August 2018 temperature forecast and Regional Rumble

[Roger Smith]

Predict  the temperature anomaly (F deg) for these nine locations (relative to 1981-2010) :

DCA__NYC__BOS___ORD__ATL__IAH___DEN__PHX__SEA

 

My forecast is included, may be off-line until late August 1st (on time deadline is 06z 1st) ...

+2.0 _ +2.0 _ +2.0 __ +2.5 _ +1.5 _ +2.0 ___ +3.0 _ +2.0_ +3.5

[Stebo]

DCA +2.5

NYC +2.0

BOS +1.5

ORD +2.0

ATL +1.5

IAH +1.3

DEN +3.0

PHX +1.0

SEA -1.5

[Tom]

DCA +1.5

NYC +1.6

BOS +1.3

ORD +1.3

ATL +1.1

IAH +1.3

DEN +1.5

PHX +1.5

SEA +0.9

[so_whats_happening]

DCA +1.7

NYC +1.9

BOS +2.2

ORD+1.8

ATL +1.2

IAH +1.4

DEN +2.1

PHX +2.3

SEA +1.1

[bkviking]

DCA +2.2

NYC +2.0

BOS +2.0

ORD +0.8

ATL +1.2

IAH +1.4

DEN +3.3

PHX +1.8

 SEA +0.2

[Rjay]

DCA +3.0

NYC +3.0

BOS +3.0

ORD +1.0

ATL +2.0

IAH +2.0

DEN +3.0

PHX +2.0

 SEA +1.0

[jaxjagman]

DCA +2.0

NYC +1.7

BOS +1.9

ORD +1,1

ATL +1.9

IAH +1.6

DEN +2.9

PHX +1.5

 SEA +0.4

[hudsonvalley21]

DCA +1.6

NYC +2.2

BOS +1.8

ORD +1.1

ATL +1.6

IAH +1.4

DEN +1.9

PHX +1.3

SEA -0.1

[wxallannj]

DCA +1.8

NYC +2.4

BOS +2.7

ORD +0.9

ATL -0.5

IAH +1.1

DEN +1.3

PHX +1.9

SEA  +0.6

[donsutherland1]

DCA _ NYC _ BOS ___ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA

1.0     1.5      1.6         0.5      0.3     0.3        0.1      1.7     0.6

NYC Metro Subforum

[Scotty Lightning]

DCA__NYC__BOS___ORD__ATL__IAH___DEN__PHX__SEA

1.0     1.0       0.5       0.5     1.0     1.0     0.5     1.0     0.5

 

[RodneyS]

DCA _ NYC _ BOS ___ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA

1.0     1.7      2.9         2.2     -1.3    -0.1        1.7    -0.9    -0.1

 

[wxdude64]

DCA: +0.9

NYC: +0.5

BOS:   0.0

ORD: -0.1

ATL: -0.9

IAH: +0.1

DEN: +1.4

PHX: +0.8

SEA: +1.1

 

[dmillz25]

DCA: +1.5

NYC: +2.5

BOS:  +2.0

ORD: -0.5

ATL: +1.0

IAH: +0.5

DEN: +1.9

PHX: +1.5

 SEA: +1.1

[Roger Smith]

Table of forecasts for August 2018

 

FORECASTER __region___ DCA _ NYC _ BOS ___ ORD _ ATL _ IAH _____ DEN _ PHX _ SEA

 

RJay ___________NYC___+3.0 _ +3.0 _+3.0__ +1.0 _ +2.0_ +2.0___ +3.0 _ +2.0 _ +1.0

Stebo ________GL/OV___ +2.5 _ +2.0 _ +1.5 __ +2.0 _ +1.5 _ +1.3 ___ +3.0 _ +1.0 _ --1.5

BKViking _______NYC____+2.2 _ +2.0 _ +2.0 __ +0.8 _ +1.2 _ +1.4 ___ +3.3 _ +1.8 _ +0.2

