EastCoast NPZ Posted September 16, 2018 Share Posted September 16, 2018 Just now, C.A.P.E. said: If you don't go with met seasons, Sept is predominately a summer month. And it works better for here. Just getting it to be 'less hot' for most of the month is a win. It is here, and always seems to hold on forever. But we do have averages for a reason, and we always seem to be above them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 16, 2018 Share Posted September 16, 2018 Just now, nw baltimore wx said: I think this weekend's weather has been great. I have the AC off, the windows open, and the ceiling fans are creating a gentle breeze throughout the house. Yeah its not bad. I think yesterday was better than today. It was breezy, and being outside most of the time, it seemed less humid, although I didn't really look. Plus it was mostly cloudy. Almost fall-like! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 16, 2018 Share Posted September 16, 2018 Since it's my annual 'regrow the lawn' period, I am totally fine with the warm weather. Lower sun and warm soil = good. I just don't want any deluges in the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted September 16, 2018 Share Posted September 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Yeah its not bad. I think yesterday was better than today. It was breezy, and being outside most of the time, it seemed less humid, although I didn't really look. Plus it was mostly cloudy. Almost fall-like! I mowed the lawn yesterday and rotated tires on a car. By the time I was done I looked like I fell off a dock. Totally normal for sept wx but I'm over it. Sweatshirt wx can't come soon enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 16, 2018 Share Posted September 16, 2018 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: I mowed the lawn yesterday and rotated tires on a car. By the time I was done I looked like I fell off a dock. Totally normal for sept wx but I'm over it. Sweatshirt wx can't come soon enough lol Yeah I was sweatin' too, but its all relative. Around 9 am the clouds broke here and it got breezy. Felt good, and seemed like the dews were a bit lower with the mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 On 9/15/2018 at 4:19 PM, EastCoast NPZ said: My point and click has highs of 84f for Friday, and we all know that is likely to trend upward as we close in. If we are mid 80s, then there will be 90f in the forecast area. Like clockwork. NWS has already raised forecast to 88. 90f is now a certainty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 The good news is that the 18z gfs got a bit more aggressive with the day 13 front. Now gets 2C 850s imby at 312hr. That's down a couple degrees from 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 21 hours ago, Bob Chill said: I mowed the lawn yesterday and rotated tires on a car. By the time I was done I looked like I fell off a dock. Totally normal for sept wx but I'm over it. Sweatshirt wx can't come soon enough Let's keep the sweatshirt stored away until thanksgiving please... Is it so hard to ask for fall to be 80 and sunny? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 8 minutes ago, Subtropics said: Let's keep the sweatshirt stored away until thanksgiving please... Is it so hard to ask for fall to be 80 and sunny? Yes , it is. 80F is summer, not fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 2 hours ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Yes , it is. 80F is summer, not fall. I'm moving to NC (Wilmington Area ironically) next year so I guess I can put up with one more cold fall... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 Hrrr gets us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 Possible rotation just south of EZF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 Watching that cell just NW of Stafford. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 Nice downpour here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 5 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: Watching that cell just NW of Stafford. Seems like the only legit tornado potential is tail end charlie south of RIC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Seems like the only legit tornado potential is tail end charlie south of RIC. I'm okay with that. Just enough to cool the air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tater Tot Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 Odd how transient the rotation was on the Stafford cell. Appeared and disappeared within one scan. I guess they don't call them brief spinups for nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 Line forming west of Dumfries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 I am in that line west of Dumfries and where that little spin up showed up north west of Stafford. Sky got really dark and wind picked up, gusted in the 20s... for about 30 seconds. Now it's bright and showery as before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 Just got a Tor warning here at work, just Northwest of Richmond. Edit: My phone gave the alert, but it looks like the TOR warning is well South of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 51 minutes ago, NovaTarHeel said: Just got a Tor warning here at work, just Northwest of Richmond. Edit: My phone gave the alert, but it looks like the TOR warning is well South of us. Really surprised there isn't even a slight risk today down there. SPC really lacking with this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 .84" in the bucket at home...looks to about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 12z GFS is a complete disaster. Nothing but AN temps from start to finish, except for those times we are extremely AN. We will be recording upper 80s well into October if that run is correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 Tornado warning for the city of Richmond Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 Legit TOR and couplet headed right for RIC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 12 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: 12z GFS is a complete disaster. Nothing but AN temps from start to finish, except for those times we are extremely AN. We will be recording upper 80s well into October if that run is correct. Keep it coming! Average is AN across the world now anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 16 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: 12z GFS is a complete disaster. Nothing but AN temps from start to finish, except for those times we are extremely AN. We will be recording upper 80s well into October if that run is correct. Let's hope it's not right. The 06z GFS had alot of 40's for lows and 60's/70's for highs after day 10. I could go for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 14 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: 12z GFS is a complete disaster. Nothing but AN temps from start to finish, except for those times we are extremely AN. We will be recording upper 80s well into October if that run is correct. Not many cool nights in that run. Foliage should be near peak color by early December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 TOR being processed for King George and Spotsylvania. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 Quote ULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 311 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2018 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN STAFFORD COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... WEST CENTRAL KING GEORGE COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA... THE EASTERN CITY OF FREDERICKSBURG IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA... EAST CENTRAL SPOTSYLVANIA COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA... * UNTIL 345 PM EDT. * AT 310 PM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR MASSAPONAX, OR NEAR FREDERICKSBURG, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FOR THOSE IN THE DIRECT PATH OF A TORNADO TOUCHDOWN, FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, SIDING, AND WINDOWS MAY OCCUR. MOBILE HOMES MAY BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... FREDERICKSBURG AROUND 320 PM EDT. OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE BROOKE, STONES CORNER, LEELAND, PASSAPATANZY, WHITE OAK, SEALSTON, BROOKFIELD, SPRING VALLEY AND FALMOUTH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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