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Guess The Date Of Next 5 Inch Or 50 mph Tropical Cyclone Impact


bluewave

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I put together a list of local tropical cyclone impacts by ENSO state since 1950.
The storm effects occurred between the Delaware River and Montauk Point
and had to produce at least 5 inches of rain or 50 mph wind gusts.
Some storms met both conditions and others just one.The strength was
noted at the time of passing our latitude.The ENSO states were from the
previous winter going forward.

1952...TS Able................................neutral
1953...H Barbara.............................neutral
1954...H Carol/H Edna/H Hazel.........neutral to La Nina
1955...TS Connie/TS Diane..............La Nina
1960...TS Brenda/H Donna............. .neutral
1961...H Esther...............................neutral
1971...TS Doria................................La Nina
1972...TS Agnes..............................La Nina to El Nino
1976...H Belle..................................La Nina to neutral then El Nino
1979...TS David...............................neutral
1985...H Gloria.................................La Nina
1991...H Bob....................................neutral El Nino
1995...Opal remnants........................El Nino to La Nina
1996...TS Bertha..............................La Nina to neutral
1999...TS Floyd...............................La Nina
2001...ST Allison.............................La Nina to neutral
2003...TS Isabel..............................El Nino to neutral
2004...ES Jeanne/ED Frances..........neutral to El Nino
2005..Tammy remnants....................El Nino to La Nina
2006...ES Ernesto............................La Nina to El Nino
2008...TS Hanna..............................La Nina
2011...Irene....Lee remnants.............La Nina

2012...Hurricane Sandy.....................La Nina

2013...TS Andrea..............................cold neutral

13 years following La Nina winters
8 years following ENSO neutral winters
3 years following El Nino winters

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