yoda Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 TOR warning Western Carroll County in N KY... spotters report funnel cloud near Hanover, IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 New Middleton cell looks like it's cycling now too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 evere Weather Statement National Weather Service Louisville KY 230 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2018 INC077-KYC223-201845- /O.CON.KLMK.TO.W.0024.000000T0000Z-180720T1845Z/ Jefferson IN-Trimble KY- 230 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2018 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 PM EDT FOR EAST CENTRAL JEFFERSON AND NORTHWESTERN TRIMBLE COUNTIES... At 228 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Madison, moving northeast at 25 mph. Baseball hail was reported at 227 pm in Milton and a funnel cloud near Hanover. HAZARD...Tornado and baseball size hail. SOURCE...Weather spotters reported a funnel cloud. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Madison, Hanover, Milton, Brooksburg, North Madison, Ringwald, Manville and Hanover Beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geddyweather Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 For those further north, several semi-discrete cells are really starting to pop between Wabash and Lebanon, IN, south of the ongoing MCS. Likely where we will see any tornadic action if it materializes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Louisville KY 251 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2018 KYC111-201930- /O.CON.KLMK.SV.W.0210.000000T0000Z-180720T1930Z/ Jefferson KY- 251 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2018 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM EDT FOR CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTY... At 251 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Fairdale, moving east at 30 mph. This is a very dangerous storm. HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and two inch hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged. Expect considerable damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles. Extensive tree damage and power outages are likely. Locations impacted include... Louisville, Jeffersontown, St. Matthews, Shively, Middletown, Douglass Hills, Hurstbourne, Hurstbourne Acres, Audubon Park and St. Regis Park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 There's a chance that this is an embedded tornado in this squall line near Fort Wayne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 Helicities definitely on the rise in front of the Indiana line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy46237 Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 Large outdoor events and festivals are being either cancelled or moved in metro Indy due to the forecast of severe weather. However, it appears for now at least, everything is happening east of the city. We're not even in any kind of watch area. Am I missing something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 15 minutes ago, Stormy46237 said: Large outdoor events and festivals are being either cancelled or moved in metro Indy due to the forecast of severe weather. However, it appears for now at least, everything is happening east of the city. We're not even in any kind of watch area. Am I missing something? Many of these decisions were made yesterday based on the forecast out of an interest in caution, but uncertainties remained regarding where the convection would actually fire geographically. Better safe than sorry. Remember the state fair stage collapse? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 Cool storms to watch. They blew up around Kokomo in like 20 minutes. Alittle more shear up here and it could've gotten very interesting. Really nice radar depiction of the southern flank of the N IN line encountering the outflow from the SE IN storms that rolled through a few hours ago. Muncie has been getting pummeled with nearly 5 inches of rain in the last 2 or 3 hours under that boundary. (Time Sensitive link) http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=IND-N0Q-1-24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy46237 Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 25 minutes ago, Indystorm said: Many of these decisions were made yesterday based on the forecast out of an interest in caution, but uncertainties remained regarding where the convection would actually fire geographically. Understood. It happens, and better safe than sorry. I was just wondering if things are expected to fire up west of here at all or did that part of the equation fall apart? Keeping an eye on impeding weather situations is part of my job and while I've always got a plan in place, it's nice to know if I need to be ultra alert for changing conditions to keep my patrons safe. Normally, I monitor this group and keep my GRLevel3 running close by but I'm not going to have that luxury tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 The convection firing over southern Indiana a couple hours earlier hoped and growing upscale pretty quickly definitely limited the tornado potential and also the recovery on the cool side of the front where shear is strongest. Scattered cells over eastern IN now probably will have a hard time becoming severe as they move into the worked over air over OH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zinski1990 Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 I swear Indianapolis and western indiana is a thunderstorm and rain shield this year. Missed again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 The Pella and Marshalltown tornadoes have both been rated EF3. Bondurant is EF2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 here is a very short video of a tornado near Wabash, the county to my west. I caught the wall cloud as it entered our county, but it soon dissipated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 While all eyes are on the ongoing activity further east, this sounds ominous... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1108.html Quote Mesoscale Discussion 1108 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0554 PM CDT Fri Jul 20 2018 Areas affected...Kentucky...Tennessee...northern Mississippi and Alabama Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 202254Z - 210130Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...Severe storms are expected to redevelop during the 00-03Z period along and perhaps ahead of the front, with a few tornadoes, very large hail, and damaging winds. Significant severe weather is possible. DISCUSSION...An initial round of severe storms is currently lifting northeast across central KY, but a very favorable environment remains in place across the region ahead of a front. This boundary, currently extending from southern IN and IL into southeast MO and northern AR, will shift south this evening. Meanwhile, the main shortwave aloft over MO will dive southeastward across the lower MS Valley. The expectation is for storms to form both along the boundary, and possibly farther east across the open warm sector where a CU field currently exits, or, a southward extension of the ongoing KY activity into middle TN. Shear profiles will favor supercells, and perhaps bowing lines with time should outflow production be more than expected. While model solutions vary with the location, timing, and mode of expected severe storms, the environment is extremely unstable with unseasonably strong shear profiles. Thus, damaging hail, wind, and tornadoes are all possible. ..Jewell/Goss.. 07/20/2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 Video of the New Middleton tronado Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 Finally, video of a funnel cloud on an unwarned cell in northern Madison County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 Interesting that the only 2 tornado reports on the SPC page for today are in WI (on a no-risk day, natch) and FL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Knightking2018 Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 2 hours ago, Hoosier said: The Pella and Marshalltown tornadoes have both been rated EF3. Bondurant is EF2. I don't think there has been any violent tornadoes(EF4-EF5) this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 1 hour ago, CheeselandSkies said: While all eyes are on the ongoing activity further east, this sounds ominous... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1108.html A brief cell did pulse up over Nashville, but it has since fizzled back out. Cap is still holding firm and the CU field is still looking pretty unimpressive right now. We'll see if that changes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 40 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: Interesting that the only 2 tornado reports on the SPC page for today are in WI (on a no-risk day, natch) and FL. Well, we know there were at least a few in IN/KY even though they aren't in the prelim reports (at least not yet) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 Right split has died and left split is thriving out on the far western KY/TN border. That's always a good sign... I was never impressed with shear profiles regarding tornado potential today. Especially in the W/SW part of the risk area. Wind profiles were sufficient for a couple tornadoes, yes(and we got that) but didn't see much that warranted a 10% in my eyes, again, especially with W/SW extent where surface winds were significantly more veered. I'm not confident this new development will save the day either as winds have veered with time across the whole warm sector. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 Will be interesting to see the actual confirmed tornado counts for both days. Yesterday likely had a lot of duplicate reports. Would not be surprised if the final count ends up being fairly similar for both days. Yesterday could very well end up being a much more memorable day though as beyond the tornadoes, there's the tragedy in Branson. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 Oof. Not their best forecast ever. Western portions of the MDT today will bust as well. But eastern portions of the outlook will probably do fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 A survey of the unwarned storm in Madison County, IN confirms the video. PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 850 AM EDT SAT JUL 21 2018 ...EF1 TORNADO STRUCK MADISON COUNTY ON FRIDAY... A TORNADO WAS OBSERVED AND RECORDED VIA VIDEO ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON IN MOONVILLE IN MADISON COUNTY ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON. MADISON COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IN COORDINATION WITH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CONDUCTED A STORM SURVEY DETERMINED THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN AND DESTROYED A BARN...PRODUCED TREE DAMAGE AND FLIPPED A STORAGE SHED ONTO ITS SIDE. RATING: EF-1 ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 100 MPH PATH LENGTH: 0.25 MILES PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 30 YARDS FATALITIES: NONE INJURIES: NONE START DATE: JUL 20 2018 START TIME: 350 PM EDT START LOCATION: MOONVILLE INDIANA, MADISON COUNTY INDIANA, NEAR 350E (MOONSVILLE PIKE) AND GEMINI DRIVE START LAT/LON: 40.1982 N / -85.6022 W (ESTIMATED VIA GOOGLE MAPS) END DATE: JUL 20 2018 END TIME: 352 PM EDT (ESTIMATED) END LOCATION: MOONSVILLE INDIANA. 0.25 MILE NORTHEAST OF TOUCHDOWN END LAT/LON: 40.1997 N / -85.6001 W (ESTIMATED VIA GOOGLE MAPS) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted July 22, 2018 Share Posted July 22, 2018 Public Information Statement National Weather Service Northern Indiana 841 AM EDT Sun Jul 22 2018 /741 AM CDT Sun Jul 22 2018/ ...CONFIRMED TORNADO IN WABASH COUNTY ON JULY 20TH 2018... We have received multiple video and picture reports of a tornado that occurred between La Fontaine and Wabash in Wabash County on July 20th, 2018. Details about tornado intensity and an exact path will be forthcoming. Please send any videos and pictures of the tornado or reports of damage to our email at [email protected] or reach out to us on social media. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted July 22, 2018 Share Posted July 22, 2018 On 7/19/2018 at 5:29 PM, Stebo said: Reminds me of the Lazbuddie, TX supercell back in 1991 with all the tornadoes off of one tornado at one time. I noticed this while initially chasing it. When it was by Bondurant, I had to detour and saw a lot of areas rotating looking north on the backside. Wonder if my phone caught them. Nerve wracking day for me regardless. Rotation on the Bondurant storm blew up literally over my place (video here) Absurd video someone took from the same road my dad uses to get to work. https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=734468023559973&id=100009903462169 My video of the other Bondurant tornado hitting a farm. Further back from the much closer one posted. https://mobile.twitter.com/JonBothe/status/1020042249336500226 Edit: Marshalltown and Pella tornadoes rated preliminary EF3, Bondurant low EF2 but mostly EF0-1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 22, 2018 Share Posted July 22, 2018 New Middletown tornado was rated EF1 https://www.weather.gov/lmk/SevereWeatherSummaryforFridayJuly202018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 On 7/20/2018 at 3:18 PM, Chinook said: There's a chance that this is an embedded tornado in this squall line near Fort Wayne PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 135 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2018 /1235 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2018/ .UPDATE TO TORNADO - WABASH COUNTY... THIS IS AN UPDATE TO THE WABASH COUNTY TORNADO AS CONFIRMED FROM DAMAGE THAT OCCURRED ON JULY 20 2018. DETAILS FOR THIS TORNADO CAN BE FOUND BELOW. THIS TRACK IS PRELIMINARY WITH ADDITIONAL CHANGES POSSIBLE AS MORE INFORMATION IS OBTAINED. RATING: EF-0 ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 70 MPH PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 0.8 MILES PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 25 YARDS FATALITIES: 0 INJURIES: 0 START DATE: JULY 20 2018 START TIME: 314 PM EDT START LOCATION: 3.8 N OF LAFONTAINE IN START LAT/LON: 40.7281/-85.7180 END DATE: JULY 20 2018 END TIME: 315 PM EDT END LOCATION: 4.3 NNW OF LAFONTAINE IN END_LAT/LON: 40.7337/-85.7047 A TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN NORTH OF THE INTERSECTION OF E CR 700 S AND S CR 390 E WHERE THREE TREES WERE UPROOTED, SEVERAL TREE BRANCHES BROKEN AND A ROOF REMOVED FROM AN OUTBUILDING. THE TORNADO CONTINUED NORTHEAST, CROSSING S AMERICA ROAD WHERE TREES WERE UPROOTED AND TREE LIMBS BROKEN AT A RESIDENCE WHERE IT LIFTED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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