yoda Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Wind damage in CHO... numerous trees down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Severe Thunderstorm Warning VAC003-079-113-137-021615- /O.NEW.KLWX.SV.W.0185.180802T1524Z-180802T1615Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1124 AM EDT THU AUG 2 2018 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southeastern Madison County in northwestern Virginia... Southwestern Orange County in central Virginia... Northeastern Albemarle County in central Virginia... Southeastern Greene County in central Virginia... * Until 1215 PM EDT. * At 1124 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles northeast of Charlottesville, moving northeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Law enforcement reported several trees down in the Charlottesville area. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Madison, Hollymead, Ruckersville, Eheart, Oakpark, Barboursville, Stony Point, Montpelier Station, Pratts, Rochelle, Newtown, Aroda, Madison Mills, Montford, Old Somerset, Shelby, Dawsonville, Twymans Mill, Somerset and Burtonville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Severe Thunderstorm WarningVAC003-079-113-137-021615-/O.NEW.KLWX.SV.W.0185.180802T1524Z-180802T1615Z/BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTEDSevere Thunderstorm WarningNational Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC1124 AM EDT THU AUG 2 2018The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southeastern Madison County in northwestern Virginia... Southwestern Orange County in central Virginia... Northeastern Albemarle County in central Virginia... Southeastern Greene County in central Virginia...* Until 1215 PM EDT.* At 1124 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles northeast of Charlottesville, moving northeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Law enforcement reported several trees down in the Charlottesville area. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles.* Locations impacted include... Madison, Hollymead, Ruckersville, Eheart, Oakpark, Barboursville, Stony Point, Montpelier Station, Pratts, Rochelle, Newtown, Aroda, Madison Mills, Montford, Old Somerset, Shelby, Dawsonville, Twymans Mill, Somerset and Burtonville.Maybe a hint of rotation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 looking at satellite it's gonna be difficult to avoid the rains this afternoon. i don't think the short range guidance do a real good job of smoothing out the precip. maybe they're too focused on convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 gfs says have an umbrella ready. region-wide 0.5"+ through tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Hmmm... a yellow orb has appeared outside and some decent blue skies as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1145 AM EDT THU AUG 2 2018 VAC079-113-137-021615- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0185.000000T0000Z-180802T1615Z/ Madison VA-Orange VA-Greene VA- 1145 AM EDT THU AUG 2 2018 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 PM EDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN MADISON...SOUTHWESTERN ORANGE AND SOUTHEASTERN GREENE COUNTIES... At 1144 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles west of Orange, moving northeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Law enforcement has reported several trees down in Albemarle County. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. Locations impacted include... Madison, Eheart, Oakpark, Barboursville, Montpelier Station, Pratts, Rochelle, Aroda, Madison Mills, Montford, Old Somerset, Twymans Mill, Somerset, Locust Dale and Dawsonville. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Intense thunderstorm can produce brief tornadoes and wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 3819 7835 3840 7825 3838 7816 3830 7809 3815 7826 TIME...MOT...LOC 1544Z 219DEG 25KT 3823 7825 TORNADO...POSSIBLE HAIL...<.75IN WIND...60MPH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 14 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Maybe a hint of rotation? Maybe a lil rotation just west of Orange? Or no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1208 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2018 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southeastern Madison County in northwestern Virginia... Central Orange County in central Virginia... Southwestern Culpeper County in northern Virginia... * Until 100 PM EDT. * At 1208 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Orange, moving northeast at 25 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. This storm has a history of producing wind damage. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Culpeper, Winston, Catalpa, Stevensburg, Mitchells, Brandy Station, Rapidan, Twymans Mill and Locust Dale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Man Charlottesville has been taking a beating! NPZ: your rain shadow is like those desert micro-climates in Hawaii where there are lush, rain-soaked hills a few miles away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1232 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2018 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... North central Orange County in central Virginia... Southern Fauquier County in northern Virginia... Southeastern Culpeper County in northern Virginia... * Until 115 PM EDT. * At 1231 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles south of Culpeper, moving northeast at 20 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Remington, Raccoon Ford, Lignum, Stevensburg and Sumerduck. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... This thunderstorm is capable of producing all types of severe weather including destructive straight line winds and tornadoes. Move quickly to a safe shelter such as an interior room, a bathroom, closet or basement. && LAT...LON 3831 7796 3836 7800 3854 7782 3844 7769 TIME...MOT...LOC 1631Z 228DEG 18KT 3836 7795 TORNADO...POSSIBLE HAIL...<.75IN WIND...60MPH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 If we can keep the sun shining another couple of hours, it looks like we could get a lot of showers and storms to form just ahead of that line. Could be a really wet afternoon and evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Left circle has the “tornado possible tag”, right is almost certainly going to get an STW with probably the same tag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Wouldnt be surprised to see a TW raised for the cell moving out of Culpepper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Left circle has the “tornado possible tag”, right is almost certainly going to get an STW with probably the same tag. Or just a TW 056 WFUS51 KLWX 021636TORLWXVAC047-061-137-177-179-021700-/O.NEW.KLWX.TO.W.0013.180802T1636Z-180802T1700Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTEDTornado WarningNational Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC1236 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2018 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... West central Stafford County in northern Virginia... Northeastern Orange County in central Virginia... Southeastern Fauquier County in northern Virginia... Southeastern Culpeper County in northern Virginia... North central Spotsylvania County in central Virginia... * Until 100 PM EDT. * At 1236 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 12 miles northwest of Spotsylvania, or 14 miles west of Fredericksburg, moving northeast at 20 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. * This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of west central Stafford...northeastern Orange...southeastern Fauquier...southeastern Culpeper and north central Spotsylvania Counties, including the following locations... Heflin, Storck, Dunavant, Lake Of The Woods, Richardsville, Morrisville, Hartwood, Goldvein, Sumerduck and Flat Run. