87storms Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 this week's rains have definitely been of the periodic wave variety. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Man that cell left DC and fell apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Cool view as it rolled into Bowie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 It's raining south, west and north of me- did you do this to me @EastCoast NPZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Got about 1/4" out of that when an hour ago it looked like 1+ coming my way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Decent amount of lightning with this storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 1 hour ago, osfan24 said: Actually not as high on our chances now. That area around DC hasn't advanced much and seems to pressing east a bit. Probably going to end more over the bay than in the Baltimore area, and all that stuff down by Richmond is going well east. Looks like it's our turn to miss out this week. Damn it! What a shame. We could really use some rain for the drought stricken areas of Howard County. We haven’t had a drop rain since 7 seconds ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Storm blowing up south of me i'm already under the anvil cloud and can hear some thunder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Maybe a hint of rotation? Apparently this storm had a rotating wall cloud with it, at the very least. This damage would have been from earlier if it was on the S side of Charlottesville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 35 minutes ago, Jakkel138 said: Storm blowing up south of me i'm already under the anvil cloud and can hear some thunder And ya know what the thunder says under such a a cloud? "ACME" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Heavy rains to the south and west of the area. Ever so slowly pushing eastward. FFW already south of culpeper due to training. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 But also seem to be weakening quite a bit. Surprising given the air mass in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Watching and listening to yet another storm as it slides by me, this time to the east. It's absolutely incredible that this weeks setup could be a bigger fail than last weeks' "epic" event. Yet, amazingly, this has done it in spades. Absolutely ****ing pitiful. A moderate 20-minute shower yesterday evening that dropped .5, and a 3-hour drizzle fest this morning that gave me .1". I've had a 3-day flash-flood watch and every day I watch points east and west get pummeled while getting jack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Watching and listening to yet another storm as it slides by me, this time to the east. It's absolutely incredible that this weeks setup could be a bigger fail than last weeks' "epic" event. Yet, amazingly, this has done it in spades. Absolutely ****ing pitiful. A moderate 20-minute shower yesterday evening that dropped .5, and a 3-hour drizzle fest this morning that gave me .1". I've had a 3-day flash-flood watch and every day I watch points east and west get pummeled while getting jack.Radar has 28dbz returns over Stephens City? Realize the good stuff is to your E but should be raining right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 16 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Radar has 28dbz returns over Stephens City? Realize the good stuff is to your E but should be raining right now. Drizzle. Barely even wet the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 4 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Drizzle. Barely even wet the ground. Activity has really weakened big time. So disappointing hahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GramaxRefugee Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 1.28" on the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 Can someone explain to me how all that deep tropical moisture just dries up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 College Lake dam in Lynchburg is in danger of failing Flash Flood Statement National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA 1024 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2018 VAC009-019-031-680-030345- /O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0059.000000T0000Z-180803T0345Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Campbell VA-Bedford VA-Amherst VA-City of Lynchburg VA- 1024 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2018 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM EDT FOR WESTERN CAMPBELL...CENTRAL BEDFORD...AND CENTRAL AMHERST COUNTIES AND THE CITY OF LYNCHBURG... At 1021 PM EDT, Runoff from earlier heavy rainfall is causing significant flooding, especially in and around Lynchburg. Many roads are closed and the College Lake dam is in danger of failing. This flooding will continue for the next several hours. Some locations that will experience flooding include... Lynchburg... Altavista... Amherst... Huddleston... and Clifford. This includes The following Locations Liberty University and Lynchburg Airport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 Flash Flood Statement National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA 1018 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2018 VAC680-030715- /O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0061.000000T0000Z-180803T0715Z/ /00000.U.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CITY OF LYNCHBURG VA- 1018 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2018 ...