Hoosier Posted September 8, 2018 Share Posted September 8, 2018 Tornado warning in southern IN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted September 8, 2018 Share Posted September 8, 2018 29 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Tornado warning in southern IN. New tornado warning for same cell. Damage reported on north side of Tell City when it moved through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted September 8, 2018 Share Posted September 8, 2018 44 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Tornado warning in southern IN. Interesting since yesterdays IND HWO mentioned a tornado chance with this system but SPC didn't give too much stock in the idea. Today however they admit the possibility. Watch the WF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted September 8, 2018 Share Posted September 8, 2018 Tornado touched down NW of Owensboro KY. Quote BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Paducah KY 415 PM CDT SAT SEP 8 2018 The National Weather Service in Paducah has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Spencer County in southwestern Indiana... North central Daviess County in northwestern Kentucky... * Until 500 PM CDT. * At 413 PM CDT, a tornadic thunderstorm was located near Rockport, moving northeast at 30 mph. A tornado touchdown was reported near Stanley Kentucky, where trees and power lines were blown down. A couple of other possible tornadic circulations were located just north and south of the primary circulation. HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * Locations impacted include... Rockport, Grandview, and Chrisney. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 9, 2018 Share Posted September 9, 2018 IND struggling a little today. Event total is near 4" so far but only a bit over an inch and a quarter today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted September 9, 2018 Share Posted September 9, 2018 Yep, the heaviest rain has definitely been south and sw IN closer to the Ohio River on a St Louis to Louisville axis. My friend who is worried about his basement and pump is pleased. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted September 9, 2018 Share Posted September 9, 2018 We are busy lamenting the flash and river flooding that has predominated the weather scene in the Midwest lately. However, if the GFS has a clue, Flo doing a sit-n-spin over the Mid Atlantic coast will make our rainfall look like a proverbial drop in the bucket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted September 9, 2018 Share Posted September 9, 2018 Some moderate rain at times. But pretty much light and steady last 48hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted September 9, 2018 Share Posted September 9, 2018 5.4 in my tippy bucket. A solid event total. The east coast can keep the extreme event totals. This was plenty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 9, 2018 Share Posted September 9, 2018 Nearly a shutout here. North side of the system was eaten by dry air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathernerd Posted September 9, 2018 Share Posted September 9, 2018 Yesterday about 4pm on the west side of Indy we had about a 10min span of very gusty winds, combined with the already saturated ground it was enough force to fell a 40ft ash tree on my property. Barely missed landing on my neighbors house and car. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted September 9, 2018 Share Posted September 9, 2018 3 minutes ago, weathernerd said: Yesterday about 4pm on the west side of Indy we had about a 10min span of very gusty winds, combined with the already saturated ground it was enough force to fell a 40ft ash tree on my property. Barely missed landing on my neighbors house and car. Yikes! We had a fairly stout ENE winds up here yesterday afternoon, but I also noticed a short period of VERY gusty winds late yesterday for short period of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighTechEE Posted September 9, 2018 Share Posted September 9, 2018 Topping out at 3.63" IMBY, looks like very light showers left for this afternoon. ILN went with 4-6" for most of SW Ohio on Friday (with locally heavier amounts in bands) so I'd say close enough for government work. Oxford just north of Cincy got 4" Thursday from storms ahead of this system, so I think they topped out near 8" for the past 4 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
n1vek Posted September 10, 2018 Share Posted September 10, 2018 It's been a letdown in the rain department. Hoping tonight/tomorrow pans out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted September 30, 2018 Author Share Posted September 30, 2018 the wet pattern has returned GFS has the firehouse back (PW vales >1.75 in) and dynamics pointed to western portions of the sub forum for the next 10 days at least WPC has 5 inches for Sourthn WI next 7 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted September 30, 2018 Share Posted September 30, 2018 4 hours ago, janetjanet998 said: the wet pattern has returned GFS has the firehouse back (PW vales >1.75 in) and dynamics pointed to western portions of the sub forum for the next 10 days at least WPC has 5 inches for Sourthn WI next 7 days Yeah the trend is definitely there for substantial rains to set up again. Today's GFS is even more impressive than yesterday's. The Euro also shows