Roger Smith ____C+W___ +2.0 _ +2.0 _ +2.0 __ +2.5_ +1.5 _ +2.0___ +3.0 _ +2.0 _ +3.5

jaxjagman ______TNV___ +2.0 _ +1.7 _ +1.9 __ +1.1 _ +1.9 _ +1.6 ___ +2.9 _ +1.5 _ +0.4

wxallannj ______NYC____ +1.8 _ +2.4 _ +2.7 __ +0.9 _ --0.5 _ +1.1 ___ +1.3 _ +1.9 _ +0.6

so_whats_happening _PA_ +1.7 _ +1.9 _ +2.2 __ +1.8 _ +1.2 _ +1.4 ___ +2.1 _ +2.3 _ +1.1

__ Consensus ___ _ _ ____ +1.7 _ +1.8 _ +2.0 __ +1.1 _ +1.2 _ +1.4 ___ +1.9 _ +1.5 _ +0.6

hudsonvalley21 __NYC____+1.6 _ +2.2 _ +1.8 __ +1.1 _ +1.6 _ +1.4 ___ +1.9 _ +1.3 _ --0.1

dmillz25 ___ (-2%)_NYC__ +1.5 _ +2.5 _ +2.0 __--0.5 _ +1.0 _ +0.5 ___ +1.9 _ +1.5 _ +1.1

Tom __________PHL_____+1.5 _ +1.6 _ +1.3 __ +1.3 _ +1.1 _ +1.3 ___ +1.5 _ +1.5 _ +0.9

RodneyS _______MA_____ +1.0 _ +1.7 _ +2.9 __ +2.2 _ --1.3 _ --0.1___ +1.7 _--0.9 _ --0.1

DonSutherland.1 __NYC___ +1.0 _ +1.5 _ +1.6 __ +0.5 _ +0.3 _ +0.3 ___ +0.1_ +1.7 _ +0.6

Scotty Lightning ___PHL___ +1.0 _ +1.0 _ +0.5 __ +0.5 _ +1.0 _ +1.0 ___ +0.5 _ +1.0 _ +0.5

wxdude64 ___ (-1%) _MA_ +0.9 _ +0.5__ 0.0 __ --0.1 _ --0.9 _ +0.1 ___ +1.4 _ +0.8 _ +1.1

__ Normal _________ _ ___ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 _____ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 ____ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0

_________________________________________________________________________

 

color codes show warmest, coldest forecasts. Normal is colder for DCA, NYC and DEN.

 

... I may be away from the internet from today to 21st, if anyone feels like posting anomalies, that would be great.

... note (21st) ... table edited, entering forecasts into excel file, noted dmillz25 +2.5 +2.0 NYC BOS

 

[Roger Smith]

Having a fabulous time in the western states, just a brief internet access at a coffee shop in Utah (could be the only one :)) ...

So had time to look up the 11-day anomalies so far ...

+3.2 _ +4.1 _ +7.2 __ +4.8 __ +0.1 __ --1.0 ___ --0.5 __ +1.7 __ +4.3

no new seasonal max, SEA tied theirs during the period, PHX got to 114.

seems warmer than normal here in northeastern UT, 100 F last three days.

[Roger Smith]

Had some time today to update anomalies and projections:

_______________ DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD_ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA

_____ (11d) ____+3.2 _+4.1 _+7.2 __ +4.8 _+0.1 _--1.0 ___ --0.5 _+1.7 _+4.3

_____ (16d) ____+2.9 _+3.4 _+5.9 __ +4.9 _+0.4 _--0.6 ___ --0.4 _+0.4 _+4.0

_____ (23d) ____+2.4 _+2.1 _+4.4 __ +3.8 _+0.2 _+0.6 ___ --1.5 _+0.8 _+3.8

 

____ (p23d) ____+2.0 _+2.3 _+4.0 __ +3.5 __0.0 __0.0 ___ +0.5 _+1.0 _+4.2

 

____ (p31d) ____+3.0 _+3.0 _+4.5 __ +4.0 __0.0 _+1.5 ____ 0.0 _+1.0 _+3.0

____ final anom _+2.9_+2.9_+5.3 __+3.9_+0.3_+0.7 __--0.1_+0.4_+2.7

 

and there have been no new seasonal max values anywhere this month, BOS tied their earlier max of 98 on Aug 29th.

