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July Doldrums - Summer in full effect Pattern and Model Discussion

Baroclinic Zone

By Baroclinic Zone,
in New England

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Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

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Fyi - 

 

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 200 PM EDT Tue Jul 3 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. An area of disturbed weather has formed a few hundred miles southeast of Bermuda. Upper-level winds could become somewhat conducive for development by late this week when the disturbance is forecast to be southwest of Bermuda. The system is forecast to move generally northward over the weekened and begin interacting with a frontal system on Sunday, which would limit any additional development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

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wxeyeNH

wxeyeNH

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What a week for high dew points.  I found this neat link.  Lists highest dews ever recorded.  For New England 82F is the record at Hartford..  Im sure there is no such information  but when this streak is finally over on Friday the average dews for consecutive days will probably be some type of record.  Anyone have any info on this?  https://www.weather.gov/box/dewpoint

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Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

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Looks like the models are consistent enough with the scale/degree of the pattern break that we can be confident of a significant change ... late Thursday onward... 

Who's to say how long that lasts, but, a temperate weekend appears destined...  

I am noticing that there is a tendency for positive anomalies to linger over a U.S. S of our latitudes, so... given limited excuse for transport, we may roll heat back in next week.  We'll see -

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HIPPYVALLEY

HIPPYVALLEY

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 Although it isn't really my fetish I can definitely appreciate the hallucination heat right now.   Downtown Greenfield is 96F and I am Magine the DP is similar to the 76 at my house.  

I call it a hallucination heat because I literally forget what I am doing in mid action.  

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tamarack

tamarack

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2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

One of the fastest CB head explosions ever near NYC!   ...That's the other thing...we may rock'n roll here over the next two to three hours. Sat shows the remnant frontalysis aligning NE-SW from southern Maine to eastern PA, and along that axis turrets are starting to glow on visible imagery.  

Nooormally I'd say no with near historic ridging enveloping all ... and actually intensifying, but there is micro/meso offsets with unusually proficient CAPE... At some point, you get so saturated you overcome.  

My old NNJ environs are getting sluiced, lots of 2"+ pixels with some over 3", and it's still pouring.  Hope the folks along the Pequannock and Rockaway Rivers are prepared - might already be too late for those close to the flashy smaller tribs.

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powderfreak

powderfreak

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28 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Temps are still climbing in C NH as drier air tries to mix in. Mid 70s dews here, but LCI is down to 69F and 1P1 is 58F. Hopefully they creep down here soon...need a mini break.

It's weird how 87/62 almost feels refreshing after two days of 92/75 up here.

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