Stormpc Posted July 5, 2018 Share Posted July 5, 2018 On 7/5/2018 at 8:41 PM, Jebman said: This hot weather has been great practice for my new life in south Texas. I am now about 3 weeks away from saying goodbye forever to everything I have loved for the past 50 years - to spend the rest of my life in a very very HOT place with no snow ever again and very little rain. In short, I am going to Hell. LOL. Expand Thats it? You are really leaving for good? That's hard to fathom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 5, 2018 Share Posted July 5, 2018 On 7/5/2018 at 8:41 PM, Jebman said: This hot weather has been great practice for my new life in south Texas. I am now about 3 weeks away from saying goodbye forever to everything I have loved for the past 50 years - to spend the rest of my life in a very very HOT place with no snow ever again and very little rain. In short, I am going to Hell. LOL. Expand You're moving to S TX next month? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JWilliam9830 Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 It's a warm one out. Still 80 degrees with some scattered 70s in the cooler farm areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 Haven’t had a drop of rain in a week. Hope the HRRR is onto something for tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 On 7/6/2018 at 2:22 AM, MN Transplant said: Haven’t had a drop of rain in a week. Hope the HRRR is onto something for tonight. Expand the HRRR looks really good tonight, especially for the western side of DC. It's interesting, though, that the HRRRX (which becomes the HRRR next week) is not nearly as excited. Radar seems to suggest that the operational HRRR is on the right track, but we'll see..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 On 7/6/2018 at 2:23 AM, high risk said: the HRRR looks really good tonight, especially for the western side of DC. It's interesting, though, that the HRRRX (which becomes the HRRR next week) is not nearly as excited. Radar seems to suggest that the operational HRRR is on the right track, but we'll see..... Expand I've found the hrrr to be pretty accurate this spring and early summer, at least in my vicinity. I'm assuming the hrrrx has better overall verification scores? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 On 7/6/2018 at 2:26 AM, nw baltimore wx said: I've found the hrrr to be pretty accurate this spring and early summer, at least in my vicinity. I'm assuming the hrrrx has better overall verification scores? Expand yes, but the HRRR has a high bias for precip/reflectivity. The HRRRX brings that down, but in the process of eliminating some of the false alarms, it occasionally loses a "real" event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 On 7/6/2018 at 2:28 AM, high risk said: yes, but the HRRR has a high bias for precip/reflectivity. The HRRRX brings that down, but in the process of eliminating some of the false alarms, it occasionally loses a "real" event. Expand Thanks, and interesting. I have rarely clicked on the hrrrx so I don't have a layman's opinion, but here's to hoping that the non-x version scores a coupe tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 On 7/5/2018 at 9:22 PM, Stormpc said: Thats it? You are really leaving for good? That's hard to fathom. Expand It is hard to fathom. Unless I find someone to stay with for a while. You are going to get a Nino this winter, and Washington DC will have a 72 inch snow winter, in 2018-2019. Get your shovels ready lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 On 7/5/2018 at 9:28 PM, yoda said: You're moving to S TX next month? Expand Yes. The reason is simple. My beloved Dad passed at 930pm on June 13 this year. He was 81. My mom, who resides in Texas, has been up here, we are cleaning up frantically, we will sell my home in Dale City where Dad and I lived together for over 20 years and then we will DRIVE to Buda Texas which is 1350 miles to the SSW of Dale City. Thus begins an entirely new life for yours truly. I am not sure what I will do with the rest of my life, lol. Find a freezer to live in, probably lol. I will still be wishing heavy snows on the Mid Atlantic though. The Reaper will be out of work forever. You guys are going to get BURIED ALIVE this winter by extreme snows. This is a scientific forecast. My proof? I will be gone, 1300 miles SSW. Washington is going to get totally destroyed by snow this winter. Bank on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 On 7/5/2018 at 9:28 PM, yoda said: You're moving to S TX next month? Expand It looks that way, it will probably happen right around the last week of July or the first week of August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 On 7/6/2018 at 4:06 AM, Jebman said: Yes. The reason is simple. My beloved Dad passed at 930pm on June 13 this year. He was 81. My mom, who resides in Texas, has been up here, we are cleaning up frantically, we will sell my home in Dale City where Dad and I lived together for over 20 years and then we will DRIVE to Buda Texas which is 1350 miles to the SSW of Dale City. Thus begins an entirely new life for yours truly. I am not sure what I will do with the rest of my life, lol. Find a freezer to live in, probably lol. I will still be wishing heavy snows on the Mid Atlantic though. The Reaper will be out of work forever. You guys are going to get BURIED ALIVE this winter by extreme snows. This is a scientific forecast. My proof? I will be gone, 1300 miles SSW. Washington is going to get totally destroyed by snow this winter. Bank on this. Expand I'm really sorry to hear that. My thoughts and prayers are with you @Jebman. I will make sure to take Jebwalks in your honor when we get pounded with snow this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 Lol both 02z and 03z HRRR says what heavy rain... or really, what rain? Besides a few showers that is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 My condolences, jeb. Wish the best for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 On 7/6/2018 at 4:58 AM, yoda said: Lol both 02z and 03z HRRR says what heavy rain... or really, what rain? Besides a few showers that is Expand And its next run will probably be a complete deluge. What a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 On 7/6/2018 at 5:43 AM, Rtd208 said: And its next run will probably be a complete deluge. What a joke. Expand Sounds like the HRRRX wins... per high risk it becomes the new HRRR next week (posted above on this page) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 On 7/4/2018 at 9:02 PM, BlizzardNole said: Where's NPZ?! Winchester at 4:35 PM was 70 degrees with winds at 38G44. Radar looks real nice over Stephens City. I would