 

(17th) _ Anyone hoping to make a move on your leader will have to overcome the ongoing SEA factor this month, which may wash away the other deficiencies, we shall find out later. Will post provisional scoring around the 24th this month when we are closing in on reliable estimates.

(24th) _ Have updated through 23 days as the forecasts for later in the month in east and also around IAH seem to have torched considerably, and the p31d values generated on 17th are probably a bit low there. The p23d average error was a very good 0.52 deg considering that DEN was rather off the mark by 2 deg. ... As the new projections were largely based on NWS forecasts (30th and 31st from GFS/ECM blend) I felt more confident about generating provisional scoring today, see next post for those scores. When I updated today I checked these provisionals and any error in them will likely just drop all scores slightly so would have no impact on the contest (depending on how hot it actually gets in the east, but sometimes a thunderstorm can make an impact in the downward direction during heat waves). Will be adding the annual updates fairly soon. We also have some seasonal scoring, many of the totals are very close and points could change so I'll leave that for the final scoring phase. 

(31st into 1st Sept) _ Confirmed anomalies are now posted. The values currently in the p31d line were posted on 25th.  

[Roger Smith]

Final scoring for August 2018

 

FORECASTER __region___ DCA_NYC_BOS__east__ORD_ATL_IAH__cent__c/e___DEN_PHX_SEA__west___TOTALS

 

wxallannj ______NYC_____ 78 _ 90 _ 54 __ 222__ 40 _ 84 _ 92__ 216 __438 __ 72 _ 70 _ 58 __ 200 _____ 638

DonSutherland.1 __NYC___ 62 _ 72 _ 32 __ 166__ 32_100_ 92__ 224 __ 390 __ 96_ 74 _ 58 __ 228 _____ 618

Roger Smith ____C+W____ 82 _ 82 _ 40 __ 204__ 72_ 76 _ 74__ 222 __ 426 __ 38 _ 68 _ 84 __ 190 _____ 616

so_whats_happening _PA__ 76 _ 80 _ 44 __ 200__ 58 _ 82 _ 86__226 __ 426 __ 56 _ 62 _ 68 __ 186 _____ 612

RJay ___________NYC____ 98_ 98_ 60__ 256__ 42 _ 66 _ 74__ 182 __ 438 __ 38 _ 68 _ 66 __ 172 _____ 610

Tom __________PHL______72 _ 74 _ 26 __ 172__ 48 _ 84 _ 88__ 220 __ 392 __ 68 _ 78 _ 64 __ 210 _____ 602

__ Consensus ___ _ _ ____ 76 _ 78 _ 40 __ 194__ 44 _ 82 _ 86__ 212 __ 406 __ 60 _ 78 _ 58 __ 196 _____ 602

RodneyS _______MA______62 _ 76 _ 58 __ 196__ 66 _ 68 _ 84__ 218 __ 414 __ 64 _ 74 _ 44 __ 182 _____ 596

dmillz25 ___ (-2%)_NYC___71*_90** 39*__200__ 12 _84** 94**_190 __ 390 __ 59*_76** 67*_ 202 _____ 592

hudsonvalley21 __NYC____ 74 _ 86 _ 36 __ 196__ 44 _ 74 _ 86__ 204 __ 400 __ 60 _ 82 _ 44 __ 186 _____ 586

Scotty Lightning ___PHL___ 62 _ 62 _ 10 __ 134__ 32 _ 86 _ 94__ 212 __ 346 __ 88 _ 88 _ 56 __232 _____ 578

