bluewave Posted August 14, 2018 Share Posted August 14, 2018 The WAR continues to beat long range forecast expectations. We keep adding 90 degree or warmer days when the long range forecast looked cooler. The normal Newark split for 8-15 is 84/68. So we will boost the monthly warm departure for the rest of this week. Old day 10 EPS forecast Current short range forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 14, 2018 Share Posted August 14, 2018 We'll see how hot we go the next 3 maybe 4 days starting Wed, pending on timing with front saturday and then stronger system potentially sunday. But 850s look to peak around 21-22C Thu pm into friday. Guessing max: PHL: 97 EWR: 96 TTN: 95 LGA: 94 NYC: 91 (even with the foot of rain) Beyond there signal for next surge of heat on/around 8/24. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 14, 2018 Share Posted August 14, 2018 Actual 60s this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 14, 2018 Share Posted August 14, 2018 30 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Actual 60s this morning LGA is keeping the above 70 degree streak going. Monday was the 23rd consecutive day which is the 5th highest number of days on record. #1...34 days .....2006 #2...32 days......1980 #3...28 days......2010 #4...24 days......1999...1995 #5...23 days.....2018...1988 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 14, 2018 Share Posted August 14, 2018 18 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Actual 60s this morning 69 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 14, 2018 Share Posted August 14, 2018 6 minutes ago, bluewave said: LGA is keeping the above 70 degree streak going. Monday was day 23 which is the 5th highest number of days on record. #1...34 days .....2006 #2...32 days......1980 #3...28 days......2010 #4...24 days......1999...1995 #5...23 days.....2018...1988 Blue - this is continuous right? Whats the total (top 5) number of 70+ lows? Ill have to find uncs for the park and dig into EWR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 14, 2018 Share Posted August 14, 2018 80/72, feels refreshing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted August 14, 2018 Share Posted August 14, 2018 It better be nice on Saturday, we have an outdoor wedding to go to and I can just imagine the disaster it will be if the weather is uncooperative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 14, 2018 Share Posted August 14, 2018 9 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Blue - this is continuous right? Whats the total (top 5) number of 70+ lows? Ill have to find uncs for the park and dig into EWR. Yes, 23 consecutive days and counting for LGA. Monday was the 46th day this year at LGA with a 70 or warmer minimum. That is the 5th highest number of days by August 13th. Most LGA days with a 70 degree or warmer minimum through August 13th: #1...54 days....2010 #2...52 days....2012 #3...51 days....2006 #4...47 days....2013...2005 #5...46 days...2018 The total number of 90 degree or warmer days ranks a little higher by August 13th. 26 days through August 13th ranks in 4th place. #1...38 days....2010 #2...28 days....2002 #3..27 days.....1949 #4..26 days.....2018...2012..1999...1955 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted August 14, 2018 Share Posted August 14, 2018 What's with this storm moving WSW from this morning? Yesterday it was slightly offshore then moved north and inland and now it's along the NY/PA border. Is it going to keep moving that way and then get kicked east and out of here going mostly south of us or...? It's doing a big loop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 14, 2018 Share Posted August 14, 2018 7 hours ago, bluewave said: The WAR continues to beat long range forecast expectations. We keep adding 90 degree or warmer days when the long range forecast looked cooler. The normal Newark split for 8-15 is 84/68. So we will boost the monthly warm departure for the rest of this week. Old day 10 EPS forecast Current short range forecast I would expect snow threats to continue the NW trend this winter like we saw last winter. This seems to be an on going situation rather then a short term trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rock888 Posted August 14, 2018 Share Posted August 14, 2018 Some really beautiful towers out to my west here. Looks like Newark and SI are getting some heavy rain at the least on radar. Wonder if there’s any lightning with these. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 14, 2018 Share Posted August 14, 2018 35 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: I would expect snow threats to continue the NW trend this winter like we saw last winter. This seems to be an on going situation rather then a short term trend. It's our friend when the teleconnections and temperatures support snow. But record warmth runs the table when the teleconnections favor a strong WAR like Dec 15 and Feb 18. That's how we have been getting these recent winters with extremes of warmth and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted August 14, 2018 Share Posted August 14, 2018 Pouring in Midtown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted August 14, 2018 Share Posted August 14, 2018 3 minutes ago, NortheastPAWx said: Pouring in Midtown. I can see the thunderheads over Manhattan/Staten Island from here, nice anvil tops. Hope it's fun underneath it. Maybe a few scraps can make it here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted August 14, 2018 Share Posted August 14, 2018 5 minutes ago, NortheastPAWx said: Pouring in Midtown. Flood advisory on that. Im on the northern edge of it but looks like its expanding over me. North shore SI to Fordham, Bx getting it good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bklnwx1 Posted August 14, 2018 Share Posted August 14, 2018 Thunderheads from Sheepshead Bay