LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 26, 2018 Share Posted September 26, 2018 Full sunshine and steamy in nyc currently. If we can get the line to speed up a little we could see a wide spread wind event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted September 26, 2018 Share Posted September 26, 2018 On 9/26/2018 at 8:49 PM, bluewave said: I would have to look up the earliest 75 degree dew point. But last October 9th was the latest 70 degree minimum temperature on record at JFK. Expand That's amazing that all these records are so recent. One of these years we'll see a day like that in the middle of winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted September 26, 2018 Share Posted September 26, 2018 On 9/26/2018 at 8:56 PM, LibertyBell said: That's amazing that all these records are so recent. One of these years we'll see a day like that in the middle of winter! Expand Great, I’d hoped by that time my ashes/dust would get high enough to help in the formation of frozen precipitation. I’d have finally made a meaningful contribution to the forum. Instead I’ll be fertilizing January tulips. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 26, 2018 Share Posted September 26, 2018 On 9/26/2018 at 8:18 PM, NJwx85 said: Stop Trolling Expand HRRR gives us nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted September 26, 2018 Share Posted September 26, 2018 On 9/26/2018 at 9:31 PM, SnoSki14 said: HRRR gives us nothing Expand Been thinking that all day. This is a Hudson Valley north and east day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 26, 2018 Share Posted September 26, 2018 Of course radar is down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 26, 2018 Author Share Posted September 26, 2018 On 9/26/2018 at 10:08 PM, Stormlover74 said: Of course radar is down Expand KDIX is back up and running now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 26, 2018 Share Posted September 26, 2018 Looks like the 2 lines are going to split the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 26, 2018 Share Posted September 26, 2018 On 9/26/2018 at 11:18 PM, Stormlover74 said: Looks like the 2 lines are going to split the area Expand I’m a big proponent of follow the trends so going by that watch south jersey and the Hudson valley get slammed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Irishmick9 Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 Line coming thru here in Vernon. Gusts in the 30s with heavy rain and a few CTG strikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 Pretty decent storm in rockland. Guess it doesnt count though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 Ridging still persistent later next week. We'll see if it is mostly high minimums or some strong departures Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 9/26 TEB: 87 New Bnwck: 85 PHL: 85 TTN: 85 EWR: 84 ACY: 84 BLM: 83 LGA: 83 NYC: 82 JFK: 79 ISP: 75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 On 9/27/2018 at 12:51 AM, BxEngine said: Pretty decent storm in rockland. Guess it doesnt count though. Expand I had some rumbles and heavy enough rain to make the gutter overflow but nothing too terrible, ~.35". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 0.76 in the bucket with the frontal passage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LIWeatherGuy29 Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 The storm skipped over Southern Nassau County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 quick burst of rain and a couple of good lightning strikes, but that's about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 On 9/27/2018 at 2:11 AM, LIWeatherGuy29 said: The storm skipped over Southern Nassau County. Expand Ummm, is this a surprise? It wasn’t a big deal anyway at least on the UWS. Just a few minutes of heavy rain, barely any wind or lighting. Just a typical early fall cold frontal passage. I do remember a squall line growing up around this time of year that caused some tree damage. Maybe early 90s. So it can happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LIWeatherGuy29 Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 On 9/27/2018 at 2:29 AM, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Ummm, is this a surprise? It wasn’t a big deal anyway at least on the UWS. Just a few minutes of heavy rain, barely any wind or lighting. Just a typical early fall cold frontal passage. I do remember a squall line growing up around this time of year that caused some tree damage. Maybe early 90s. So it can happen. Expand I'm not surprised. The south shore had a good soaking yesterday so I'm not