Stebo ________GL/OV____ 92 _ 82 _ 30 __ 204__ 62 _ 76 _ 88__ 226 __ 430 __ 38 _ 88 _ 16 __ 142 _____ 572

BKViking _______NYC_____86 _ 82 _ 40 __ 208__ 38 _ 82 _ 86__ 206 __ 414 __ 32 _ 72 _ 50 __ 154 _____ 568

jaxjagman ______TNV____ 82 _ 76 _ 38 __ 196__ 44 _ 68 _ 82__ 194 __ 390 __ 40 _ 78 _ 54 __ 172 _____ 562

__ Normal ______________ 42 _ 42 _ 00 __ 084__ 22 _ 94_ 86__ 202 __ 286 __ 98_ 92 _ 46 __ 236 _____ 522

wxdude64 ___ (-1%) _MA__59*_ 51*_00 __110__ 20 _ 75*_87*__182 __ 292 __ 69*_ 91*_67*__227 _____ 519

____________________________________________________________________________________________

* note: late penalties are small enough that they are shown in raw score line, * for each point deducted.

High scores with color codes are also extreme forecast winners (the color tells which type of extreme prevailed).

High scores in bold black type are not extreme forecast winners. Also subtotal maximum scores are shown in bold black.

So far, DCA, NYC, BOS, ORD, DEN and SEA appear likely to be extreme forecast wins (RJay 3 for east, Roger Smith 2 for ORD and SEA, all those being warmest forecasts,

... Don Sutherland 1 for coldest forecast at DEN, Normal also gets that one if the outcome is 0.0 or negative. Extreme forecast annual updated scoring table to be added later.

Normal has high score for ATL so a forecaster with a lower score has high score indicated. There are quite a few ties for high score at IAH but at least some of those will drop out if the value changes. 

 

Regional Rumble scoring for August 2018

 

Region __________ Eastern __ Central __ Western ___ TOTAL

 

NYC _____________ 256 _____ 224 _____ 228 _______ 708

M A ______________196 _____ 218 _____ 227 _______ 641

PHL _____________ 172 _____ 220 _____ 232 _______ 624

C + W ___________ 204 _____ 222 _____ 190 _______ 616

PA / NY __________ 200 _____ 226 _____ 186 _______ 612

__ Consensus ______194 _____ 212 _____ 196 _______ 602

GL/OV ___________ 204 _____ 226 _____ 142 _______ 572

TNV _____________ 196 _____ 194 _____ 172 _______ 562

__ Normal _________ 84 _____ 202 _____ 236 _______ 522

[Roger Smith]

--- -- <<<<==== Annual Updated Scoring Jan - Aug 2018 ====>>>> -- ----

 

  Part One: Eastern and Central (Original Six) 

... best scores, first six numbers are for six locations, next two for eastern and central totals, then months won (red)

... station totals in red indicate best total scores, eastern and central in bold indicate best subtotals.

... when normal or consensus have high scores, forecasters with high scores also shown.

... May (none in July) best scores indicated for both "AfewUniverses b n" and if he had one, for any regular, marked*

... these second awards would be withdrawn if "AfewU bn" enters at least five  three months including May by end of year (did not in June, did in July, not in Aug).

... as an example, 2* for me at DCA would revert to 1 if withdrawn, any 1* would revert to 0 (these may change to higher values in later months)

... same protocol will be applied to any high scores of Mercurial, JAN high scores c/e and all nine, and four other added regular forecaster high scores marked ^

... ... but H2O (one ATL Jan) was tied already so no high score added (dmillz25 had same score marked as high score already).

... in the western contest, Cerakoter1984 had high score for PHX in April, regular forecaster RodneyS adds one there (marked #)

... same thing entirely for NRGJeff's high score PHX in January (Rodney S adds another, so the # denotes 2 added now)

... note the cut-off for this will be three months entered, meaning H20_Town_WX, mappy, Orangeburgwx retain sole possession of their high scores. 

