Ander Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 In Durham, I went out for a ride this morning to see what was going on. Tons of tree service and utility trucks staging here in parking lots. I took a few pics from different parking lots (Home Depot on 15-501, Target @ Southpoint, Rise Donuts @ Southpoint, and a Hess gas station @ Southpoint and one on the road). https://photos.app.goo.gl/pySFf4aBDFcAv3S17 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted September 13, 2018 Author Share Posted September 13, 2018 Posted by accident in the main thread, but you can watch the webcams at atlantic beach and see the waves really getting up now, occasionally kissing the underside of the pier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 12 minutes ago, ander420 said: In Durham, I went out for a ride this morning to see what was going on. Tons of tree service and utility trucks staging here in parking lots. I took a few pics from different parking lots (Home Depot on 15-501, Target @ Southpoint, Rise Donuts @ Southpoint, and a Hess gas station @ Southpoint and one on the road). https://photos.app.goo.gl/pySFf4aBDFcAv3S17 Those guys are some unsung hero's. I remember how awesome they were in the aftermath of Fran. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 Does anyone have a link to the latest power outage projection map for NC? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steven_1974 Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 2 minutes ago, CaryWx said: Does anyone have a link to the latest power outage projection map for NC? Thanks http://ioe-guikema.engin.umich.edu/Hurricane_Florence.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steven_1974 Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 How often would you say a wind gust would come through in an area like the Triangle in a storm like this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 59 minutes ago, Wow said: Good news is the models seem to keep her moving west rather than a stall and turn SW.. good news at least for the coast. More headache for inland though. GFS and UKMet run it west to east across central/northern SC, but the FV3 and Euro send it more SW and track it down into southern SC. The latest Euro actually keeps the center offshore of SC until it hits Charleston, then moves it west across southern SC. IMO, the FV3 and Euro have been the better performing models in terms of being the trend setters. In terms of coastal storm surge and beach erosion, I would put Topsail Beach up thru Sneads Ferry in the crosshair for max damage....bad up thru Emerald Isle as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 Thanks Stephen. The wind gusts tend to come in gales or at least with Fran they did. The intervals were not consistent that I recall but the winds tended to well up and get louder as the gale got closer. You would hear crashing or tree limbs snapping. The gale was then upon you for a minute or so. Then it would die down again while you waited for the next one. Like some twisted chinese water torture you just hoped the next one that came was not stronger and put a tree on your home. This went on for agonizing hours. Night time was the worst 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 Frying Pan Ocean Cam Live https://youtu.be/deG4NxkouGM 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 Recon: 953.8mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phishbfm Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 Do we think she'll continue to weaken or possibly get stronger/stay the same? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 1 minute ago, phishbfm said: Do we think she'll continue to weaken or possibly get stronger/stay the same? If recon is finding pressure drops then I would expect at least maintaining or slight strengthening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 957mb down to 953.8mb is not good for us land people and our stuff phish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 Atlantic Beach Pier is about to go down. The waves are knocking the end of the pier sideways. Wont be long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 3k nam just offshore wilmington at 15hr. shows the core really tightening up as it approached the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 2 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said: Atlantic Beach Pier is about to go down. The waves are knocking the end of the pier sideways. Wont be long. got a link? EDIT: nevermind, found it https://www.surfline.com/surf-report/oceanana-pier/584204204e65fad6a7709992 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryan1234 Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 Per TWC Charlotte is on the edge of where power outages are likely. Granted it is TWC, but something I hope doesn't come to fruition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 She needs to turn wnw now to make landfall just north of ilm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 Gusts already over hurricane force NE of Morehead City. https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KNCDAVIS2&cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 center tightening up and convection firing around the center now that she is over the gulf stream, several models showed strengthening as it approached the coast and took the left turn. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=06L&product=ir Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 Looks to my untrained eye that if it continues on the track it's on (looks like almost NNW) that it would make landfall around Beaufort, NC.Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 11 minutes ago, tramadoc said: Looks to my untrained eye that if it continues on the track it's on (looks like almost NNW) that it would make landfall around Beaufort, NC. Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk you can see the slowdown and slow drift westward here https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=MHX&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=yes 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 Oceanna Pier yesterday compared to today. Already looking bad. 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 The eye is rather large ( well the inner one ) and if it landfalls at Topsail the north eyewall will be near Swansboro/Emerald Isle and the southern eyewall will be Wrightsville/ILM.....thats nuts...if she stays more west from there interior NC gonna get widespread hurricane force gust.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 3k nam is ridiculous, widespread 10"+ totals inland and still raining late saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 24 minutes ago, tramadoc said: Looks to my untrained eye that if it continues on the track it's on (looks like almost NNW) that it would make landfall around Beaufort, NC. Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk 12 minutes ago, DopplerWx said: you can see the slowdown and slow drift westward here https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=MHX&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=yes Yeah, now is the time that it should begin to veer off more to the WNW, then West....but the trend has definitely been for it tracking a little north of the Euro and TVCN guidance...the GFS has done pretty well actually in the short term, but it veers it off to the west as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thor Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 HRRR trend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 The 11 AM advisory has Florence down to 105 MPH maximum sustained winds, though the pressure also dropped slightly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 1 minute ago, superjames1992 said: The 11 AM advisory has Florence down to 105 MPH maximum sustained winds, though the pressure also dropped slightly. She still has the gulfstream over the next 6-12 hours per the 11am disco and some models showed her strengthening during that crossing. This is also VERY interesting part of the disco to me. The subtropical ridge to the northeast and east of Florence is now well-established between Bermuda and the U.S. mid-Atlantic region and extends westward into Virginia and the central Appalachians. This large-scale feature is expected to keep the hurricane moving northwestward today, followed by a turn toward the west at a much slower speed on Friday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 Chaser located on North Topsail Beach. He's in a "good" spot for surge....hope he has a high floor to retreat to though - https://twitter.com/aaronjayjack/status/1040253660939341824 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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