivers do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 I'd estimate 6-7" at Stowe, maybe a touch more? We were right on the southern edge of the big band. The real winner was this zone over towards Newport for the pivot point. Lots of 8-10"+ there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
borderwx Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Confirmed PF Another 5” (11.5”) since 6:45 back to whiteout conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ApacheTrout Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 4.9 total here in Orwell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Only about 2.6 inches as of 8:30. Darn dry slot (not Dryslot). Nice glacial base however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted November 16, 2018 Share Posted November 16, 2018 Snow has started back up here in Burlington, and from the radar it looks like the next block of moisture we’re been hearing about is just heading into the area. Hopefully the Greens will do their usual job of wringing out some of that available moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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