... if any of the 2-forecast people mentioned above enter again, the regular forecaster add-ons will be withdrawn. 

 

 FORECASTER _______ DCA _NYC _BOS ___ east ____ ORD _ATL _IAH ___ cent ___ TOTAL __ Best scores

 

Roger Smith ________536 _556 _528 ___1620 ____ 438 _526 _360 ____1324 ___ 2944 __2*3*2 13*1 .2.1 __ MAY

DonSutherland.1 ___  472 _464 _474 ____1410 ____ 383 _522 _425 ____1330 ___ 2740 ___ 000 220 .0.1 

wxallannj __________ 456 _484 _496 ____1436 ____ 396 _432 _473 ____1301 ___ 2737 ___ 001 001 .0.0 

hudsonvalley21 _____ 437 _444 _440 ____1321 ____ 371 _481 _541 ___ 1393___ 2714 ___ 000 001 .0.1

jaxjagman _________ 458 _428 _464 ____1350 ____ 395 _486 _465 ____1346 ___ 2696 ___ 001 000 .0.1

___Consensus ______ 441 _445 _478 ____1364 ____ 391_478 _451 ____1320 ___ 2684 ___ 000 100 .0.0

BKViking ___________435 _477 _492 ____1404 ____ 353 _467 _457 ____1277 ___ 2681 ___ 001 000 .0.1

wxdude64 _________ 481 _462 _428 ____1371 ____ 368 _464 _437 ____1269 ___ 2640 ___24^0 002 .2.0

Scotty Lightning (SD) _467 _461 _466 ___ 1394 ____ 393 _441 _411 ____1245 ___ 2639 ___2^11 102 .2^.1 _ JAN^

RJay ______________408 _446 _459 ____1313 ____ 315 _470 _477 ____1262 ___ 2575 ___ 122 001 .2.1 __ APR, AUG

Tom ______________ 417 _445 _471 ____1333 ____ 353 _481 _407 ____1241 ___ 2574 ___ 001 000 .0.0 __ JUN

Stebo _____________ 389 _396 _436 ____1221 ____ 405 _466 _452 ____1323 ___ 2544 ___ 000 111 .0.1

RodneyS ___________416 _448 _440 ____1304 ____ 375 _420 _430 ____1225 ___ 2529 ___ 210 200 .0.3 _ MAR, JUL

___Normal _________438 _433 _429 ____1300 ____ 372 _453 _327 ____1152 ___ 2452 ___ 001 111 .0.0 __ JAN^

dmillz25 ___________ 386 _375 _393 ____1154 ____ 358 _460 _466 ____1284 ___ 2438 ___ 000 011 .0.0

so_whats_happening*_327 _375_398 ____1100 ____ 360 _423 _400 ____1183 ___ 2283 ___ 000 111 .0.1 __ FEB

mappy (5/8) ________170 _185 _255 ____ 610 ____ 155 _230 _216 ____ 601 ___ 1211 ___ 001 000 .0.0

Orangeburgwx _(5/8)_179 _235 _269 ____ 683 ____ 154 _135 _233 ____ 522 ____1205 ___ 001 01*0 .0.0

afewUniverses bn (2)_114 _122 _144 ____ 380 ____ 139 _108 _180 ____ 427 ____ 807 ___ 110 011 .0.0

Mercurial (2/8) ______146 _150 _133 ____ 429 ____ 110 _132 _084 ____ 326 ____ 755 ___ 110 000 .1.0 __ JAN

H2O_Town_WX (3/8)_086 _105 _155 ____ 346 ____ 158 _052 _051 ____ 261 ____ 607 ___ 001 000 .0.0

H2O ___(2/8) ______ 094 _091 _071 ____ 256 ____ 056 _125 _072 ____ 253 ____ 509 ___ 000 010 .0.0

nrgJeff _ (2/8) ______116 _092 _064 ____ 272 ____ 004 _095 _037 ____ 136 ____ 408 ___

buckeyefan (1 mo J) _ 050 _066 _048 ____ 164 ____ 018 _092 _036 ____ 146 ____ 310 ___

