NJwx85 Posted August 13, 2018 Author Share Posted August 13, 2018 1 minute ago, psv88 said: Yea I’m not a morning person so I get later flights. Starting raining early today at 9:30 which isn’t normal, every other day rain started after 2 It sucks getting up that early, especially when flying home, but I find it's worth it. Anway your problem isn't whatever rain you're getting down there. In fact, that storm activity is already well past you. I am assuming you're flying into JFK This from flightaware: John F Kennedy Intl is experiencing delays all inbound flights being held at their origin until Monday at 12:30PM EDT due to thunderstorms inbound flights delayed at their origin an average of 3 hours 6 minutes due to thunderstorms departure delays of 2 hours 1 minutes to 2 hours 15 minutes (and increasing) due to weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 So my house is about .5 miles from the Wantagh mesonet. The meso rssported .03” yesterday. It poured so hard at my house yesterday we had basement flooding. Talk about a sharp cutoff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 34 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: So my house is about .5 miles from the Wantagh mesonet. The meso rssported .03” yesterday. It poured so hard at my house yesterday we had basement flooding. Talk about a sharp cutoff This is why I think even those hi-res radar estimates could be off. It would be pouring at my place and the radar wouldn't show more than shower at times yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 13, 2018 Author Share Posted August 13, 2018 7 minutes ago, tdp146 said: This is why I think even those hi-res radar estimates could be off. It would be pouring at my place and the radar wouldn't show more than shower at times yesterday. Lots of shallow moisture below the radar beam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 Radar drying up rapidly (with consideration given to robust low-level moisture). Nonetheless I think the sillier model totals in NNJ will bust well low of that barring any redevelopment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 2 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said: Radar drying up rapidly (with consideration given to robust low-level moisture). Nonetheless I think the sillier model totals in NNJ will bust well low of that barring any redevelopment. parts of NJ have had 5-8 inches of rain this morning...LOL no bust there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 14 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: parts of NJ have had 5-8 inches of rain this morning...LOL no bust there NNJ? I know Monmouth did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 13, 2018 Author Share Posted August 13, 2018 Just had a 15 downpour here that immediately resulted in flash flooding. The rain has been intermittent today, but when it has rained, it's been intense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 1 hour ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: So my house is about .5 miles from the Wantagh mesonet. The meso rssported .03” yesterday. It poured so hard at my house yesterday we had basement flooding. Talk about a sharp cutoff I didn’t have one drop yesterday. Was a classic boundary just inland situation where storms developed a few miles north of me. There were a few rumbles of thunder and times when the sky darkened but that’s it. Photogenic at times with towering cumulus nearly overhead but otherwise nada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 Suns out at Jones beach currently. This looking like a Suffolk special with the training moisture feed heading that way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 The rainfall maps for this system are crazy. 8+ inches in one area, barely an inch a few miles to the south. This is central PA but it's the same thing in this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 Another 0.55" here this am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 It has been pouring here for a while now with embedded torrential downpours. Local Meso and WU stations reporting close to 1" today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: parts of NJ have had 5-8 inches of rain this morning...LOL no bust there If that fell on the Pompton-Passaic watershed, Route 23 in Riverdale-Pompton Plains would be closed for a week. (As it was back when I lived there, 1950-72: in 1955 - Connie/Diane - and 13 years later from a late May deluge. Seeing flood debris on the top railing of bridges was impressive.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 1 hour ago, jm1220 said: I didn’t have one drop yesterday. Was a classic boundary just inland situation where storms developed a few miles north of me. There were a few rumbles of thunder and times when the sky darkened but that’s it. Photogenic at times with towering cumulus nearly overhead but otherwise nada. Exactly what we had at Jones beach. A beautiful sunny day and a completely empty beach. We call that a “secret day”. Major flooding in north bellmore. Just got fringed at my house. Good thing it wasn’t snow in the winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 12 minutes ago, tamarack said: If that fell on the Pompton-Passaic watershed, Route 23 in Riverdale-Pompton Plains would be closed for a week. (As it was back when I lived there, 1950-72: in 1955 - Connie/Diane - and 13 years later from a late May deluge. Seeing flood debris on the top railing of bridges was impressive.) If anything tropical comes up in the next few weeks it will be a disaster, ala 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 13, 2018 Author Share Posted August 13, 2018 12 minutes ago, tamarack said: If that fell on the Pompton-Passaic watershed, Route 23 in Riverdale-Pompton Plains would be closed for a week. (As it was back when I lived there, 1950-72: in 1955 - Connie/Diane - and 13 years later from a late May deluge. Seeing flood debris on the top railing of bridges was impressive.) We've had 5 or 6 major floods in the last fifteen years on the Pompton, including the new record from August 2011. So far the river system has been handling the water decently with some spikes to near action stage but nothing crazy so far. It helps that most of the heaviest rains have been highly localized with a few miles meaning the difference between 6" and nothing. Very Florida esque. Of course, now the ground is saturated so any significant rains will have the potential to cause river flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 13, 2018 Author Share Posted August 13, 2018 3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: If anything tropical comes up in the next few weeks it will be a disaster, ala 2011. If the position of the WAR doesn't change much, the recurve route will be up the coast instead of between Bermuda and the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 Yanks is right about the radar not telling the full story. Light/moderate showering under zero returns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 don't call this a bust for nnj just yet. more heavy echoes developing and expanding near union county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 23 minutes ago, forkyfork said: don't call this a bust for nnj just yet. more heavy echoes developing and expanding near union county I see it. I should qualify "bust," it was relative to some of the model outputs and not the NWS forecasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jets Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 Models have handled this setup poorly. Keep an eye on the radar this evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 29 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said: I see it. I should qualify "bust," it was relative to some of the model outputs and not the NWS forecasting. to be fair this is convective rainfall and models are notorious for not getting the placement exactly correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 3 hours ago, Gravity Wave said: The rainfall maps for this system are crazy. 8+ inches in one area, barely an inch a few miles to the south. This is central PA but it's the same thing in this area. There are big time orographic influences that have factored in to those totals. That part of central PA is rugged and mountainous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 13, 2018 Author Share Posted August 13, 2018 I think we're going to be relatively dry for the next several hours. I say relatively because there should still be a mostly steady to at times moderate rain, but I think whatever major convection is to come will wait until tomorrow. We're too close to the actual ULL now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 I didn't pick up as much rain as some other areas but added more into the bucket nonetheless. 0.70" of rain so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted August 13, 2018 Author Share Posted August 13, 2018 I believe the storms currently moving through Southern PA and MD is our next big slug of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted August 13, 2018 Share Posted August 13, 2018 It's been pretty much steady light rain all day. There were some heavy showers mixed in this morning but mostly light. What a gross day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted August 14, 2018 Share Posted August 14, 2018 31 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: I believe the storms currently moving through Southern PA and MD is our next big slug of rain. Theres a nice complex currently in VA too. Id watch that area for eastern areas in the cwa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 14, 2018 Share Posted August 14, 2018 35 minutes ago, gravitylover said: It's been pretty much steady light rain all day. There were some heavy showers mixed in this morning but mostly light. What a gross day. Another beautiful sunny end to the day at Jones beach. Amazing what the ocean can do. I was looking at a full cloud deck just inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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