sauss06 Posted December 12, 2018 Share Posted December 12, 2018 1 hour ago, pasnownut said: lol. I may have made progress on the belly and the grey a bit, but I've got a lot of work to do. Mind you this was merely for fun, and to just cast a bit of "its gonna be ok" into the warmish period coming up, as it looks to be transient and a "no need for toasters" kinda warmup. You guys talking about 2015 made me start to twitch/tick all over again. Hope i never relive a Christmas like that in PA. It's just not right. I agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 12, 2018 Share Posted December 12, 2018 4 hours ago, pasnownut said: lol. I may have made progress on the belly and the grey a bit, but I've got a lot of work to do. Mind you this was merely for fun, and to just cast a bit of "its gonna be ok" into the warmish period coming up, as it looks to be transient and a "no need for toasters" kinda warmup. You guys talking about 2015 made me start to twitch/tick all over again. Hope i never relive a Christmas like that in PA. It's just not right. Not only isn't it right, it's just not fair. I mean...we don't get 40 degree days in July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 12, 2018 Author Share Posted December 12, 2018 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Not only isn't it right, it's just not fair. I mean...we don't get 40 degree days in July. Couldn't agree more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 12, 2018 Share Posted December 12, 2018 71 glorious degrees here in Katy, TX this afternoon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 12, 2018 Share Posted December 12, 2018 3 hours ago, Voyager said: 71 glorious degrees here in Katy, TX this afternoon! Eat Whataburger for me. #4 double. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 12, 2018 Share Posted December 12, 2018 19 minutes ago, canderson said: Eat Whataburher for me. #4 double. I wish, but the Loves that I'm at has an Arby's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 12, 2018 Share Posted December 12, 2018 1 hour ago, Voyager said: I wish, but the Loves that I'm at has an Arby's. Uber to a Whataburger. I’ll pay! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 13, 2018 Share Posted December 13, 2018 38 minutes ago, canderson said: Uber to a Whataburger. I’ll pay! That's going to be quite the expensive burger...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted December 13, 2018 Share Posted December 13, 2018 Why are you trying to save this dope money? Take the UberX, get some strange, and then have a damn burger. He's offering his money, take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 13, 2018 Share Posted December 13, 2018 31 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: Why are you trying to save this dope money? Take the UberX, get some strange, and then have a damn burger. He's offering his money, take it. OMG... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 13, 2018 Author Share Posted December 13, 2018 Since there's not much to talk about, I'll just throw this out there to give the Christmas miracle a little hope.... Just use your imagination....and a little meteo madness that most of us supposedly come here for....and draw your own conclusions. Purely for fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 13, 2018 Share Posted December 13, 2018 Well the Accuweather long range forecast, from 3 weeks ago, calling for winter to hold off until Late January is looking better and better by the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 13, 2018 Share Posted December 13, 2018 50 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Since there's not much to talk about, I'll just throw this out there to give the Christmas miracle a little hope.... Just use your imagination....and a little meteo madness that most of us supposedly come here for....and draw your own conclusions. Purely for fun so, nut says its gonna snow for Christmas..................At least thats how i read it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 13, 2018 Share Posted December 13, 2018 24 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: Well the Accuweather long range forecast, from 3 weeks ago, calling for winter to hold off until Late January is looking better and better by the day. I'll say that is for sure. I hope the November snow was not a tease for us right now. Boring and nothing looks good at this point with where things are headed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 13, 2018 Share Posted December 13, 2018 It actually looks like a little something on the 23rd sneaking in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 13, 2018 Author Share Posted December 13, 2018 26 minutes ago, sauss06 said: so, nut says its gonna snow for Christmas..................At least thats how i read it my work is done................ and your soooo easy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 13, 2018 Author Share Posted December 13, 2018 4 minutes ago, sauss06 said: It actually looks like a little something on the 23rd sneaking in the way i look at it, when things "looked" great.....we got jack. So now that things look boring/mundane, lets look for something and see where we go. Pattern isn't ripe for snow, but its not a shut the shades deal either. More of a see/saw.....yee/haw kinda deal till we near Christmas. Gut says that a week from now, we may be sending the dogs out to track. Sure hope so. IF...big if....we can get a zonal/split flow kinda deal like some OP/Ens guidance has hinted at, it could be fun as we are approaching peak snow climo, so its "easier" for it to snow round these here parts. Headed on the road to play santa to clients, so someone find something for us to gaze at today. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted December 13, 2018 Share Posted December 13, 2018 8 minutes ago, pasnownut said: so someone find something for us to gaze at today. Nut I got you... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 13, 2018 Author Share Posted December 13, 2018 1 hour ago, Atomixwx said: I got you... 1 hour ago, pasnownut said: so someone find something for us to gaze at today. Nut were in good hands now. Bring it home bud. 1 Santa out.