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July 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread


Rtd208

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Next 8 days averaging 78degs., or 3degs. AN.

Month to date is  +9.4.    Should be  +5.2 by the 13th.

Here it comes again---starting July 12:

93, 97, 95, 92, 96, 98, 94, 96, 93 .................

So how do you spell relief?   HOT & HOTTER.   Somebody is pulling someone's leg here boys.

The GEFS is about +6 for the next 15 days, and thus keeps us in record territory for the month.  (76/89) is the L/H cut predicted.  Normal (69/85).

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  On 7/5/2018 at 11:22 AM, bluewave said:

Big radiational cooling weekend over the Northeast. Models have near record high pressure in NYC for July. 1030 mb is the July record set on 7-1-52.

gfs_mslpa_us_14.thumb.png.ebfe12c3a518270a8037fc750dfeaf0b.png

JulyRecordHighSLPs.thumb.gif.00c0a30da6e5dd7e4e5d32f08a6d9c64.gif

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/research/roth/SLPrecords.html

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And how glorious it shall feel!

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  On 7/5/2018 at 1:37 PM, SACRUS said:

Its looking like Tue(7/10)-Thu (7/12) should be widespread 90s with some mid/upper 90s in the usual hot spots (pending on clouds).

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models must have trended warmer since the last time I looked...I'd define that as big heat.   I am looking forward to the break this weekend and turning off the AC for a few days.

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  On 7/5/2018 at 1:44 PM, Brian5671 said:

models must have trended warmer since the last time I looked...I'd define that as big heat.   I am looking forward to the break this weekend and turning off the AC for a few days.

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They've definitely trended towards more eastern ridging, which makes sense given the highly anomalous ssts off the east coast. As we dig deeper into July there'll be a tendency for the ridging to retrograde towards the western US but occasionally it'll connect with the WAR and give us bursts of heat throughout the month. Hopefully none of this will be as bad as what we've just seen.

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