Cerakoter1984 (1moA)_060_062 _062 ____ 184 ____ 020 _050 _036 ____ 106 ____ 290 ___ 

tnweathernut(1 mo J)_ 067_056 _036 ____ 159 ____ 029 _067 _023 ____ 119 ____ 278 ___

CPcantmeasuresnow _ 002 _000 _000 ____ 002 ____ 038 _008 _040 ____ 086 ____ 088 ___

_________ (1 mo F) _^^

note: * so_whats_happening missed July

all shown (2/7) missed March to August, Orangeburgwx (5/8) missed January, July, August.

 ... mappy (5/8) missed June to Aug, and H2OTown_wx (3/8) missed April to August.

  

 Part Two: Western and All Nine contests

 ... best total scores in red for three locations, best scores in months shown after total score, high western totals

 for months in red ... all nine totals are shown with ranks, order of table is western scoring

 

 FORECASTER __________ DEN _ PHX _ SEA ____ TOTAL (west) __ best scores (mo) ____ All Nine (= rank)

Scotty Lightning (SD) ____ 448 _ 592 _ 498 ____ 1538 __________1 1 2 __ Apr, Aug __ 4177 (= 2)

BKViking _______________374 _ 568 _ 502 ____ 1444 __________ 0 1 1 ____________ 4125 (= 4) __ JUN

DonSutherland.1 ________ 448 _ 540 _ 443 _____1431 __________2^1 1 __ Jan _______4171 (= 3) _ JAN^

RodneyS_______________ 464 _ 558 _ 401 ____ 1423 __________ 1 3#1 __May ______ 3952 (= 8) _ MAR, APR, JUL

hudsonvalley21 _________ 432 _ 503 _ 475 _____1410 __________ 0 1 1 __ Jul _______4124 (= 5)

__ Consensus __________ 400 _ 554 _ 432 _____1386 __________ 0 1 0 _____________4070 (= 7)

wxallannj ______________ 420 _ 564 _ 383 _____1367 __________1 1 0 __ Mar _______4104 (= 6)

Tom __________________ 425 _ 516 _ 396 _____1337 __________ 1 0 0 _____________3911 (=10) 

RJay __________________397 _ 476 _ 462 _____1335 __________ 2 1 0 _____________3910 (=11)

Roger Smith ____________356 _ 518 _ 448 _____1322 __________ 2 0 1 __ Jan _______4266 (= 1) __ MAY

wxdude64 _____________ 432 _ 483 _ 407 _____1322 __________ 0 1 0 _____________ 3962 (= 7)

 

__Normal ______________412 _ 480 _ 418 _____1310 __________ 2 1 1 _____________ 3762 (=12) __ FEB

 

dmillz25 _______________ 336 _ 527 _ 435 _____1298 __________ 0 1 0 __ Jun _______ 3736 (=12)

jaxjagman _____________ 332 _ 468 _ 434 _____1234 __________ 0 0 0 _____________ 3930 (= 9)

so_whats_happening* ____313 _ 445 _ 379 _____1137 __________ 0 0 0 _____________ 3420 (=14) __ FEB

Stebo _________________ 266 _ 479 _ 250 _____ 995 __________ 0 0 0 _____________ 3539 (=13)

Orangeburgwx (5/8)______251 _ 345 _ 289 _____ 885 __________ 1 3 1 __ Feb _______ 2090 (=15)

mappy (5/8) ____________124 _ 208 _ 179 _____ 511 __________ 0 0 0 _____________ 1722 (=16)

H2OTown__WX (3/8) ____ 053 _ 180 _ 139 _____ 372 __________ 0 0 0 ______________ 979 (=20)

afewUniv bn (2 mo May,Jul)132 _ 172 _ 024 _____ 328 __________ 1 0 0 _____________ 1135 (=17)