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 23 hours ago, pasnownut said: the way i look at it, when things "looked" great.....we got jack. So now that things look boring/mundane, lets look for something and see where we go. Pattern isn't ripe for snow, but its not a shut the shades deal either. More of a see/saw.....yee/haw kinda deal till we near Christmas. Gut says that a week from now, we may be sending the dogs out to track. Sure hope so. IF...big if....we can get a zonal/split flow kinda deal like some OP/Ens guidance has hinted at, it could be fun as we are approaching peak snow climo, so its "easier" for it to snow round these here parts. Headed on the road to play santa to clients, so someone find something for us to gaze at today. Nut Hey Santa, 23rd-24th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 15, 2018 Share Posted December 15, 2018 We are in great shape with our seasonal snow total for this date. The 8.8 inches of snow at MDT back on November 15 basically covered the average snow amount through the end of December. This chart shows many places are doing very well with snow at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted December 15, 2018 Share Posted December 15, 2018 Starting to like prospects of a change to snow at end of this system.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 15, 2018 Share Posted December 15, 2018 20 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Starting to like prospects of a change to snow at end of this system. . Do you think most of CTP has the chance to change over to snow or just a portion of the area ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2018 Author Share Posted December 15, 2018 2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Do you think most of CTP has the chance to change over to snow or just a portion of the area ? looks to me like NE/poconos is best spots to see the snow from tomorrows event. Meso's like that region most, but some upslope will also be seen back in the laurels/cent mountains at elevation. I hope it happens for those that can get it, because things have turned rather scroogish beyond next week. Lets just say that 500MB maps have colors in all the wrong places. Too far out to get worried, but I'm starting to worry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 15, 2018 Share Posted December 15, 2018 The 12z NAM likes the idea of a change to snow for some of us tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted December 15, 2018 Share Posted December 15, 2018 Here is my two cents so far on this Winter. November this year acted like a Winter month we had a great storm and lots of below normal temps. December so far not so great. It hasn't been a furnace, but snowfall wise blah. We just missed a big ticket storm last week which would have made a big difference around here. It is mid December and we are looking at a possible two to three week crap pattern. In a crap pattern we may luck out and score, but I would not count on it. If January, February, and March produce which I think they will, December will be a distant memory. Snow around the holidays is great, but not common. Anyway too much talking from me. Lots of Winter to go! I think we will all be happy when this Winter ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 15, 2018 Share Posted December 15, 2018 7 minutes ago, daxx said: Here is my two cents so far on this Winter. November this year acted like a Winter month we had a great storm and lots of below normal temps. December so far not so great. It hasn't been a furnace, but snowfall wise blah. We just missed a big ticket storm last week which would have made a big difference around here. It is mid December and we are looking at a possible two to three week crap pattern. In a crap pattern we may luck out and score, but I would not count on it. If January, February, and March produce which I think they will, December will be a distant memory. Snow around the holidays is great, but not common. Anyway too much talking from me. Lots of Winter to go! I think we will all be happy when this Winter ends. Yes, it hurt that the storm last week missed by about 200 miles to our south. If we even got 3-6 inches from that, we would be on a top 10 snow year pace. As it is, we are in a good pace now, even if we get shut out in December. Most of our great years, the snow comes in a 6-8 week period. Heck, 2010 around here was basically 1 great week in February ! The last run of the Euro weeklies set up a great looking pattern by mid January. If that is the case, we would have 2 solid months to score more snow through the middle of March. The next couple of weeks do not look great, but also they do not look like a shut out pattern. We may just need to time something just right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 15, 2018 Share Posted December 15, 2018 Here is the 12z GEFS our through 384 hours, which takes us to New Year’s Eve. There are a few ensemble members that would make us happy! We have had many “great” patterns in the past that haven’t brought much snow. We have also had luck in patterns that have not looked great from a couple of weeks out. It doesn’t have to be cold, but just “cold enough” to get snow in December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 15, 2018 Share Posted December 15, 2018 A few days along the Gulf Coast, and here I am in Raphine, VA freezing my arse off... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 16, 2018 Share Posted December 16, 2018 We need to keep our eye on a possible snow event for Christmas Eve & Christmas morning. The models have been recently showing a weak over running type of storm that could produce an advisory level event. If the High pressure area to the north can strengthen slightly to lock in just a little more cold air, without suppressing the storm, we could be in a good spot for a chance at some Christmas snow ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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