Damage In Tolland Posted September 10, 2018 Share Posted September 10, 2018 21 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: The 18Z GFS was interesting since it has Flo looping around in the Carolinas long enough for the trough coming down from Canada yanking it NE through us as a 985mb low, around day 8. Any chance of that happening? Ride every other piece of guidance in the world. It’s going into NC man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 10, 2018 Share Posted September 10, 2018 4 hours ago, sbos_wx said: I have so much trouble finding the spaghetti models and ensemble with individual member tracks on weathermodels.com ...... Weathernerds.org. is awesome check it out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 2 hours ago, OceanStWx said: The ensemble sensitivity is pointing towards influence on Florence being "local." Local on the north side though. It's the ridge building over the top that really forces the northern/eastern or southern/western solutions. We're just missing the climo OV dip... Otherwise the Atlantic did its part - it's just relaying it into no man's land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 I'll be down there for it. Wish me luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 4 minutes ago, CT Rain said: I'll be down there for it. Wish me luck. My sister lives in Va Beach. Debatin' it it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 3 minutes ago, CT Rain said: I'll be down there for it. Wish me luck. be safe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 God, stupid people being interviewed by TWC saying they are not evacuating and want to ride this out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 3 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: God, stupid people being interviewed by TWC saying they are not evacuating and want to ride this out Oh that's a trope at this point - automatic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 Looks like an EWRC under way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ursa99 Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 2 hours ago, ineedsnow said: Weathernerds.org. is awesome check it out Google Earth has Spaghetti plots... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 2 hours ago, CT Rain said: I'll be down there for it. Wish me luck. Where will you be? Most of OBX is sea level. A moderate storm surge means, I think, that you better be in a safe place because there's nowhere to go. Yikes.Good luck and be safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 46 minutes ago, NECT said: Where will you be? Most of OBX is sea level. A moderate storm surge means, I think, that you better be in a safe place because there's nowhere to go. Yikes.Good luck and be safe. Not sure yet but probably somewhere inland a bit. No desire to get stuck or to drown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 8 hours ago, CT Rain said: I'll be down there for it. Wish me luck. Goodluck Ryan!! I tried getting the time off of work to go but just wasn't possible.. stay safe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spaizzo Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 If you’re looking for close to OBX Elizabeth City is just inland closer to the Northern Banks, has access to the banks and it’s one of the few areas with hotels. It still might be too close to the getting stuck part tho as that whole stretch tends to be flood prone. OBX is already experiencing some over washing in parts at high tide. They tend to flood after a good hard rain in many parts due to horrid drainage. Their ground is saturated from some heavier than normal rains the last 2 months. This isn’t looking good for them if the track remains. It’s an impressive area for hurricane or storm coverage. The sound side tends to get the water “sucked” out to where it’s near puddles and then it rushes back in. Be safe!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 Everything shifted to the euro overnight, #shocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 Right into ILM / Cape Fear as we’ve thought all along Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Right into ILM / Cape Fear as we’ve thought all along I think this goes close to Savannah/SC line, SW trend not done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 16 minutes ago, Modfan said: I think this goes close to Savannah/SC line, SW trend not done Lol. There’s a reason why canes don’t hit those areas directly . Shape of coastline . It’s got MYB to Cape Fear all over it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 SWC and TOLWC have been dead on with their Florence forecast for many days now. No reason to deviate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 Florence to Florence? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 52 minutes ago, dendrite said: Florence to Florence? Poetic injustice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 Interesting bit about track and model physics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 As if we needed more reason to put the GFS to bed. A 20 year old cloud physics scheme, that’s basically an if/then while other models are more dynamic (including the FV3). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 Just hell on Earth, local statement from ILM https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/WTUS82-KILM.shtml?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 12 hours ago, CT Rain said: I'll be down there for it. Wish me luck. Where Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 38 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: As if we needed more reason to put the GFS to bed. A 20 year old cloud physics scheme, that’s basically an if/then while other models are more dynamic (including the FV3). Good news the 3 is an improvement. gfs can be trashed and deleted from the hardrives now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 I believe we’re at cat 5 now which should be reflected in the next update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: I believe we’re at cat 5 now which should be reflected in the next update. Have not been on the internet or looked at the storm until just now. First thing was looking at the satellite and now reading this thread. Flo didn't look super on the vis, surprised its near Cat 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 45 minutes ago, weathafella said: I believe we’re at cat 5 now which should be reflected in the next update. Wrong again buffalo breath.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 Be gentle to yourself. He’s the only person who will ever truly love you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.