looking north @ 3:15pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted August 15, 2018 Share Posted August 15, 2018 today was the 14th day in a row with a min 70 or higher to start August...the record is 18 set in 1988...NYC has 38 days with a min 70 or higher so far...since 1930 NYC is averaging almost 33 days with a min 70 or higher and a consecutive streak of almost 9....the 1950's and 60's had the lowest amounts...that was probably due to some dry summers...1962 had only 8 such days...2005 had 60///records are 61 in 1906...8 in 1962... year total min 70+ consecutive 70+ 1930..........26............8 1931..........34............7 1932..........25............6 1933..........33............6 1934..........26............4 1935..........29..........11 1936..........20............4 1937..........28............6 1938..........34..........12 1939..........44..........13.......29.9.........7.7 1940..........24............8 1941..........27............6 1942..........20............4 1943..........30............4 1944..........41..........14 1945..........29............4 1946..........11............3 1947..........30............5 1948..........29............6 1949..........43..........10......32.4........6.4 1950..........13............5 1951..........23............7 1952..........38..........12 1953..........34..........10 1954..........18............5 1955..........45..........13 1956..........20............5 1957..........31............5 1958..........26............4 1959..........46..........10......29.4.......7.3 1960..........20............5 1961..........42............9 1962............8............2 1963..........14............5 1964..........19............4 1965..........17............4 1966..........40..........11 1967..........17............5 1968..........29............6 1969..........33............6......23.9.......5.7 1970..........37..........10 1971..........45............9 1972..........30..........15 1973..........37..........11 1974..........26............3 1975..........23..........12 1976..........24............4 1977..........37............9 1978..........31..........13 1979..........42..........17......33.2......10.3 1980..........52..........22 1981..........39............8 1982..........30..........12 1983..........45..........13 1984..........40..........16 1985..........34............6 1986..........31............4 1987..........32............7 1988..........42..........21 1989..........28............5......37.3.....11.4 1990..........32............8 1991..........31............7 1992..........14............4 1993..........35..........10 1994..........35............9 1995..........39..........18 1996..........22............5 1997..........27............8 1998..........39..........11 1999..........45..........13......31.9.......9.3 2000..........22............4 2001..........30............9 2002..........43............9 2003..........33..........15 2004..........28............6 2005..........60..........14 2006..........41..........15 2007..........35............8 2008..........35............8 2009..........18............5.....34.5.......9.3 2010..........54..........22 2011..........40............9 2012..........47..........10 2013..........51..........19 2015..........33............9 2016..........51..........16 2017..........44............7.....45.7.....13.1 2018..........38..........13 as of 8/13..... 1876..........46..........14 1906..........61..........17 1908..........54..........16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted August 15, 2018 Share Posted August 15, 2018 This summer blows. I think starting tomorrow and the rest of the month the humidity slows down and we start getting 60’s. We’ll definitely still have daytime heating though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 15, 2018 Author Share Posted August 15, 2018 Current temp 70/DP 68/RH 88% Picked up 0.07" of rain for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 15, 2018 Share Posted August 15, 2018 Today was my 30th day with a max dew point of 75 or greater. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 15, 2018 Share Posted August 15, 2018 Next 8 days averaging 78degs., or 4degs. AN. Month to date is +3.2[79.3]. Should be +3.5[78.9] by the 23rd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 15, 2018 Share Posted August 15, 2018 Rare combination of top 10 warmest temperatures and rainfall for August 1-14 across the area. Station...T rank....P rank EWR......6th...10th NYC......12th...6th LGA.......3rd....6th JFK.......9th....5th ISP.......3rd.....6th HPN.....4th.......5th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 15, 2018 Share Posted August 15, 2018 10AM ROundup; ACY: 81 TTN: 80 TEB: 80 New Brnwck: 80 EWR: 79 JFK: 79 LGA: 79 PHL: 79 BLM: 78 ISP: 78 NYC: 76 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 15, 2018 Share Posted August 15, 2018 I think newark will top nyc by about 6 degrees today, 94 vs 88 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted August 15, 2018 Share Posted August 15, 2018 78/68 feels downright pleasant. Great sleeping weather last night too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 15, 2018 Share Posted August 15, 2018 11AM ROundup; ACY: 84 LGA: 82 EWR: 82 TEB: 82 PHL: 82 BLM: 82 New Brnwck: 82 TTN: 81 JFK: 81 ISP: 80 NYC: 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 15, 2018 Share Posted August 15, 2018 Dews 67-72 range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 15, 2018 Share Posted August 15, 2018 Noon ROundup; ACY: 86 LGA: 85 EWR: 85 JFK: 85 PHL: 84 TTN: 84 TEB: 84 New Brnwck: 84 BLM: 83 ISP: 83 NYC: 83 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 15, 2018 Share Posted August 15, 2018 88/66 at ewr, surprised they went with a heat advisory. Its really not bad out. Real feel is low 90s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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