OHweather Posted July 22, 2018 Share Posted July 22, 2018 There should be some enhanced chances for showers/thunder with locally heavy rain tonight into tomorrow morning as the moisture plume evident over the Atlantic towards eastern Long Island and New England backs west. Should see the lift from the low to mid-level moisture and warm advection along with the right-entrance quad of the upper-level jet help spark scattered convection in the humid and fairly unstable airmass at times through Monday before the core of the moisture axis and better jet support shift a little west. Still could be spotty showers/thunder thereafter through Tuesday, but heaviest stuff should be to our west (maybe clipping NW NJ). This could end up being pretty bad just to our west in PA where they got more rain last night and will be in a pattern supportive of numerous storms with heavy rain rates through Wednesday. The moisture axis shifts back east for Wednesday and perhaps into Thursday which should cause our chances for storms with locally heavy rain to ramp back up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 22, 2018 Share Posted July 22, 2018 35 minutes ago, OHweather said: There should be some enhanced chances for showers/thunder with locally heavy rain tonight into tomorrow morning as the moisture plume evident over the Atlantic towards eastern Long Island and New England backs west. Should see the lift from the low to mid-level moisture and warm advection along with the right-entrance quad of the upper-level jet help spark scattered convection in the humid and fairly unstable airmass at times through Monday before the core of the moisture axis and better jet support shift a little west. Still could be spotty showers/thunder thereafter through Tuesday, but heaviest stuff should be to our west (maybe clipping NW NJ). This could end up being pretty bad just to our west in PA where they got more rain last night and will be in a pattern supportive of numerous storms with heavy rain rates through Wednesday. The moisture axis shifts back east for Wednesday and perhaps into Thursday which should cause our chances for storms with locally heavy rain to ramp back up. Good post. I concur with this analysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted July 22, 2018 Share Posted July 22, 2018 Several minutes of heavy rain in Piscataway, power is out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 22, 2018 Author Share Posted July 22, 2018 Current temp 76/DP 73/RH 86% Picked up 0.46" of rain so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 22, 2018 Share Posted July 22, 2018 1 hour ago, SACRUS said: Miami afternoon. Probable see lots of rainbows later. Up to 86 here for the high Another summer at JFK with 10 or more dew point days reaching 75 degree or higher. It's been quite a run especially over the last 3 summers. JFK 75+ dew point days for 2018 so far with daily dew point max 6-19...75 7-1....75 7-2....76 7-3....78 7-4....76 7-5....77 7-6....77 7-17..76 7-17..76 7-22..76 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 22, 2018 Share Posted July 22, 2018 80 degrees for the high here today...0.72" since midnight with some heavy showers now in the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 23, 2018 Author Share Posted July 23, 2018 Current temp 77/DP 74/RH 94% Picked up 0.50" of rain for the day. 2 day rainfall total 1.06" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 Next 8 days will be averaging 78degs., or 1deg. AN. Month to date is +1.7. Should be +1.5 by the 31st. Seems if you throw away the first 5 days of July, the remainder of it will end up just Normal. CMC/GFS still have 5" to 6" over next 10 days. The PW may drop and LI may go + for 60hrs. around the weekend. Longer range the RWTT says we dry out and burn up in August. Tropical mischief near the 20th. We get the Ridge Treatment and PacificNW gets the trough. Then next switcheroo not till early Sept. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 You know the WAR is pushed unusually far north when BTV has a bigger temperature departure in July than LGA and EWR. Through 7/22 BTV....+5.1 LGA....+2.6 EWR..+1.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 23, 2018 Author Share Posted July 23, 2018 Current temp 75/DP 73/RH 91% Picked up 0.28" of rain so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 0.88 in the bucket so far from midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 1.35" since midnight 2.33" so far for the event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 We're actually quite unstable today. Think we have a better shot at seeing some lightning this afternoon than we did yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 Clouds clearing, working in from the SSE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 15 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Clouds clearing, working in from the SSE We're not clearing out today. Might get lucky and see a few breaks of sun, which would only help to destabilize even more. The strongest axis of lift is working Westward, so the next 24 hours shouldn't be quite as wet in most locations, but chances for rain increase going into Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 1.90" since midnight 2.88" since the beginning of the event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 21 minutes ago, snywx said: 1.90" since midnight 2.88" since the beginning of the event Wow you're doing much better than here on this side of the river. It's wet enough though, I don't need the big numbers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 2 minutes ago, gravitylover said: Wow you're doing much better than here on this side of the river. It's wet enough though, I don't need the big numbers Agree I'm about 1/2 a mile from the river. I have 0.94 in the bucket since midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 14 minutes ago, gravitylover said: Wow you're doing much better than here on this side of the river. It's wet enough though, I don't need the big numbers 10 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said: Agree I'm about 1/2 a mile from the river. I have 0.94 in the bucket since midnight. Some stations just west of me are approaching 4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 1 hour ago, SACRUS said: Clouds clearing, working in from the SSE Sun has been out up for the past 15 mins up here.. Feels like south florida out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 Steamy summer day out on Long Island where they are getting the most sun. Southhold is 82/75/HX 88. Feels close to 90 with the heat index. http://www.nysmesonet.org/mesonow#?stid=SOUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 .22” since midnight and pretty much full sun here in Wantagh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 2.49 for the event, .80 since midnight. A cell just dropped .13" here in like 5 minutes time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 Hardest hit area over the next 2-3 days appears to be far Eastern PA, but I suspect that most of Western NJ is in for a good soaking as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 Radar shows showers/storms blossoming over NJ PA and north of NYC. Heating effect from the land playing a part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 I have a rafting trip planned on the Lehigh River for Saturday, hopefully it stays below flood stage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 10 minutes ago, Gravity Wave said: I have a rafting trip planned on the Lehigh River for Saturday, hopefully it stays below flood stage. Its a dam release weekend. Good luck lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 24 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Hardest hit area over the next 2-3 days appears to be far Eastern PA, but I suspect that most of Western NJ is in for a good soaking as well. Some stations just west of me near the NJ/PA/NY border are approaching 3" since midnight & 4" since the event started. Drastic difference from areas near or E of the Hudson. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 26 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Hardest hit area over the next 2-3 days appears to be far Eastern PA, but I suspect that most of Western NJ is in for a good soaking as well. Yeah GFS is crazy wet in those areas the next 10 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted July 23, 2018 Share Posted July 23, 2018 3 minutes ago, snywx said: Its a dam release weekend. Good luck lol Latest GFS seems to indicate that the heaviest precip this week will be over by Wednesday evening before resuming next week, so hopefully it'll be receding on the upper reaches for Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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