Dunkman Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 Looking at the current satellite I think the big island disrupting the northern outflow is impacting the storm much more than the shear, at least so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 41 minutes ago, Dunkman said: Looking at the current satellite I think the big island disrupting the northern outflow is impacting the storm much more than the shear, at least so far. opinions are not fact... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 22, 2018 Author Share Posted August 22, 2018 1 hour ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: I would switch places in a heart beat with you!! Do you have an ocean view? Right on the ocean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 22, 2018 Author Share Posted August 22, 2018 After looking ragged all day, IR presentation is drastically improved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 22, 2018 Author Share Posted August 22, 2018 29 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I'm not going to lie. I know I'm crazy. I'd trade with you in a heartbeat. ETA: BUT ONLY if I were on my own. Experiencing significant wx with family is awful lol. It’s easy to say that from 6000 miles away. I know I’ve said it. Sandy was scary and this looks to top that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: It’s easy to say that from 6000 miles away. I know I’ve said it. Sandy was scary and this looks to top that. but sandy was the largest ever tropical cyclone in the atlantic. tropical force winds extended 900 miles this storm tropical force winds extend out less than 200 miles... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 23, 2018 Author Share Posted August 23, 2018 9 minutes ago, nycwinter said: but sandy was the largest ever tropical cyclone in the atlantic. tropical force winds extended 900 miles this storm tropical force winds extend out less than 200 miles... But I should end up well within 200 miles and in the NE quadrant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 6 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: But I should end up well within 200 miles and in the NE quadrant I doubt you experience wind and surge worse than Sandy, main threats to Hawaii is rain from fresh water flooding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 How does it compare to 1938 and Irene tho?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 25 minutes ago, the ghost of leroy said: How does it compare to 1938 and Irene tho?? 1938 and Irene should never be in the same sentence... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 1 hour ago, Dunkman said: Looking at the current satellite I think the big island disrupting the northern outflow is impacting the storm much more than the shear, at least so far. The outflow layer is way up above 30,000 ft, well above the tallest peak on the big island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 Latest radar.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 Sick! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 Oahu and Maui seem to be the islands in the cross hairs. I know there are other small islands..but just thinking about the larger populations. The rainfall could be prolific if that passes close enough. Seems to me that rainfall is the biggest hazard right now and at the moment...wind and surge not as much. There are still some EPS members that imply otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 47 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: From earlier. Incredible video. One of the coolest videos I have ever seen!! Perfect stadium effect. You can even make out the confused seas as swells come from every direction in the eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 23, 2018 Author Share Posted August 23, 2018 22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Oahu and Maui seem to be the islands in the cross hairs. I know there are other small islands..but just thinking about the larger populations. The rainfall could be prolific if that passes close enough. Seems to me that rainfall is the biggest hazard right now and at the moment...wind and surge not as much. There are still some EPS members that imply otherwise. Riding it out here on the SW corner of Ohau in Ko Olin’a. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Riding it out here on the SW corner of Ohau in Ko Olin’a. I’m right outside the Hickam AFB. Trying to go storm chasing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 23, 2018 Author Share Posted August 23, 2018 6 minutes ago, metalicwx366 said: I’m right outside the Hickam AFB. Trying to go storm chasing? Vacationing with family at Aulani resort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbroken Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 15 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Vacationing with family at Aulani resort. In Kaka’ako! Glad to see some people posting on Oahu. Boss gave us the rest of the week off. Thinking about heading to the beach tomorrow to watch the surf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 BULLETIN Hurricane Lane Advisory Number 34 NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP142018 500 PM HST Wed Aug 22 2018 ...DANGEROUS HURRICANE LANE TRACKING NORTHWEST AND ON COURSE TO PASS VERY CLOSE TO THE ISLANDS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.9N 156.5W ABOUT 260 MI...415 KM S OF KAILUA-KONA HAWAII ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM SSE OF HONOLULU HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...939 MB...27.73 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Hurricane Watch has been changed to a Hurricane Warning for the island of Oahu. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 23, 2018 Author Share Posted August 23, 2018 EAS just activated here for Hurricane Warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: EAS just activated here for Hurricane Warning. I’m so jealous. Being on Hawaii for a cane. My god. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 23, 2018 Author Share Posted August 23, 2018 1 minute ago, psv88 said: I’m so jealous. Being on Hawaii for a cane. My god. A day ago you were telling me that all I would get was some rain, now you’re jealous. Yeah Lane is weakening, but slowly, and at best I’m losing two days of my vacation to heavy rain and at worst I might be in a life threatening situation with the possibility of not being able to get out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 The EPac has surpassed its average annual ACE of 132, with Lane up to 34. It may even approach Hector's total if it can keep itself together for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the ghost of leroy Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said: A day ago you were telling me that all I would get was some rain, now you’re jealous. Yeah Lane is weakening, but slowly, and at best I’m losing two days of my vacation to heavy rain and at worst I might be in a life threatening situation with the possibility of not being able to get out. vibes dude. we are praying for you here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 12 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: A day ago you were telling me that all I would get was some rain, now you’re jealous. Yeah Lane is weakening, but slowly, and at best I’m losing two days of my vacation to heavy rain and at worst I might be in a life threatening situation with the possibility of not being able to get out. I still think you are fine. Even worst case scenario you are fine, that hotel is like a fort, well built. Only concern would be those mountain side roads washing out, but I’d have to assume they have heavy rain often and the roads can handle the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 23, 2018 Author Share Posted August 23, 2018 10 minutes ago, psv88 said: I still think you are fine. Even worst case scenario you are fine, that hotel is like a fort, well built. Only concern would be those mountain side roads washing out, but I’d have to assume they have heavy rain often and the roads can handle the rain. I’m pretty much going under the assumption that the bottom floor is going to be completely washed out. We parked the car on the third deck, but honestly 20” of rain is going to cause massive runoff everywhere. It’s a rental obviously, so whatever happens, oh well. Most of the locals here live on the side of the mountains or down the valley along H1, they are in big trouble. The South facing shore hardly sees any rain, most of it falls inland over the mountains or on the North and East facing shores. The mountain just to my north is an extinct volcano and has little vegitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 23, 2018 Author Share Posted August 23, 2018 ERC? Eye looks to be diminishing on IR yet still prominent on visible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbroken Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 10 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: I’m pretty much going under the assumption that the bottom floor is going to be completely washed out. We parked the car on the third deck, but honestly 20” of rain is going to cause massive runoff everywhere. It’s a rental obviously, so whatever happens, oh well. Most of the locals here live on the side of the mountains or down the valley along H1, they are in big trouble. The South facing shore hardly sees any rain, most of it falls inland over the mountains or on the North and East facing shores. The mountain just to my north is an extinct volcano and has little vegitation. Yeah a lot of low areas flood just from king tides. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 1 hour ago, NJwx85 said: EAS just activated here for Hurricane Warning. My phone just sounded off really loudly. Didn’t even receive a notification. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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