Mercurial __ (2/8) _______ 080 _ 120 _ 078 _____ 278 __________ 1 0 0 _____________1033 (=18) __ JAN

nrgJeff ____ _(2/8) ______ 042 _ 084 _ 060 _____ 186 __________ 0 1 0 _____________ 594 (=21)

H2O ____ (2/8) _________ 052 _ 082 _ 047 _____ 181 __________ 0 0 0 _____________ 690 (=19)

cerakoter1984 (1 mo Apr)_ 000 _ 080 _ 078 _____ 158 __________ 0 1 0 _____________ 448 (=22)

tnweathernut (1 mo Jan) __045 _ 058 _ 050 _____ 153 __________ 0 0 0 _____________ 431 (=24)

buckeyewx __(1 mo Jan) __042 _ 034 _ 046 _____ 122 __________ 0 0 0 _____________ 432 (=23)

CPcantmeasuresnow (1-F)_ 000 _ 030 _ 012 _____ 042 __________ 0 0 0 _____________ 130 (=25)

 __________________________________________________________________________________________________

  

Regional Rumble ... ... (_ Total scores January - August _) 

 

REGION _________ Eastern __ Central __ Western ___ TOTAL

New York City _____ 1687 ____ 1566 ____ 1701 _____ 4954

Mid-Atlantic _______ 1704 ____ 1612 ____ 1545 _____ 4861

Central + Western __1774 ____ 1463 ____ 1368 _____ 4605

Philadelphia _______ 1641 ____ 1377 ____ 1574 _____ 4592

__ Consensus _____ 1364 ____ 1320 ____ 1386 _____ 4070

Tenn Valley _______ 1398 ____ 1346 ____ 1244 _____ 3988

__ Normal ________ 1300 _____1152 ____ 1310 _____ 3762

Great Lakes Oh Val _ 1221 ____ 1323 _____ 995 _____ 3539

 

[Roger Smith]

Extreme Forecast Update -- August 2018

 

Rjay (+3.0 all three) scores three for the eastern locations (DCA, NYC, both +2.9 and BOS +5.3).

Roger Smith (+2.5, +3.5) scores two for ORD (+3.9) and SEA (+2.7).

Don Sutherland (+0.1) scores one for DEN (-0.1) , Normal also gets a win. 

For PHX (+0.4), wxdude64 (+0.8) and Normal have wins, RodneyS (-0.9) has a loss.

 

updated annual standings

 

Roger Smith __________13###-0 (can fall to 10-0 see below)

RodneyS _____________ 7-3

RJay ________________ 7-2

__ Normal ____________ 6-5

wxdude64 ____________ 5-0

AfewUniversesbelown.. __4-0

Orangeburgwx ________ 4#-0* (can fall to 3-0 see below)

DonSutherland1 ________4-1

wxallannj _____________3-0

Scotty Lightning (SD)____3-1

so_whats_happening ___ 2-0

hudsonvalley21 ________ 2-0

Mercurial _____________ 1-0

NRG Jeff ______________1-0

Stebo ________________ 1-0

BKViking ______________1-0

H2OTown_wx _________ 1-1

cerakoter1984 _________ 1-0

Tom _________________ 0-1

* no decision (Mar for IAH)

 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

# wins excluding "a few Univ b n" will be withdrawn if a few Univ b n enters a third contest.

[Roger Smith]

Four seasons contest update

 

SUMMER 2018 (June, July, August)

 

