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August 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread


Rtd208

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7 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said:

While this summer has felt warmer than normal, I really haven’t felt that the heat was exceptional.       It hasn’t felt like one of the warmest summers on record

That's because June and July weren't that far from normal...Doing a quick preliminary check of my station records, this June-Aug will finish at around 7th warmest during past 40 years of record.

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1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Amazing record WAR/SST couplet continues. This is what happens when we get a 588 dm ridge with 80 degree temperatures in February. The WAR just keeps reloading.

Probably not something you want to hear if you're hoping for a cold, snowy winter.  

Today feels okay and the lower late summer sun angle does make a difference (equivalent to April 12).

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8 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Probably not something you want to hear if you're hoping for a cold, snowy winter.  

Today feels okay and the lower late summer sun angle does make a difference (equivalent to April 12).

we got lucky last year with the March/April SSW event.   Otherwise winter would have essentially ended after the early January Blizzard.

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15 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

you came back at the right time, although our break from it looks brief

Per NWS, dewpoint here drops to 67 tonight, then back to 70 saturday afternoon and then 70+ into next week. 67 is better than 77, but its not really a "break". 

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4 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Per NWS, dewpoint here drops to 67 tonight, then back to 70 saturday afternoon and then 70+ into next week. 67 is better than 77, but its not really a "break". 

well temps will be the 70's tomorrow and Sat with mostly cloudy skies so it won't be as bad

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14 hours ago, mjr said:

What I have noticed on many occasions is that the NYC temperature seems to hit a wall at about 1pm or so capping any further rise. This occurs during various synoptic scenarios and has nothing to do with the onset of a sea breeze. Here, for example, at noon, NYC is right in the thick of things. By 4 pm, however, NYC is only 92 (daily high) while almost every other station, except ISP and JFK with their sea breeze, are 3 or 4 degrees higher. Just look at the hourly readings and you will find that this happens on a majority of days.

I think the sun gets lower behind the trees and in a general sense skyscrapers cast large shadows blocking some sun from reaching the ground. Esp when comparing to wide open expanse of an airport getting every available min of direct sun.

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2 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

Probably not something you want to hear if you're hoping for a cold, snowy winter.  

Today feels okay and the lower late summer sun angle does make a difference (equivalent to April 12).

Following the brief -NAO/-AO start warming interval, the NAO swung back to record positive levels. Remarkable shift from record negative Jun 2009-Mar 2013.

IMG_0232.GIF.af760566764bfce51aea8431969b5d46.GIF

 

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RWTT is unchanged for the next 90 days from the current arrangement of anomalies.

SON is going to be +2 to +3 across the nation, except maybe the southeast, if something does not change.

90 will be possible till the astronomical end of summer, with bad luck.   The first 90-degree day in Oct. in 77 years is more likely now than a cold winter.

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