Snowlover11 Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 surprised yanksfan isnt all over this, after all hes all about heavy rain and flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 3 hours ago, Snowlover11 said: surprised yanksfan isnt all over this, after all hes all about heavy rain and flooding. I’m watching, but I haven’t had the time to post much. I also think the bulk of this rain falls in a short period late Saturday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JWilliam9830 Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 The SLP appears to be over/near the SC coast on satellite... Low clouds can be seen moving in a circular fashion on satellite. http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=subregional-Carolinas-02-48-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbars= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 Euro is west with the main rains-poconos to west of philly-but rains from the ULL continue into Monday-inches of rain for all by Tuesday-3-5 inches just north of NYC. JP is in the Poconos...up to 8 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 Yuck I'm right on the edge of the 4-5" line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 11 minutes ago, gravitylover said: Yuck I'm right on the edge of the 4-5" line. no brown grass by the end of the week, that's for sure... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 Surface low trying to develop near 33N 82W now at 1011mb. No circulation yet above 850mb. As an aside, the GFS is not perturbed by clouds and rain since it still calls for 7 or 8 '90 Degree Days' during the remainder of the month. EURO is 10 degrees lower throughout, otherwise we are going to get some intolerable dew points as the PW stays above average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 Could go either way for most of us between some heavy rain for a 6 hour period, or that heavy rain going well west of us over PA with the surface low over the DE River and us mostly looking for what heavy showers rotate east of the low. As usual with these hybrid type lows the heaviest rain will go west and along the low track, and it makes sense the digging upper low/stronger ridge would make the surface low track trend west. I'm expecting showery type weather here with a period of gusty SE wind, hopefully the heavier rain doesn't focus so fa west. Should be plenty of opportunity for everyone to get soaked over the next few days with instability caused by the upper low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted July 20, 2018 Share Posted July 20, 2018 SPC has upgraded us to marginal for tomorrow night. Interesting wording in that as well as the hazardous weather outlook by Upton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 21, 2018 Author Share Posted July 21, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 21, 2018 Author Share Posted July 21, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JWilliam9830 Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 The kick is locked in. The SLP is now moving up the SE coast.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 rain is racing north now, just south of ocean city, md. wouldnt be shocked if we have showers moving in by noon time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 Near 35N 78W at 1010mb. Little upper development above 700mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 Surprised that no watches were issued further north. Models suggesting strong eastern feeder bands could give us inches of rain, I mean just look at satellite imagery. The effects should be very tropical storm-esque with tropical rains, gusty winds, and weak, quick spin-ups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: Surprised that no watches were issued further north. Models suggesting strong eastern feeder bands could give us inches of rain, I mean just look at satellite imagery. The effects should be very tropical storm-esque with tropical rains, gusty winds, and weak, quick spin-ups. I'm torn between going down the shore for the early on convention and chance for spin ups and chance of waterspouts or head east for the show later on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ace Mahomes Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 21, 2018 Author Share Posted July 21, 2018 Judging by the current radar, it looks like E.PA would be the big winner with this but that was always a possibility. I think we will get our fair share of heavy rain/storms later though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 Considerably more cloudy over the past hour. NYC should be on the far Eastern side of the steadier rains but in a more favorable position for convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 28 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Judging by the current radar, it looks like E.PA would be the big winner with this but that was always a possibility. I think we will get our fair share of heavy rain/storms later though. Most areas in the metro area look to be under an inch on the rgem, a bit more on the gfs and nam. I guess alot of that will depend on how much convection we get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 Any idea on the timing of the strong winds? Almost looked a bit like a sting jet on some of the modeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 9 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Any idea on the timing of the strong winds? Almost looked a bit like a sting jet on some of the modeling. Euro has 50-75 mph gusts (Map in knots) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 we'll need high wind warnings if the euro is correct. it also shows 2" for the metro west of the hudson Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 Taking my Wife to see Taylor Swift at MetLife tonight. Hoping for the best but start time looks to be around 8pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 figures pa wins, cant even get a decent rain storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 21, 2018 Share Posted July 21, 2018 Wind advisory now up, definitely much more of a factor than a couple days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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