tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 60 h5 closed over houston...thats big change from 12z which opened it up...sub 1016 south of la beaches....lgt precip from wpa to ill...heavier precip in eastern tx with h5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 66 the euro is a little faster than 12z here...opened the h5 low over central la...northern stream diving in.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 72 continued quicker...sub 1012 low south of panama city in the gom lgt to mod and mod precip streaming up to atl...some lgt to mod precip in nc and sc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 78 sub 1008 low over northern fl...trof looks broader not as amplified lgt to mod precip up to va/nc border...hvr over panhandle of fl and ga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=UTC≥=1024x768&mo=ecmwf≤=500&va=hght&in=60&pl=cf&ft=h72&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 84 sub 1000 low 100 miles ese of cape fear mod precip along coastal ga.nc.sc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Uggh, the EURO is finally caving...the King appears to be no more than a middle-class guy now. If the southern low gets as far south as Houston and southern LA and is still a strong entity, I would think that's a good sign. The GFS has that feature long gone by the time the Euro has it there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 90 sub 992 just east of hse closed h5 over app mtns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 96 sub 984 about 100-150 miles east of lewes del...lgt to mod precip phl to nyc...lgt precip goes about 50 miles further west...coastal area in mod precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collegestudent11 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 With the description as per the poster above, it would seem that this is about to go over the benchmark or just south of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 102 low captured about 100-150 miles east of toms river...sub 968 mod precip phl to nyc and delmarva...coastal area hit harder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 96 sub 984 about 100-150 miles east of lewes del...lgt to mod precip phl to nyc...lgt precip goes about 50 miles further west...coastal area in mod precip Doesn't sound so bad, then - just maybe too quick for a blizzard? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Sounds like it shifted east a bit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 102 low captured about 100-150 miles east of toms river...sub 968 mod precip phl to nyc and delmarva...coastal area hit harder Nice, and this shows why we have a little more wiggle room regarding the capture and phase than DC and south. Still likely a mammoth hit for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 108 sub 965 might be 962 just south of ack....mod precip phl-nyc back to somewhat of the interrior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NittanyWx Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Occlusion further north on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 114 sub 962 bout 50-75 miles east of bos....nyc ne lgt to mod precip...del to phl to nyc lgt precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 120 pulls out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 Wow...still a nice hit. 1.00"+ QPF NYC. The surface low still tucks inside the benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Christ dude, no it's not. Relax. We're still getting some light-mod precip thrown back this way. Yea we won't be getting what most of NJ/LI/Coastal areas will be getting but we are still in the game. He had it GFS-like so early when it is not. This is a shift within reason, and not a cave-in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Nice, and this shows why we have a little more wiggle room regarding the capture and phase than DC and south. Still likely a mammoth hit for us. This is likely the best track for us-- not so much for people west of us lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 This is a really nice solution..we wait for the ensembles now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 12Z tomorrow looms big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Wow...still a nice hit. 1.00"+ QPF NYC. The surface low still tucks inside the benchmark. Sounds like nearly an ideal NYC track this run. Significant QPF and cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 He had it GFS-like so early when it is not. This is a shift within reason, and not a cave-in. Yea, I dont know why people thought the euro would cave in completely-- the GFS did some of that today. This is a compromised track which leans more towards the euro-- which is pretty much what HPC said would happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Energy Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 im so amazed it is still keeping the pressure that low. amazed! that central pressure is what you see when a low wraps up over the north atlantic. wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collegestudent11 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 When is the initial onset of precipitation, 12z sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 Sounds like nearly an ideal NYC track this run. Significant QPF and cold. Correct. It is a whole lot faster but still amplifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 This is a really nice solution..we wait for the ensembles now. that's in like 2 hours isnt it? If we stay up for that-- might as well torture ourselves with the 6z runs lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 im so amazed it is still keeping the pressure that low. amazed! that central pressure is what you see when a low wraps up over the north atlantic. wow. With that track and that strength this really sounds like a snowy version of the tax day noreaster April 15, 2007 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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