very heavy rains. Gonna be an interesting next week to 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted October 1, 2018 Share Posted October 1, 2018 Oh please not again! We just dried out from the last one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted October 1, 2018 Share Posted October 1, 2018 Our rivers are still flooded at several gauges. We can't handle another deluge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted October 4, 2018 Author Share Posted October 4, 2018 On 9/30/2018 at 10:13 PM, hlcater said: Our rivers are still flooded at several gauges. We can't handle another deluge. Waterloo rainfall so far this fall including 2 inches the other day SINCE SEP 1 15.59 2.91 +12.68 DVNHYDROLOGY ISSUED AT 330 AM CDT THU OCT 4 2018 ONGOING RIVER FLOODING LOOKS TO ONLY GET WORSE DURING THE NEXT WEEK WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL FORECAST EACH DAY, AND INDICATIONS OF THE WET PATTERN PERSISTING INTO WEEK 2. LITTLE CAPACITY EXISTS TO DEAL WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL NORTH OF US HIGHWAY 30 WHERE STREAM AND RIVERS ARE FULL AND SOILS ARE NEAR SATURATION. IN THE SHORTER TERM, THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN APPEARS HIGHEST LATER TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING, THEN AGAIN ESPECIALLY FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. IN ADDITION TO RIVER FLOODING, BE PREPARED FOR FLASH FLOODING AS WELL. AS DETAILS OF WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED BECOMES MORE CLEAR, WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR THIS HAZARD AS WELL. CURRENT INDICATIONS SUGGEST LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT ARE SHAPING UP TO BE PRIME WINDOWS FOR FLASH FLOOD HEADLINES AT LEAST FOR PORTIONS OF THE LOCAL FCST AREA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 With the rivers and lakes around the upper Midwest already as swollen as they are, I'm getting nervous for what's going to happen next spring if we get a lot of snow this coming winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 47 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: With the rivers and lakes around the upper Midwest already as swollen as they are, I'm getting nervous for what's going to happen next spring if we get a lot of snow this coming winter. This fall is reminding me of 2007. Hopefully we don't get a repeat of that winter or else it's going to be a very wet March/April for a lot of people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 I’d be okay with this active pattern running into December/January to be honest. However, didn’t someone say that wet falls tend to lead to drier winters? Maybe it was cold falls lead to warmer winters. It was some sort of inverse correlation like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 Some model runs have been indicating a tropical system moving into the Gulf next week. Even if that does occur, it may recurve far enough east. I think the way to get it farther west would be basically like what the 12z Canadian shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 1 hour ago, hlcater said: I’d be okay with this active pattern running into December/January to be honest. However, didn’t someone say that wet falls tend to lead to drier winters? Maybe it was cold falls lead to warmer winters. It was some sort of inverse correlation like that. Cold falls especially cold early Octobers usually end up with warmer winters. As for activity, you want that soil moisture upstream from you for winter storms, so an active fall should be positive for winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 Good t storm with heavy rain here in Indpls area at 1:15 p.m. EDT. Wondering about this afternoon for svr and heavy rain from me n/nw and moisture next week from possible tropical system from Gulf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 Gotta laugh at this. I will eat my arm if we get a sub 980 mb tropical remnant in the Ohio Valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 2 hours ago, Hoosier said: Gotta laugh at this. I will eat my arm if we get a sub 980 mb tropical remnant in the Ohio Valley If there was a way to give a negative chance of something happening, this would be it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 24 minutes ago, Stebo said: If there was a way to give a negative chance of something happening, this would be it. I mean, I kind of see why the model is doing that... there is a lot of interaction/phasing with the trough (deepens even more beyond that panel), but it's unclear if the timing will be right and even if it is, it would be a miracle to have it that deep. You'd be talking like once in a lifetime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 Just now, Hoosier said: I mean, I kind of see why the model is doing that... there is a lot of interaction/phasing with the trough (deepens even more beyond that panel), but it's unclear if the timing will be right and even if it is, it would be a miracle to have it that deep. You'd be talking like once in a lifetime. Fine I'll bet a dollar if you are giving me 1 in a million odds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted October 5, 2018 Share Posted October 5, 2018 I'd sacrifice the million just to see him eat his arm lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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