love some of that rain but I ain't holding my breath, not even for Friday. I can see isolated t-storms today and tomorrow focused out west, then Friday forming just east and south. Expand Well I nailed that one. One cell passed two miles south of me yesterday with nothing but sprinkles here. And sure enough, LWX is saying the best rain today is in central VA to southern MD. The Central MD Desert is in full effect now. No rain for weeks and wont' get any today. At least I'l have a cool weekend for all the extensive watering to be done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 Heard thunder around 3am, but no rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 You sure that wasn't some jackwagon getting rid of the rest of his fireworks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 On 7/6/2018 at 4:06 AM, Jebman said: Yes. The reason is simple. My beloved Dad passed at 930pm on June 13 this year. He was 81. My mom, who resides in Texas, has been up here, we are cleaning up frantically, we will sell my home in Dale City where Dad and I lived together for over 20 years and then we will DRIVE to Buda Texas which is 1350 miles to the SSW of Dale City. Thus begins an entirely new life for yours truly. I am not sure what I will do with the rest of my life, lol. Find a freezer to live in, probably lol. I will still be wishing heavy snows on the Mid Atlantic though. The Reaper will be out of work forever. You guys are going to get BURIED ALIVE this winter by extreme snows. This is a scientific forecast. My proof? I will be gone, 1300 miles SSW. Washington is going to get totally destroyed by snow this winter. Bank on this. Expand Sorry for your loss. I know a guy from here that retired to that area a couple years ago, and he loves it. He is also sort of between Austin and San Antonio which are really cool cities. Oh and you'll be in the path of the total solar eclipse on 4/8/2024! You'll have to take a short flight to Denver in winter for some awesome skiing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 On 7/6/2018 at 4:06 AM, Jebman said: Yes. The reason is simple. My beloved Dad passed at 930pm on June 13 this year. He was 81. My mom, who resides in Texas, has been up here, we are cleaning up frantically, we will sell my home in Dale City where Dad and I lived together for over 20 years and then we will DRIVE to Buda Texas which is 1350 miles to the SSW of Dale City. Thus begins an entirely new life for yours truly. I am not sure what I will do with the rest of my life, lol. Find a freezer to live in, probably lol. I will still be wishing heavy snows on the Mid Atlantic though. The Reaper will be out of work forever. You guys are going to get BURIED ALIVE this winter by extreme snows. This is a scientific forecast. My proof? I will be gone, 1300 miles SSW. Washington is going to get totally destroyed by snow this winter. Bank on this. Expand 1300 miles. That'd be one hell of a jebwalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 Radar doesn't look promising. Going to be a long dry spell when today fails. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 On 7/6/2018 at 1:13 PM, dailylurker said: Radar doesn't look promising. Going to be a long dry spell when today fails. Expand Why is there a Flash Flood Watch in NE MD and Northern DE ? Been the kiss of death lately . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 On 7/6/2018 at 1:13 PM, dailylurker said: Radar doesn't look promising. Going to be a long dry spell when today fails. Expand Yup. And my last rain was 0.15 on June 24. I have yet to see a good thunderstorm this whole season. I don't want severe - just a good downpour with frequent lightning. I get out of the desert for a week on the 21st to VA Beach. I hope it produces one good thunderstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 On 7/6/2018 at 1:13 PM, dailylurker said: Radar doesn't look promising. Going to be a long dry spell when today fails. Expand We do some form of this every year now- I got over 17” of rain from May 12 through the first week of June. Now I’ve had basically nothing for weeks, so the garden can have both fungus from all the rain AND be drought stressed simultaneously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 On 7/6/2018 at 2:51 PM, PrinceFrederickWx said: We do some form of this every year now- I got over 17” of rain from May 12 through the first week of June. Now I’ve had basically nothing for weeks, so the garden can have both fungus from all the rain AND be drought stressed simultaneously. Expand Same problem in my garden. We suck lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 I heard thunder rumbling around 3am but nothing to speak of in the rain gauge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 pretty phenomenal bust so far and what a weird flood watch that was. i'm not even sure we received a sprinkle here. maybe these renegade showers can do something as the cool push moves through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 On 7/6/2018 at 3:22 PM, 87storms said: pretty phenomenal bust so far and what a weird flood watch that was. i'm not even sure we received a sprinkle here. maybe these renegade showers can do something as the cool push moves through. Expand NWS Mount Holly discussion stated potential for isolated 2 to 3 inch amounts. what model(s) called for that? I feel the Mount Holly guys do a super job by the last 3 calls for heavy rainfall in my area and areas nearby has yielded little if any. I am not talking a small goegraphic area but rather large expanse of area. As for today surprising with a dew of 77 now and this clash in air masses coming up I may get hardly anything. Very, very low soil moisture here now. Last 4 weeks missed mostr rain to NE , SE and West. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted July 6, 2018 Share Posted July 6, 2018 On 7/6/2018 at 3:28 PM, frd said: NWS Mount Holly discussion stated potential for isolated 2 to 3 inch amounts. what model(s) called for that? I feel the Mount Holly guys do a super job by the last 3 calls for heavy rainfall in my area and areas nearby has yielded little if any. I am not talking a small goegraphic area but rather large expanse of area. As for today surprising with a dew of 77 now and this clash in air masses coming up I may get hardly anything. Very, very low soil moisture here now. Last 4 weeks missed mostr rain to NE , SE and West. Expand i think hrrr was doing hrrr things last night and showed a blob moving through dc/95. issuing a flood watch and not receiving much of anything is an underrated bust. it would be ranked if it was winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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