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September 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread


Rtd208

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2 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

really moving north quickly-some showers already into south Jersey

I was in a very heavy (short) downpour in Mamaroneck this afternoon. It cleaned all the bugs off the front of the car and windshield  :thumbsup:

I need to do what amounts to a lap of CT tomorrow. I'm hoping it's not wall to wall rain all day.

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4 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

I was in a very heavy (short) downpour in Mamaroneck this afternoon. It cleaned all the bugs off the front of the car and windshield  :thumbsup:

I need to do what amounts to a lap of CT tomorrow. I'm hoping it's not wall to wall rain all day.

new NAM has 2 rounds of rain, a light one tonight and one late day tomorrow that's heavier so we could sneak in several hours of dry....

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Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
NJC023-027-035-172115-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SV.W.0098.180917T2025Z-180917T2115Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
425 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2018

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Southeastern Morris County in northern New Jersey...
  Central Somerset County in northern New Jersey...
  North central Middlesex County in northern New Jersey...

* Until 515 PM EDT.

* At 425 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Bound Brook,
  or near Somerville, moving northeast at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Damage to roofs, siding, trees, and power lines is
           possible.

* Locations impacted include...
  New Brunswick, Morristown, Somerville, Somerset, North Brunswick,
  Madison, Middlesex, Florham Park, East Hanover, Bound Brook,
  Manville, Chatham, Morris Plains, Millstone, Colonia, Martinsville,
  Millington, Society Hill, Basking Ridge and North Brunswick
  Township.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. This storm may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

&&

LAT...LON 4044 7448 4055 7468 4087 7445 4082 7435
      4079 7437 4076 7438 4075 7436 4074 7437
      4067 7446 4066 7445 4066 7441 4065 7440
      4060 7446 4060 7430
TIME...MOT...LOC 2025Z 215DEG 16KT 4056 7453

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

po
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5 minutes ago, NycStormChaser said:

You can see it has had broad rotation for the past hour but its starting to tighten up a bit. I am sure they are contemplating issuing a TOR warning shortly if continued.

YduHvGG.jpg

It's pushing through a heavily populated area at rush hour. 

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
453 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2018

NJC013-039-172115-
/O.CON.KOKX.SV.W.0038.000000T0000Z-180917T2115Z/
Union NJ-Essex NJ-
453 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM EDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN UNION AND SOUTHERN ESSEX COUNTIES...

At 452 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Millington, or
near Plainfield, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and power lines.

This severe storm will be near...
  Summit around 510 PM EDT.
  Orange and Millburn around 515 PM EDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4084 7432 4076 7417 4075 7418 4063 7441
      4066 7440 4067 7440 4065 7445 4067 7446
      4073 7438 4076 7436 4076 7438 4079 7437
      4082 7433
TIME...MOT...LOC 2052Z 217DEG 15KT 4067 7445

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$
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12 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said:

The remnant low is pretty incoherent, you wonder what might've been with a decent cold front to drive cyclogenesis.  As it is looks like some spots could be in for 2+ inches while their neighbors starve.  I guess we'll see.

What do you want? It’s been over land for days and has lost most of its tropical characteristics. 

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29 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said:

There is the distinct feeling in the air of a strong tropical warm front.  Albeit decaying.  But not like some warm front advecting into an extrotropical storm.  Just different.  Feels really nice to be outside.  The strong breeze is doing something for me.

Me too. Clouds are racing, nice strong breeze and a very tropical airmass. Feels different then your normal warm passes we've experienced this summer..but ye know...human psyche does play a role.

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1 hour ago, nzucker said:

Incredibly warm for 1am on Sept 18, 75F in the Bronx.

It's those ridiculously high dew points again- this summer has been like nothing I've ever seen before, glad it's on its last legs.  I can tolerate 100+ heat with low humidity, but this is just yucky and you dont even get the joy of witnessing historic 100 degree heat, you just get the nasty humidity lol

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On 9/13/2018 at 9:17 PM, gravitylover said:

When we think we've had a lot of rain I can't help but think of the guy in NC that posted in their Florence thread last night that he is at 103" so far for the year. I couldn't believe it when i saw it but he confirmed it. Can you imagine...

I remember the outrageous 80"+ inches of rain we had in 1983 although I was only 10 at the time (2 feet of that was from a snowstorm here).  Really hot summer too, with 28 days of 90+ at JFK (the record holder prior to the 31 in 2010) and 37 days of 90+ at NYC (the record holder prior to 1991 and 1993's 39- although 2010 should have been well into the 40s if not for the overgrown foliage) and JFK also had 24 days of 75+ dew points (far and away the record holder and the only year with more than 19 until 2018 came along and gave us 40 so far) and the still record holder of 240 hours (10 whole days!) of 90+ heat indices there!  The only year with more than 200 hours of that.

 

 

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On 9/13/2018 at 9:02 AM, bluewave said:

Warm minimums really driving the temperature departures this month. Pretty lopsided results so far with all the clouds and high humidity.

LGA

AVG....+3.1

MIN....+4.8

MAX....+1.4

ISP

AVG....+3.8

MIN....+5.8

MAX....+1.9

EWR

AVG....+2.9

MIN....+4.8

MAX....+0.9

ALB

AVG....+4.6

MIN....+6.9

MAX....+2.3

All the yuckiness of high humidity without the fun of record highs

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