______________________ score ______________ score _______________ score (totals)

FORECASTER ______ (original six) __ Points ___  (western) __ Points ____ (all nine) __ Points

wxallannj _____________1470 ___ 10__________ 606 ______ 1________ 2076 _____10

___ Consensus ________ 1400 ___ 5 __________ 614 ______ 2 ________2014 _____ 7

BKViking _____________ 1406 ____ 7 __________607 ______ 1 _______ 2013 _____ 7

Don Sutherland.1 ______ 1346 ____ 5 __________632 ______ 6 _______ 1978 _____ 6

Tom _________________1402 ____ 6 __________562 ______ 1 ________1964 _____ 5 (t)

dmillz25 ______________1322 ____ 1 __________ 642 ______ 7 ________1964 _____ 5 (t)

hudsonvalley21_________1300 ____ 1 __________658 ______10 ________1958 _____ 3

Scotty Lightning ________1344 ____ 4 __________604 ______ 1 ________ 1948 _____ 2

RodneyS _____________ 1312 ____ 1 __________ 627 _____ 4 t________ 1939 _____ 1

RJay _________________1294 ____ -- _________ 630 ______ 5 ________ 1924 _____ 1

jaxjagman ____________ 1342 ___ 3 __________ 545 ______ -- ________ 1887 _____ 1

Roger Smith ___________1334 ___ 2 __________ 552 ______ -- ________ 1886 _____ --

wxdude64 _____________1232 ___ -- __________ 627 ______ 4 t_______ 1859 _____ --

Stebo _________________1279 ___ -- _________ 465 ______ -- ________ 1744 _____ --

___Normal ____________1130 ___ -- ___________530 ______ -- ________1660 _____ --

so_whats_happening (2/3)_862 ___ -- __________365 _____ -- _________ 1227 _____ --

 

Four Seasons total points to date

... listed in order of all nine total points ...

 

FORECASTER ____ (original six) __ Points __ (western) __ Points __ (all nine) __ Points

 

Don Sutherland.1 _____5, 4, 5 _____14 _____ 7, 4, 6 ____ 17 ____ 6, 4, 6 ___ 16

wxallannj ___________2, 1, 10 ___ 13 ______ 1, 5, 1 _____ 7 ____ 2, 3, 10 ___15

Scotty Lightning _____10, 0, 4 ____ 14 _____ 10, 6, 1 ___ 17 ____10, 0, 2 ____12

BKViking ___________ 3, 0, 7 _____10 _____ 1, 7, 1 _____ 9 ____ 3, 2, 7 ____ 12

___ Consensus ____2, 1, 5 ____ 8 _____ 3, 4, 2 ____ 9 ___ 4, 1, 7 ___ 12

Roger Smith _________1,10, 2 ___ 13 ______ 5, 0, 0_____ 5 ____ 4, 7, 0 _____11

RodneyS ____________ 0, 7, 1 ____ 8 ______ 1,10, 4 ___ 15 ____ 0,10, 1 ____ 11

hudsonvalley21 ______ 7, 1, 1 _____ 9 _____ 3, 2,10 ____ 15 ____ 7, 1, 3 ____ 11

Tom _______________ 0, 5, 6 ____ 11 _____ 6, 1, 1 _____ 8 ____ 0, 5, 5 ____ 10

wxdude64 __________ 4, 6, 0 _____10 _____ 0, 0, 4 _____ 4 _____1, 6, 0 ____ 7

___Normal __________ 7, 0, 0 _____ 7 _____ 6, 0, 0 _____ 6 _____7, 0, 0 ____ 7

so_whats_happening __ 6. 0, 0 _____ 6 _____ 2, 3, 0 _____ 5 ____ 5, 0, 0 ____ 5

dmillz25 _____________1, 0, 1 _____ 1 ______0, 1, 7 ____ 8 _____ 0, 0, 5 ____ 5

RJay ________________1, 1, 0 _____ 2 _____ 0, 2, 5 ____ 7 _____ 1, 1, 1 ____ 3

H2O_Town__WX ______0, 0, 0 _____ 0 _____ 5, 0, 0 ____ 5 _____ 1, 0, 0 ____ 1

jaxjagman ___________ 0, 0, 3 _____ 3 _____ 0, 0, 0 ____ 0 _____ 0, 0, 1 ____ 1

 

(only forecasters with any points are in table)