shaggy Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 The town of bath yesterday supposedly rose another 6 to 8 feet after this picture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 Video from Southport. https://twitter.com/bucksabound/status/1040594886137991168 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 Last couple of frames on radar almost seemed as if she was starting to move wnw a bit. Just my eyes, or anyone else notice it? Might just be a wobble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 Concerned about tornado spin ups in the triangle this afternoon/evening. We'll be in the right quad later today and after some daytime heating/instability, will be in the prime location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 6 minutes ago, BooneWX said: Last couple of frames on radar almost seemed as if she was starting to move wnw a bit. Just my eyes, or anyone else notice it? Might just be a wobble. Seems like land interaction forced it south, and now it's readjusting back to the expecting heading. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 2 minutes ago, HKY_WX said: Concerned about tornado spin ups in the triangle this afternoon/evening. We'll be in the right quad later today and after some daytime heating/instability, will be in the prime location. Everything coming in off the ocean is spinning right now....probably going to be a problem today and even tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 2 hours ago, calculus1 said: Brad P Update for his viewing area, in particular: Def one of the best if not the best in Charlotte but I question his wind map in that video. I wonder if that map was supposed to be wind speed and not gusts like he mentioned. Only say that because it showed us maxing around 39 mph (gusts according to him) but we have officially at the Monroe airport had gusts in the low to mid 30’s all day today already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 GFS cut back on the totals for people in the W.Piedmont/foothills on this last run.The NAM looks similar and is a bit less. It brings heavy rain in around hour 38 and lasts to about hour 56,with lighter rain on either end for a bit so it pours for at least 18 hours. Solid 4''-8'' looks ok right now with isolated 10'' lollipops possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
knowledgeispwr Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 3 minutes ago, NC_hailstorm said: GFS cut back on the totals for people in the W.Piedmont/foothills on this last run.The NAM looks similar and is a bit less. It brings heavy rain in around hour 38 and lasts to about hour 56,with lighter rain on either end for a bit so it pours for at least 18 hours. Solid 4''-8'' looks ok right now with isolated 10'' lollipops possible. Does this include the Triad region? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 10 minutes ago, knowledgeispwr said: Does this include the Triad region? 10 minutes ago, knowledgeispwr said: Does this include the Triad region? GFS has your area right on 6'',higher totals to the southwest 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryan1234 Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 38 minutes ago, GunBlade said: Def one of the best if not the best in Charlotte but I question his wind map in that video. I wonder if that map was supposed to be wind speed and not gusts like he mentioned. Only say that because it showed us maxing around 39 mph (gusts according to him) but we have officially at the Monroe airport had gusts in the low to mid 30’s all day today already. Brad is simply amazing. I have never seen a met who is as dedicated and explains weather as he does. Winds have definitely been a bit gustier than I would have anticipated by this time. I wouldn't be surprised to see gusts over 50 MPH, especially tomorrow as the storm moves closer. I got a feeling we will be seeing lots of trees down by Sunday evening. Given that Charlotte could be looking at 1,000-year rainfall event. GSP even bumped the totals to over 10 inches with isolated 15 in some places near and east of I-77. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 Latest storm total rainfall forecast from NWS GSP for their forecast area. So, far, I have 0.00 inch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 That onshore firehose band is pummeling areas just south of me....its raining like crazy here and the returns are greens and yellows those areas from Havelock to New Bern to Kinston are just getting hammered..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 13 minutes ago, calculus1 said: Latest storm total rainfall forecast from NWS GSP for their forecast area. So, far, I have 0.00 inch. I've had a few quick sprinkles today.. But still 0.00 in the rain gauge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 Rain slowly creeping in and only about a county away from Union now and looks to be on path with forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 27 minutes ago, calculus1 said: Latest storm total rainfall forecast from NWS GSP for their forecast area. So, far, I have 0.00 inch. That seems a bit overdone IMO. I may be wrong but I think Brad P's forecast of 4-8 is more reasonable for CLT. Lines up with GFS products. I'll need to check but I don't know if any models showed a foot of rain for CLT yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 1 minute ago, SnowNiner said: That seems a bit overdone IMO. I may be wrong but I think Brad P's forecast of 4-8 is more reasonable for CLT. Lines up with GFS products. I'll need to check but I don't know if any models showed a foot of rain for CLT yet? Euro has for a while now. Seems like U.K. did? Can’t remember on U.K. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 Euro has Hurricane Force gusts into the upstate of SC, didn't expect that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 3 minutes ago, JoshM said: Euro has Hurricane Force gusts into the upstate of SC, didn't expect that! It’s also showing the farthest South path, that’s what it would take to get those gusts, if they are even possible!? Looks like the “remnant”eyeis S of CAE and heading for Augusta National! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kilgore Trout Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 1 hour ago, calculus1 said: Latest storm total rainfall forecast from NWS GSP for their forecast area. So, far, I have 0.00 inch. Where did you get this product? Been hunting around the GSP webpage for 15 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 11 minutes ago, Kilgore Trout said: Where did you get this product? Been hunting around the GSP webpage for 15 minutes. https://www.weather.gov/gsp/brief_hydro 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 Driving back from Destin and have passed 40 or more power crews heading up 85 in South Carolina. Ive seen creaa from Georgia, Alabama, And Mississippi so far. God bless those guys... they are going to some long days ahead of them 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 The afternoon update has reduced those storm-total precipitation forecasts in the NW piedmont of NC: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 Curious if the banding coming thru Durham and just south of 85 is just heavy rain or is it packing TS force winds too? Looks strong! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 13 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said: Curious if the banding coming thru Durham and just south of 85 is just heavy rain or is it packing TS force winds too? Looks strong! I would think so. That's exactly where I would expect them. Let us know if you can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 The 18z NAM continues to cut these rainfall totals in NW NC,3''-5'' across there on this run with a big cutoff just SE of CLT where 9'' plus are.Might be a bit light but we'll see. Carry on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 That tornado warning by Oxford the real deal......decent couplet there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
knowledgeispwr Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 10 minutes ago, NC_hailstorm said: The 18z NAM continues to cut these rainfall totals in NW NC,3''-5'' across there on this run with a big cutoff just SE of CLT where 9'' plus are.Might be a bit light but we'll see. Carry on. Do the lower totals appear to be from speed, storm track, both, something else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 23 minutes ago, NC_hailstorm said: The 18z NAM continues to cut these rainfall totals in NW NC,3''-5'' across there on this run with a big cutoff just SE of CLT where 9'' plus are.Might be a bit light but we'll see. Carry on. 3k NAM looks like it actually increased over NW NC? vs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted September 14, 2018 Share Posted September 14, 2018 Has the center of circulation passed in SC yet? No eye anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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