complaining Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 Heavy rain and thunder. Just short of 4” over the past two days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 Really hope this is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 27, 2018 Author Share Posted September 27, 2018 Flood Watch issued here from this evening through late tonight for the expected heavy rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 Remainder of Sept. averaging 66degs., or about 3degs. AN. Month to date is +3.1[71.8]. Should end month at about +3.1[70.8]. The full 8 days are averaging 70degs., or about 8degs. AN. Hot start for Oct. --- +12degs. during first 4 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 Another record high minimum. OKX issues Record Event Report (RER) at Sep 27, 7:34 AM EDT ...RECORD HIGH MINIMUM TEMPERATURE SET AT LAGUARDIA NY...mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=2018… 4:36 AM - 27 Sep 2018 OKX issues Record Event Report (RER) at Sep 27, 7:31 AM EDT ...RECORD HIGH MINIMUM TEMPERATURE SET AT ISLIP NY...mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=2018… 4:34 AM - 27 Sep 2018 Minimum temperature departures through 9- 26: LGA....+5.9 ISP....+6.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 On 9/27/2018 at 11:42 AM, bluewave said: Another record high minimum. OKX issues Record Event Report (RER) at Sep 27, 7:34 AM EDT ...RECORD HIGH MINIMUM TEMPERATURE SET AT LAGUARDIA NY...mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=2018… 4:36 AM - 27 Sep 2018 OKX issues Record Event Report (RER) at Sep 27, 7:31 AM EDT ...RECORD HIGH MINIMUM TEMPERATURE SET AT ISLIP NY...mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=2018… 4:34 AM - 27 Sep 2018 Minimum temperature departures through 9- 26: LGA....+5.9 ISP....+6.6 Expand These seem to be en vogue this year. Besides residue from AGW, what is the actual cause of this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 On 9/27/2018 at 11:53 AM, LurkerBoy said: These seem to be en vogue this year. Besides residue from AGW, what is the actual cause of this? Expand This short video helps to explain all the record ridges like the WAR getting stuck in place for extended periods of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 On 9/27/2018 at 12:51 AM, BxEngine said: Pretty decent storm in rockland. Guess it doesnt count though. Expand Don't you know the HRRR gives us nothing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 On 9/26/2018 at 1:14 AM, liwxfan said: Port Jefferson is under water! Multiple road closures...I past about 10 cars stuck in a good 3 to 4 feet of water on my way home. Expand This looks like you worst flash flood in years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 Enhanced rainfall as a SLP develops along the frontal boundary late this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 27, 2018 Share Posted September 27, 2018 Through September 26, New York City (Central Park) has had a monthly mean temperature of 71.8°. That is tied for the 18th warmest figure through September 26. Applying sensitivity analysis to the guidance, there is now an implied 91% probability that September will have a monthly mean temperature of 70° or above (estimated range: 70.6°-71.2°). That will be consistent with the observed increased frequency of such warmth in September amidst a continuing steady increase in New York City’s average temperature. At the same time, another rainstorm will move into the waterlogged region this evening. As a result, 2018 will likely move up to rank among the 50 wettest years on record with three months to go. To date, the Middle Atlantic region and parts of the Southeast have seen excessive rains. Across North Carolina and parts of Virginia, the amounts were enhanced by the historic rainfall associated with Hurricane Florence. Some figures through September 26 for select cities with the start of their climate record in parentheses: Allentown (1912): 46.50” 35th wettest Asheville (1869): 54.99” 11th wettest Baltimore (1871): 53.45” 10th wettest Cape Hatteras (1893): 64.08” 21st wettest Harrisburg (1888): 49.71” 9th wettest Oakland (1 SE), MD (1893): 54.99” 13th wettest Pittsburgh (1871): 44.55” 10th wettest Richmond (1887): 48.21” 36th wettest Roanoke (1912): 45.18” 28th wettest Scranton (1901): 45.67” 6th wettest Washington, DC (1871): 48.93” 23rd wettest Wilmington (1871): 86.50” wettest on record (old record: 83.65”, 1877) Finally, it does appear that the synoptic pattern will evolve toward one in which rainfall will generally be below normal during the October 1-10 period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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