Isopycnic Posted August 30, 2018 Share Posted August 30, 2018 Last night gfs suggested a cooler airmass on 9/7 timeframe. Today it backed off hanging the front up on the va/ nc line. Shows the next chance near the 9/14 timeframe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted August 30, 2018 Share Posted August 30, 2018 First record low in the 40's for my neck of the woods is the last few days of Aug.....latest GFS is meh though the Lakes get some low to mid 40's...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted August 31, 2018 Share Posted August 31, 2018 gfs looks god awful still, highs in the 90s, lows in the 70s through mid sept. not a cold front in sight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alhooks13 Posted August 31, 2018 Share Posted August 31, 2018 3 hours ago, DopplerWx said: gfs looks god awful still, highs in the 90s, lows in the 70s through mid sept. not a cold front in sight. Ugh. I'm waiting for cooler, less humid conditions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted August 31, 2018 Share Posted August 31, 2018 4 hours ago, DopplerWx said: gfs looks god awful still, highs in the 90s, lows in the 70s through mid sept. not a cold front in sight. 12z still looks bad as well, but the one good thing about this pattern is it allows cold to develop in NW Canada. Snow coverage builds rapidly in that area during the next ten days. When we do finally get that big cold front it may switch us to well below normal temps. And that would feel dramatic compared with the forecasted above normal temps through mid month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 On 8/31/2018 at 2:10 PM, FallsLake said: 12z still looks bad as well, but the one good thing about this pattern is it allows cold to develop in NW Canada. Snow coverage builds rapidly in that area during the next ten days. When we do finally get that big cold front it may switch us to well below normal temps. And that would feel dramatic compared with the forecasted above normal temps through mid month. good point! nothing beats the first true cold front of fall, when you walk out of the door in the morning and can smell the crisp cold air! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted September 4, 2018 Share Posted September 4, 2018 maybe some CAD action sunday with highs in the 70s to low 80s, and we finally have a fantasy range cold front showing up 300+hrs out now around the 3rd week of september. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted September 4, 2018 Share Posted September 4, 2018 Keep searching. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted September 4, 2018 Share Posted September 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Keep searching. Hey if you look way out on day 16 of the GFS....But you got to look right now at the 12z. Don't wait until 18z. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted September 4, 2018 Share Posted September 4, 2018 Mother Nature is so overextended on summer that when the rubber band snaps back, snow for Halloween. Everybody dress up in your favorite Christmas costume. You heard in hear first. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 My stepdaughter just moved up to Watertown NY cause she hates heat and humidity so much and now she is complaining that it is too hot and humid up there. It's been in the mid to upper 80's there recently. They have no A/C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted September 5, 2018 Author Share Posted September 5, 2018 Nothing yet on the radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 06z GFS long range tosses a bone... 348 Wed 09/19 18Z 72 ° 49 ° 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 14 hours ago, yotaman said: My stepdaughter just moved up to Watertown NY cause she hates heat and humidity so much and now she is complaining that it is too hot and humid up there. It's been in the mid to upper 80's there recently. They have no A/C. Why not just live above 4000ft in nc? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 8 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Why not just live above 4000ft in nc? That's what I did. 20 years of Columbia SC summers is enough. Now I live at 4400' and never reach 80°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 1 hour ago, Solak said: 06z GFS long range tosses a bone... 348 Wed 09/19 18Z 72 ° 49 ° Oh well, it felt good on paper 360 Thu 09/20 12Z 74 ° 63 ° 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Alchemist Posted September 6, 2018 Share Posted September 6, 2018 I think I spy a frost advisory for the upper half of Minnesota, a cool down can’t be too far away... hopefully!!!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tarheel17 Posted September 6, 2018 Share Posted September 6, 2018 Starting to see multiple chances in the very long run (>300 hours) in the GFS for a cooldown of some sort. Obviously not buying a single one of them, but it's at least an improvement and a sign that fall will eventually arrive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted September 6, 2018 Share Posted September 6, 2018 cad still showing up sunday, highs barely reaching the low 70s in CLT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted September 6, 2018 Share Posted September 6, 2018 On 9/5/2018 at 12:29 PM, franklin NCwx said: Why not just live above 4000ft in nc? Both sides of the family tried to convince her that but she likes living far away from everyone for some odd reason. All relatives are here in NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted September 7, 2018 Share Posted September 7, 2018 Gfs is constant with a pattern change starting around the September 20th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tarheel17 Posted September 7, 2018 Share Posted September 7, 2018 12 hours ago, Sw NC weather said: Gfs is constant with a pattern change starting around the September 20th Once the Euro goes that far out on the free maps I expect it to disappear. In other news I have started seeing some slight color change on some trees while out on my runs. Also today is the first day with a sunrise after 7 am. The temps may not look like it but I am starting to feel like it is fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tarheel17 Posted September 8, 2018 Share Posted September 8, 2018 If the 06z gfs is accurate we will be searching for fall for a very long time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted September 15, 2018 Share Posted September 15, 2018 Been so busy with Florence, that I haven't been focused on the extended. Probably a good thing. The eastern ridge looks to continue it's dominance for at least the next 10 days. The GFS doesn't have a good cool down until the end of its run. We could be looking at the first part of October until ACs can be shut off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted September 15, 2018 Share Posted September 15, 2018 1 hour ago, FallsLake said: Been so busy with Florence, that I haven't been focused on the extended. Probably a good thing. The eastern ridge looks to continue it's dominance for at least the next 10 days. The GFS doesn't have a good cool down until the end of its run. We could be looking at the first part of October until ACs can be shut off. It’s getting ridiculous at this point. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted September 15, 2018 Share Posted September 15, 2018 10 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: It’s getting ridiculous at this point. The longer we hold off winter , the better! 1995/1996 redux incoming! Was warm all the way through October, then hammer dropped! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted September 15, 2018 Author Share Posted September 15, 2018 Ugh. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted September 15, 2018 Author Share Posted September 15, 2018 This looks refreshing.... and way to far of. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted September 15, 2018 Share Posted September 15, 2018 7 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: The longer we hold off winter , the better! 1995/1996 redux incoming! Was warm all the way through October, then hammer dropped! Yeah, but just like we had no spring, I definitely dont wanna give up my fall. Best time of the year! If we go from 80's to 50's me and mother nature are gonna have a chat. (She'll win of course) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tarheel17 Posted September 15, 2018 Share Posted September 15, 2018 Fall is my favorite season. Looks like we don't get one until October this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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