Great Snow 1717 Posted August 21, 2018 Share Posted August 21, 2018 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Uninstall first. It's a good thing that the public has someone such as yourself to prepare the populace for theses types of emergencies. Thank you for your service! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 21, 2018 Share Posted August 21, 2018 TTTOOORRRCCCHHH!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 21, 2018 Share Posted August 21, 2018 There is some door though verbatim,but yeah warm overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 21, 2018 Share Posted August 21, 2018 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: TTTOOORRRCCCHHH!!! Great, I love a warm September. #summermonth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 21, 2018 Share Posted August 21, 2018 Warm Septembers are awesome, thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 21, 2018 Author Share Posted August 21, 2018 How about a scorching dangerously hot Septembers ? heh... at least the first week of it ...maybe. Yeah, concur .. a BD is still in the Euro runs - can't shake the bastard. Not yet anyway.. It may fade/recede NE with time... I put the odds at 50/50 at this range. In one sense... the flow is trying to deepen in Canada with general increasing gradation in the heights ...that's going to increase the chances for confluence at mid levels which is antecedent to BD invasion events. But, the Euro tends to lower heights too much/aggressively over Eastern Canada; this smacks as one of those occasions when extrapolating D5 ... It does that over the eastern U.S. for that matter come winter time, but we'll go ahead and elide that when peering over a D8 juggernaut come Dec. ha - That ridge has been a sticking point in the guidance for days and days actually... It's a matter of to what scale and degree, but it's been there remarkably steadfast. We're likely to contend over the eastern 1/2 of the nation, whether we get invited to the party or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted August 21, 2018 Share Posted August 21, 2018 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Warm Septembers are awesome, thanks. Warm is fine. High 80s with midsummer dews after the equinox, like last year, not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom12309 Posted August 21, 2018 Share Posted August 21, 2018 Yeah, I cut and mulched the roses by the calendar last year, it got hot and they promptly punched leaves and branches out all the grow buds. "Not a good idea, guys" I told them. Sure enough two deader than fence posts, several of the rest coming late from the crowns and haven't bloomed once this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 DIT is going to talk about this summer for years to come the way some of us wax poetic about Feb '15. It's just that special from a warmth/dews perspective. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 I dread warm Septembers due to my work...sweaty students, soggy papers...yuck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 16 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I dread warm Septembers due to my work...sweaty students, soggy papers...yuck This can go so many ways....I’ll restrain myself this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 22, 2018 Author Share Posted August 22, 2018 It really just mimics ... .not quite, but almost mirrors the operational, the EPS mean... The operational is just a bit more amplified with eastern heights, post the GL's trough translation out there 'round day three. Quite the warm look - Both the op. and the mean have backed off the outside slider that they punched SW into the Pacific in the 00z run. That shortened the wave length in that version, and that ended the heat abruptly as transitively ... that caused the total flow to buckle and a SE Canadian height falls... This run? gone entirely... The 00z GFS op. had a similar look, but the 06 and 12z all trend off as well... It's not clear whether that feature could come back in future runs. If yes and verified... it's three days of above noramal abruptly ending with a faux autumn push ... ("faux" because +8 C at 850 isn't really fall-like imho) Anyway, if not, we dog-day into the first days of September. two days in there near 20 C at 850 ... we are still on the above the equator with the sun in the NH so ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 23, 2018 Author Share Posted August 23, 2018 00z operational Euro... whether that evolution ultimately plays out that way or not, it under-scores my idea that heat after circa August 20th gets shaky in guidance. Heh..obviously Particularly in years where meridional flow structures are favored ... which I believe we are in; the present subtropical ridge fairs of summer are merely masking that tendency... You can already see it in the mids and longer ranged runs ...this propensity to wind up bombs and curve the flow around quasi-severed atmospheric islands at high latitudes. It's reallly picking up where March/April got bullied by seasonal change... still there, perhaps lurking. The Atlantic appears to be in the meridional mode ... In fact, depending on source (and some more than less show this compared to other, which is a head scratch) the SST distribution is downright tripolar, with less than mere noise looking banded structures of cool and warm SSTs spanning the breadth of the Basin. That is typically found/correlated well with -NAO phase states. Yet, the NAO has been predominantly positive during the summer - again... it strikes as a sort of background -NAO forcing that is merely, seasonally held in check - so to speak. Come some threshold of subtropical collapse and wonder what takes place in that stead. Might be interesting for an earlier transition than some of these present tendencies to commiserate the opposite... We'll see. But back to point... in the 00z Euro...there are lowering heights and pretty strong autumn exertion on the flow above ~ the 55th parallel ... up across the Canadian girdle and that is imposing confluence episode near that same latitude. The question is, do these really promote the genesis of bully highs to wedge underneath 590 heights like that? A little credibility straining as is, perhaps... but the essence of that appeal is the sound of clock ticking. The far E Pacific will probably dictate whether we really do verify one last heat wave ... whenever the models vaguely imagines carving out an outside slider off the WC... we see a transitive whole-scale flow response downwind where we end up with a trough in SE Canada just enough... vs not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 Take off the Canadian girdle and breathe! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 On 8/21/2018 at 8:03 PM, Hoth said: DIT is going to talk about this summer for years to come the way some of us wax poetic about Feb '15. It's just that special from a warmth/dews perspective. So you are comparing the coldest snowiest period in recorded history to this summer? I mean its been hot and humid but not close to any records. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 6 hours ago, weathafella said: Take off the Canadian girdle and breathe! Forget the Canadian, just take the girdle off lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 18 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: So you are comparing the coldest snowiest period in recorded history to this summer? I mean its been hot and humid but not close to any records. Yore dews tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 It's been fairly warm, but we never had that signature high heat day. I guess BTV can point to their low of 80F, but overall it's been doldrum heat and humidity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 Beside early July, it’s been all dews no bass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatherexpert Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 54 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Beside early July, it’s been all dews no bass. 54 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Beside early July, it’s been all dews no bass. 54 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Beside early July, it’s been all dews no bass. Oh please. its all relative to the situation and the localized heat index. We can't be quick to say the bass is jacked off when we haven't even clicked the barometers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: So you are comparing the coldest snowiest period in recorded history to this summer? I mean its been hot and humid but not close to any records. No, certainly not my perspective. I only ran my AC three days this summer. I was channeling DIT, who would have you believe it's historic and worthy of the days of "yore." From a dews perspective it has been pretty exceptional. I believe Islip has put up almost a fifth of its total observed hours with dews above 75 this summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 24, 2018 Share Posted August 24, 2018 2 hours ago, Hoth said: No, certainly not my perspective. I only ran my AC three days this summer. I was channeling DIT, who would have you believe it's historic and worthy of the days of "yore." From a dews perspective it has been pretty exceptional. I believe Islip has put up almost a fifth of its total observed hours with dews above 75 this summer. It’s been abnormally humid here. This will be remembered as a very humid summer with lots of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted August 24, 2018 Share Posted August 24, 2018 The mid and upper 70s dews have been relentless, this is the first break since it started towards the beginning of June. Speaking for my area only...back in the day, these awful stretches were never continuous...they were always broken up be a cold front and thunderstorms...I think August was typically you get the longest dewy stretches without a break. This summer was something like 7 weeks without a break. That seems anomalous to me. Not looking forward to going back to heat and dews, especially the final week the park is open for summer hours and I'm going to be pulling multiple double shifts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 24, 2018 Share Posted August 24, 2018 This summer was tough with the consistent heat and dews. One of the most uncomfortable ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 24, 2018 Share Posted August 24, 2018 What a Yore. Celebrate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 24, 2018 Share Posted August 24, 2018 45 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What a Yore. Celebrate Celebrating first 40s, 49.7 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted August 24, 2018 Share Posted August 24, 2018 51 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What a Yore. Celebrate Do a 10 mile mid-day run next week to celebrate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 24, 2018 Share Posted August 24, 2018 14 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Celebrating first 40s, 49.7 here Luckily stayed above 60 here. 60.3 was the low. Now 61.4 fortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 24, 2018 Share Posted August 24, 2018 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Luckily stayed above 60 here. 60.3 was the low. Now 61.4 fortunately Damn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 24, 2018 Share Posted August 24, 2018 49 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Damn ORH 54F this morning GON 55F, IJD 53, BDL 55 63F at EWR may be his best comparison. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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