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowestfloor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in amobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelterand protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3827 7774 3831 7782 3854 7768 3845 7750TIME...MOT...LOC 1636Z 212DEG 16KT 3832 7776 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATEDHAIL...0.00IN $$ -- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Or just a TW BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1236 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2018 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... West central Stafford County in northern Virginia... Northeastern Orange County in central Virginia... Southeastern Fauquier County in northern Virginia... Southeastern Culpeper County in northern Virginia... North central Spotsylvania County in central Virginia... * Until 100 PM EDT. * At 1236 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 12 miles northwest of Spotsylvania, or 14 miles west of Fredericksburg, moving northeast at 20 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. * This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of west central Stafford...northeastern Orange...southeastern Fauquier...southeastern Culpeper and north central Spotsylvania Counties, including the following locations... Heflin, Storck, Dunavant, Lake Of The Woods, Richardsville, Morrisville, Hartwood, Goldvein, Sumerduck and Flat Run. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 That’s some decent rotation... wouldn’t shock me if something weak was OTG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1243 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2018 VAC047-061-137-177-179-021700- /O.CON.KLWX.TO.W.0013.000000T0000Z-180802T1700Z/ Stafford VA-Orange VA-Fauquier VA-Culpeper VA-Spotsylvania VA- 1243 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2018 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM EDT FOR WEST CENTRAL STAFFORD...EASTERN ORANGE...SOUTHEASTERN FAUQUIER... SOUTHEASTERN CULPEPER AND NORTH CENTRAL SPOTSYLVANIA COUNTIES... At 1243 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 11 miles northwest of Spotsylvania, or 12 miles west of Fredericksburg, moving northeast at 20 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Dunavant, Heflin, Storck, Goldvein and Hartwood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Legit circulation on the TOR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Legit circulation on the TORYep, was trying to post something but it got funky. Circulation all the way up the tilts on RadarScope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1251 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2018 VAC047-061-021715- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0187.000000T0000Z-180802T1715Z/ Fauquier VA-Culpeper VA- 1251 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2018 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 PM EDT FOR SOUTHERN FAUQUIER AND SOUTHEASTERN CULPEPER COUNTIES... At 1250 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 9 miles east of Culpeper, moving northeast at 25 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. Locations impacted include... Remington, Lignum and Sumerduck. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... This thunderstorm is capable of producing all types of severe weather including destructive straight line winds and tornadoes. Move quickly to a safe shelter, such as an interior room, a bathroom or closet or basement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Latest SWS on the TW stilll says its radar indicated rotation Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1253 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2018 VAC047-061-177-179-021700- /O.CON.KLWX.TO.W.0013.000000T0000Z-180802T1700Z/ Stafford VA-Fauquier VA-Culpeper VA-Spotsylvania VA- 1253 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2018 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM EDT FOR WEST CENTRAL STAFFORD...SOUTHERN FAUQUIER...EASTERN CULPEPER AND NORTH CENTRAL SPOTSYLVANIA COUNTIES... At 1252 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 11 miles northwest of Fredericksburg, moving northeast at 20 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Storck, Dunavant and Goldvein. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Still legit circulation...last frame it's looking to maybe spin back up a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 New TOR coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Still legit circulation...last frame it's looking to maybe spin back up a bit. Are you saying its kind of cycling in a sense and that the rotation was weakening but maybe restrengthening now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: New TOR coming. ornado Warning VAC047-061-177-179-021730- /O.NEW.KLWX.TO.W.0014.180802T1656Z-180802T1730Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1256 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2018 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northwestern Stafford County in northern Virginia... Southeastern Fauquier County in northern Virginia... Eastern Culpeper County in northern Virginia... Northern Spotsylvania County in central Virginia... * Until 130 PM EDT. * At 1256 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 10 miles northwest of Fredericksburg, moving northeast at 25 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. * This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of northwestern Stafford...southeastern Fauquier...eastern Culpeper and northern Spotsylvania Counties, including the following locations... Heflin, Storck, Ruby and Roseville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 Quote BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1256 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2018 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northwestern Stafford County in northern Virginia... Southeastern Fauquier County in northern Virginia... Eastern Culpeper County in northern Virginia... Northern Spotsylvania County in central Virginia... * Until 130 PM EDT. * At 1256 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 10 miles northwest of Fredericksburg, moving northeast at 25 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. * This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of northwestern Stafford...southeastern Fauquier...eastern Culpeper and northern Spotsylvania Counties, including the following locations... Heflin, Storck, Ruby and Roseville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 IF it were to hold together and IF it were to continue NE... PW and Fairfax are next in line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tater Tot Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 The hook on the 12:55 scan was really nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 2, 2018 Share Posted August 2, 2018 evere Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 102 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2018 VAC179-021730- /O.CON.KLWX.TO.W.0014.000000T0000Z-180802T1730Z/ Stafford VA- 102 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2018 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 PM EDT FOR NORTHWESTERN STAFFORD COUNTY... At 101 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 10 miles northwest of Fredericksburg, moving northeast at 25 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Storck, Ruby, Roseville and Heflin. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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