EastCoast NPZ Posted September 1, 2018 Share Posted September 1, 2018 3 hours ago, pasnownut said: I see the maps and like i said, the worst should SOON be over....no matter how extended the stay of SER is, we are entering a time when climo says 90's are going to be hard to come by. Maybe, but 88 / 72 wont be hard to come by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 19 hours ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Maybe, but 88 / 72 wont be hard to come by. Yeah i guess i find myself grasping for air....cool less humid air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 1 hour ago, pasnownut said: Yeah i guess i find myself grasping for air....cool less humid air. Me too. Unfortunately, it's not coming for at least the next 10 days. Staring at a 6-day run of 90F in September is just sickening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 4 hours ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Me too. Unfortunately, it's not coming for at least the next 10 days. Staring at a 6-day run of 90F in September is just sickening. GFS has a nice cool down just beyond day 10. Maybe a legit fall preview. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 2 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said: GFS has a nice cool down just beyond day 10. Maybe a legit fall preview. Thank goodness. Please let it come to pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 7 hours ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Me too. Unfortunately, it's not coming for at least the next 10 days. Staring at a 6-day run of 90F in September is just sickening. You know we don’t cool down without a huge fight. October before we can even think about low 70s for highs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 Has anybody seen the new cansips? It's not out yet on TT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 2, 2018 Share Posted September 2, 2018 2 hours ago, BristowWx said: You know we don’t cool down without a huge fight. October before we can even think about low 70s for highs. I'd settle for some lows in the 50s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted September 3, 2018 Share Posted September 3, 2018 On 8/29/2018 at 7:40 AM, anotherman said: I just always hope it says warm and wet for us since it says cold and snowy every single year and fails. Sort of like Bustardi's "forecasts." I read through some of it...For this winter, it actually isn't as snow-happy in it's predictions (in fact, this is the first one in the last several years where it didn't call for 1 to 2 feet of snow at some point). I get it just as a hobby...and it is kinda entertaining when it's right on a particular week (like this week...called for humid!). I find that it'll get certain things right on a given day/week (regardless of the time of year). So I realize I'm a bit on an island here, but I think their formula hits just enough times to call it a little more than luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 4, 2018 Share Posted September 4, 2018 On 9/2/2018 at 4:55 PM, Chris78 said: Has anybody seen the new cansips? It's not out yet on TT. Still hasn't updated on TT. In other news, the CFS still looks like crap up top with +AO/+NAO and WAR for much of met winter. The good news there is plenty of time, it is the CFS so no one really cares, and it is due for one of it's many complete flips. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted September 4, 2018 Share Posted September 4, 2018 3 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said: Still hasn't updated on TT. In other news, the CFS still looks like crap up top with +AO/+NAO and WAR for much of met winter. The good news there is plenty of time, it is the CFS so no one really cares, and it is due for one of it's many complete flips. I usually try to ignore the cfs because it rarely shows what I want. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted September 4, 2018 Share Posted September 4, 2018 4 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said: Still hasn't updated on TT. In other news, the CFS still looks like crap up top with +AO/+NAO and WAR for much of met winter. The good news there is plenty of time, it is the CFS so no one really cares, and it is due for one of it's many complete flips. Last couple of times I looked it was decent. Guess it was about time for it's bipolar phase to kick in. Really can't get worked up about it either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 Keep it coming.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 4 hours ago, poolz1 said: Keep it coming.... September CanSIPS is just out on TT and it looks quite acceptable as well. Very similar to last month's run, and suggestive of high latitude blocking for much of winter. Lets keep the trends going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted September 5, 2018 Share Posted September 5, 2018 Just glanced at it...HLB ftw I would love a front loaded winter...would prefer wall to wall but not having to wait until mid January for once would be nice.Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted September 6, 2018 Share Posted September 6, 2018 This just out....... I thought we did better with a moderate El Nino, however, maybe the location of the warmer waters and forcing are just as important . Mentioning this from another forum : From @WorldClimateSvc - "The latest Environment Canada CanSIPS seasonal forecast is finally available. Much weaker El Niño now indicated: Dec-Feb Niño3.4 anomaly now only +0.67°C versus +1.08 last month." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted September 7, 2018 Share Posted September 7, 2018 First daily -30 soi in a while today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted September 8, 2018 Share Posted September 8, 2018 22 hours ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: First daily -30 soi in a while today. Another one today..pretty good tumble going on and looks to continue negative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted September 10, 2018 Share Posted September 10, 2018 I bought snow pants because of this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted September 10, 2018 Share Posted September 10, 2018 56 minutes ago, Jandurin said: I bought snow pants because of this thread. Well now you've done it - that guarantees 4 snowless winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted September 10, 2018 Share Posted September 10, 2018 It's about time :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted September 11, 2018 Share Posted September 11, 2018 Hello to the first tendrils of winter snow crossing the border into northern upland Montana six days from now on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted September 12, 2018 Share Posted September 12, 2018 I am not even gonna talk science. There is no chance we fail 4 years in a row. No chance I tell ya. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted September 12, 2018 Share Posted September 12, 2018 5 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: I am not even gonna talk science. There is no chance we fail 4 years in a row. No chance I tell ya. Well, technically this would be the third year in the row since we did pull off the mega-blizzard in 2016!! My guess is that even if this year doesn't work out...maybe next year we get a mod El Niño and epicness! (I've ready half-given up on this winter until we see some more positive trends. Coming off of La Niña last year? I just don't trust it, lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted September 12, 2018 Share Posted September 12, 2018 Subzero 850 at DCA on the 18z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 12, 2018 Share Posted September 12, 2018 1 hour ago, MN Transplant said: Subzero 850 at DCA on the 18z GFS That means snow, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted September 12, 2018 Share Posted September 12, 2018 11 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said: Well, technically this would be the third year in the row since we did pull off the mega-blizzard in 2016!! My guess is that even if this year doesn't work out...maybe next year we get a mod El Niño and epicness! (I've ready half-given up on this winter until we see some more positive trends. Coming off of La Niña last year? I just don't trust it, lol) That blizzard barely counts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted September 12, 2018 Share Posted September 12, 2018 10 minutes ago, Jandurin said: That blizzard barely counts. Now you have gone and done it. Now going to have two pages of people arguing back and forth about if one great storm makes a great winter even if the rest of the winter sucked. And the correct answer there is that one storm does not make a good winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted September 12, 2018 Share Posted September 12, 2018 2 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: Now you have gone and done it. Now going to have two pages of people arguing back and forth about if one great storm makes a great winter even if the rest of the winter sucked. And the correct answer there is that one storm does not make a good winter. x2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 13, 2018 Share Posted September 13, 2018 WMO ENSO Update http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/wcp/wcasp/enso_update_latest.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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