Stormlover74 Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 8 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said: lee goldberg had a graphic (futurecast) aka ****cast. of heavy showers and storms over the area from 8pm-3am. indont see that but we’ll see. It's all west of us now but if it shifts east we could get hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 28 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: It's all west of us now but if it shifts east we could get hit Notice the convection near Baltimore/DC is moving due east , this will all fill in and hit the metro after 8pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 Last time we had over 15.00 inches of rain during a calendar month was August 2011. Baltimore (BWI) is up to 15.04 inches of rain this month. Closing in on the 18.35 inch all-time monthly record in Aug 1955. Remarkably that location has had three days of 3+ inch rainfall in the eight days ending yesterday (two days well past). That ties for the most in a YEAR. pic.twitter.com/lpVA3QUost 6:51 AM - 25 Jul 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 Insane rainfall rates for PA right now on top of the days of rain already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 Bye PA it was nice knowing you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 Flash flood watch hoisted further east. rainfall rates of up to an inch an hour with as much as 2-4” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 Came home to find at least another 1" fell throughout the day. More tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 the convective system west of us is showing no indications of weakening and the convection that was modeled to hit long island doesn't appear to be forming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 stuff in MD and PA is training north over the same areas hit all week. Light stuff east of the Delaware filling in a bit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 Radar indicating over 10 inches of rain over the last few days just east of Harrisburg (not including Saturday's soaker). Had this set up 30 miles east my rafting trip would be kaput. Also I have to say the models have really struggled to get a hold of this convective situation. As much as they can be aggravating during the winter traditional coastal storms are much more their wheelhouse. The HRRR has probably been the least bad but situations like this are supposed to be its forte. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 7 minutes ago, Gravity Wave said: Radar indicating over 10 inches of rain over the last few days just east of Harrisburg (not including Saturday's soaker). Had this set up 30 miles east my rafting trip would be kaput. I don't know about that, right now you can raft from the north end of PA to the south. Actually you could probably make it all the way to the ocean just using major highways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 25, 2018 Share Posted July 25, 2018 Just got the heaviest downpour of the day so far here in SW Suffolk. But it was a pretty small cell so it was brief. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 17 minutes ago, bluewave said: Just got the heaviest downpour of the day so far here in SW Suffolk. But it was a pretty small cell so it was brief. Just missed me to the west. Only 0.14” today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 That line in PA is nuts. Bad news for them. It just doesn’t seem to be making much progress. I think part of our problem is we are now in a more stable marine environment. I have really been noticing the last few days you need water temps 80+ to get good convection going. Kind of like with hurricanes. Low to mid 70s just doesn’t cut it. Still holding out hope for better rains tonight and when I say hope the Wantagh meso is .99” for this entire event since Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 Radar doesn't look very promising for much rain here tonight. Looks as if it's gonna miss to the west and east, which is what the latest run of HRRR shows. I think we'll see very little rain tonight, which obviously is opposite of what forecasts are saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 convection blowing up here and south of here-incredible tropical rains right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: the convective system west of us is showing no indications of weakening and the convection that was modeled to hit long island doesn't appear to be forming Pouring and 0.60” in the past hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: convection blowing up here and south of here-incredible tropical rains right now... Same here. Newly seeded yard is a lake, not good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 37 minutes ago, Cfa said: Just missed me to the west. Only 0.14” today. More cells developing along and just east of the Jersey Shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 2 minutes ago, bluewave said: More cells developing along and just east of the Jersey Shore. The cell blew up over LI and now is crushing CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 Just now, psv88 said: The cell blew up over LI and now is crushing CT It was really small when it came through here earlier. But it was a nice downpour for about 2-3 minutes. Looks like a small circulation is trying to form with the blooming batch of convection near and east of the Jersey Shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 4 minutes ago, psv88 said: The cell blew up over LI and now is crushing CT getting smoked--HRRR and NAM's showed a stripe of 2+ over here this eve, it's here.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewYorkweatherfan Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 We’re going to get clobbered tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 Pretty much missed out on the heavy rains in C NJ, did get hit with the Mon & Wed morning batches and then the hybrid storm before that so I'm not complaining. HRRR shows no more than light showers for rest of tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 Heavy rain out in Chester. Flood warning for Morris/Sussex is up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 I'm just barely over an inch total for this whole ordeal since the first LP wave on Sunday morning. Days and days of drizzle punctuated by occasional showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 Looks like Nassau is about to get smoked finally. We should make up for all the misses with this one batch. Should be 2”/hour rates in that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 13 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Looks like Nassau is about to get smoked finally. We should make up for all the misses with this one batch. Should be 2”/hour rates in that Yea good inch of rain in there at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LIWeatherGuy29 Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 Raining very heavy here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 26, 2018 Share Posted July 26, 2018 50 minutes ago, psv88 said: Yea good inch of rain in there at least Prob 1-2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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