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR A DAM BREAK REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 AM EDT FOR THE CENTRAL CITY OF LYNCHBURG... At 1001 PM EDT, the Lynchburg Water Resources Department reported that 4 to 6 inches of heavy rain earlier this evening has caused College Lake to fill beyond its capacity, and that 12 to 18 inches of water are flowing over Lakeside Drive into Blackwater Creek. At this time, the dam has not failed, and is being closely monitored by emergency personnel for any signs of structural failure. Flood waters entering Blackwater Creek from College Lake will continue into Ivy Creek before entering the James River. This includes the following streams and drainages... James River... Blackwater Creek... Williams Run... and Ivy Creek. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Obey all orders by emergency personnel if instructed to evacuate the area downstream of the College Lake Dam. Should a dam break occur, water along Blackwater and Ivy Creeks may rise several feet within a few minutes, with very swift currents. Obey all road closures and do not drive your automobile anywhere where water covers the road. Monitor the latest conditions via NOAA weather radio or your local news outlets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 Busy morning here. No one excited about rain anymore I suppose. Looks like today is the last threat of flooding then next week we get back into a sultry period with hit and miss storms. Hopefully the tropics perk up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 1 hour ago, Stormpc said: Busy morning here. No one excited about rain anymore I suppose. Looks like today is the last threat of flooding then next week we get back into a sultry period with hit and miss storms. Hopefully the tropics perk up. Doubt we even get 1 major hurricane this year in the whole basin. Cold waters, shear and prolific SAL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 Flash flood watch day #4, once again nothing more than a brief sprinkle. Picked up .05" last night to bring the day's total to .15" and "event" total to .65". Brings my total since July 1 to just over 3". Good times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 There appears to be a vort disturbance coming from the south per SPC mesoanalysis. Also seeing pop-up showers and a few storms on radar already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Flash flood watch day #4, once again nothing more than a brief sprinkle. Picked up .05" last night to bring the day's total to .15" and "event" total to .65". Brings my total since July 1 to just over 3". Good times. Nothing here. Let's embrace our mutual dryness. The western and eastern borders of the mid-atlantic. https://water.weather.gov/precip/# Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 Just another .35" overnight. 18.02" since July 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1026 AM EDT Fri Aug 3 2018 .SYNOPSIS... A cold front will dissipate over the region today. High pressure will remain over the western Atlantic this weekend into early next week as upper ridging builds to the south. A cold front may approach the area during the middle of next week. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Scattered light showers across the forecast area this morning, with more substantive rainfall approaching from Blacksburg and Lynchburg. We also have a cluster of thunderstorms moving from the Northern Neck to the Delmarva. Due to the ongoing activity, CAPE potential not as high as past several days. In addition, the absence of mid-level winds have kept shear rather low. However, LWX RAOB does contain near 100 m2/s2 SRH (sfc-3km), so there can still be some unique cellular clusters. And precipitable water values hovering around 2 inches suggest the potential for heavy rainers...even though it will not take heavy rain for flooding to occur given the saturated soils. Will be maintaining the Flash Flood Watch, and concur with the Marginal SPC severe weather risk for local wind. After looking at CAMs, believe this will come in two waves, with the initial activity arriving from southside Virignia this afternoon. The various members disagree as to how intense the convection will be, but daytime heating likely will lead to a broken line of showers and thunderstorms. Thereafter, a second line of showers/storms should eminate from the mountains, aided by terrain circulations and lower heights. This latter batch should be an evening affair. Again, primary threat will be rainfall, secondary threat will be local strong-damaging winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 Storm blew up and is about to race right just east of me. No lightning though. Joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 Just now, Jakkel138 said: Storm blew up and is about to race right over me - And split. Joke of a storm. We are wedged in with cooler air...updrafts can't sustain themselves. Terrain to the west and and the more unstable air to the east over Delmarva are where the best action is going to occur. That stuff to the SW of CHO isn't going to make it up here as anything more than drizzle or light rain unless we get some clearing to warm things up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted August 3, 2018 Share Posted August 3, 2018 57 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Just another .35" overnight. 18.02" since July 1. Are you serious? Wow...who made Baltimore City the target zone? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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