CAPE Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Meso guidance (the NAMs...RGEM, HRRR) look dry <2" over 2 days outside of a rogue sweet spot. The main event was the organized coastal low. Yesterday's heavy rain was due to a compact vort max that enhanced lift, and also a localized frontal boundary that set up near the bay. Will probably see mostly hit or miss convection over the next couple days, then maybe a more widespread area of rain later Thursday with a cold front attempting to move through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 29 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Meso guidance (the NAMs...RGEM, HRRR) look dry <2" over 2 days outside of a rogue sweet spot. Uh... 12z NAM posted above shows a large area of >2" of rain over next 3 days... so does RGEM 2-3" of rain over next 48 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 8 minutes ago, yoda said: Uh... 12z NAM posted above shows a large area of >2" of rain over next 3 days Check the scale...the next contour up is only ~2.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 1 hour ago, yoda said: Thank you. That's no bueno for our creeks and the Susquahanna up here as the upstream water falls off the mountains. Going to be dicey getting O's - Red Sox games in tonight through Wednesday too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Check the scale...the next contour up is only ~2.5" Check the colors... DCA is 3" on 12z NAM... Fairfax County is 2.5" to 3" on 12z RGEM... and you said LESS than 2"... clearly 2.5" is MORE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JWilliam9830 Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 21 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: The main event was the organized coastal low. Yesterday's heavy rain was due to a compact vort max that enhanced lift, and also a localized frontal boundary that set up near the bay. Will probably see mostly hit or miss convection over the next couple days, then maybe a more widespread area of rain later Thursday with a cold front attempting to move through. meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 Sun is out now....steam coming off the roof. 79/76Perfect day for fishing.....if everything wasn’t high and muddy.Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 1 minute ago, poolz1 said: Sun is out now....steam coming off the roof. 79/76 Perfect day for fishing.....if everything wasn’t high and muddy. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Pond fishing is probably still viable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 Pond fishing is probably still viable.True. Wish I had a few unknown farm ponds in my back pocket....where the the big boys spend all summer porking up.Lol. I used to but not anything local anymore. Mostly river and creek floats...Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 2 minutes ago, poolz1 said: True. Wish I had a few unknown farm ponds in my back pocket....where the the big boys spend all summer porking up.Lol. I used to but not anything local anymore. Mostly river and creek floats... Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk If you don't mind a drive: 1.) Pond in front of Pleasant Valley Fire Department (Carroll County) 2.) This pond here in Montgomery Village of Duffer Way: HERE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 19 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: If you don't mind a drive: 1.) Pond in front of Pleasant Valley Fire Department (Carroll County) Is that pond public? I might want to check it out. On topic, a quick tropical downpour here and now blue skies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 10 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Nice read . Wpc definitely somewhat bullish for later today https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=0523&yr=2018 Basically saying guidance is a little too conservative with top end totals zzzzzzzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 3 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Is that pond public? I might want to check it out. On topic, a quick tropical downpour here and now blue skies. Yea, it's an abandoned golf course so there's about 4 or 5 water hazards that you can walk. I've always parked on Duffer Way and then I go and fish them. Got some bass around 16" in them...top water plugs work well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Yea, it's an abandoned golf course so there's about 4 or 5 water hazards that you can walk. I've always parked on Duffer Way and then I go and fish them. Got some bass around 16" in them...top water plugs work well. Wow. Good to know! Hopefully you catch and release. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 Just now, nw baltimore wx said: Wow. Good to know! Hopefully you catch and release. Always do on barbless hooks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JWilliam9830 Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 Temperature down to 23F and 13'' and counting. Today is January 22, 2019. Blowing and drifting on the porch, the solar minimum mini ice age part 2. NWS going with a conservative 36'' for my backyard. Meanwhile eastcoastnpz is dryslotted. zzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 i don't anticipate a saturday style rain to get to the totals. it will probably be spotty, some boom, some busts, typical of summer. the idea is that any cells are going to dump like they did yesterday. satellite imagery looks good, and shows the moisture plume pretty well. also, i have none...and i mean absolutely no desire for winter right now. completely satisfied with being able to step outside in shorts and a t-shirt, whether it's raining or not. winter around here has become overrated. 4 months of chasing scraps. thunderstorms and pool weather for the win...until the euro shows a 4-8" overrunning system from the south and a nice high to the north. until then, i'm out. summertime ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 More heavy rain. Fun... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 11 minutes ago, ThePhotoGuy said: More heavy rain. Fun... Yup. Another monsoon at North Point. At least it's easier to pull weeds... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 Never fails, EJ poor mouths and then it pours walls of rain two hours later. Buckets of rain downtown Balt City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 3 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Never fails, EJ poor mouths and then it pours walls of rain two hours later. Buckets of rain downtown Balt City. Looks like Charles Town and Baltimore City win. The rest of the area is pretty quiet on the radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JWilliam9830 Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 Only .27'' of rain so far. dud Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 These tropical downpours, some with decent t&l, have been fun. More through the end of August, please. 7 inches since Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 Yet another bust forecast at the beach. Mix of sun and clouds but no rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JWilliam9830 Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 2.52'' since Saturday. Today is a bust, only had .27'' so far. 85/80 humid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 I've had 0.87" today so far. No bust here! That brings me to a three day total of 4.94". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 Next to nothing. Again. And I'm under a FFW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coolio Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 Wore my bean boots b/c I thought we were going to be the bullseye today. Actually, had a some moderate rain when I left this am. That lasted for about 15 mins. After that...nada! The skies look like a hurricane is offshore but we're outside of the impact zone. And really muggy. Just clouds moving fast and some openings of blue skies. Sun peeked through a few times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 48 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Next to nothing. Again. And I'm under a FFW. FFW here. 0.06" today after 0.00" yesterday. Can I join now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JWilliam9830 Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 NWS forecast for my city: This Afternoon Heavy Rain High: 84 °F Tonight Heavy Rain Low: 74 °F Tuesday Heavy Rain High: 82 °F Tuesday Night Heavy Rain Low: 72 °F Wednesday Heavy Rain High: 82 °F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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