Hoosier Posted June 23, 2018 Share Posted June 23, 2018 Looks to open on the warm side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted June 23, 2018 Share Posted June 23, 2018 Just now, Hoosier said: Looks to open on the warm side. That's already in the running for understatement of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 23, 2018 Author Share Posted June 23, 2018 10 minutes ago, IWXwx said: That's already in the running for understatement of the month. Didn't want to be too dramatic. Fyi, Chad is back at WLFI. Don't worry, I already shared the joyous news with my former LAF buddy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 23, 2018 Author Share Posted June 23, 2018 Just now, (((Will))) said: First You're not supposed to say that unless you're actually the first reply. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 23, 2018 Author Share Posted June 23, 2018 10 minutes ago, (((Will))) said: The good thing about July is that you know everything from here on, in most years, is all downhill till winter. Days are getting shorter. Of course it's still not enough to mean much yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted June 23, 2018 Share Posted June 23, 2018 The month looks to start hot but thereafter looks pretty nice, if we are to believe extended guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted June 24, 2018 Share Posted June 24, 2018 9 hours ago, (((Will))) said: The good thing about July is that you know everything from here on, in most years, is all downhill till winter. July is the best month of the year. Warmth, sun, beach, swimming, jet skiing, outdoor party's, barbecues, almost the start of football season. Can't beat it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoalCityWxMan Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 If you think this weekends gonna be bad, just stick around for next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 If we were to get a tropical system like that, even albeit weak, that will strengthen the ridge even more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 28, 2018 Author Share Posted June 28, 2018 7 hours ago, CoalCityWxMan said: If you think this weekends gonna be bad, just stick around for next week As alluded to in the banter thread, that is a ridiculous amount of real estate in those 594+ dm heights. Doesn't mean it will translate into crazy hot temps, but what it may tend to do is suppress most organized convective potential over a pretty large area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 3 hours ago, Stebo said: If we were to get a tropical system like that, even albeit weak, that will strengthen the ridge even more. The GFS has been consistent in popping that cyclone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 55 minutes ago, IWXwx said: The GFS has been consistent in popping that cyclone. So has the Euro, not exactly strong with it and it looks more subtropical on both but it is there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 Right now I think I'll go 96 Fri/Sat/Sun for ORD, with a peak DP during the period of 78. Tomorrow has the coolest start out of the 3 days, but will feature by far the warmest UA temps. Sat/Sun have warmer starts, but cooling UA temps each passing day, and Sun has compressional heating potential with the front approaching. The wild cards will be the MCS/OFB/cloud debris potential for Fri, and then potential cloud debris issues on Sun as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 28, 2018 Author Share Posted June 28, 2018 On 6/28/2018 at 4:24 PM, Chicago Storm said: Right now I think I'll go 96 Fri/Sat/Sun for ORD, with a peak DP during the period of 78. Tomorrow has the coolest start out of the 3 days, but will feature by far the warmest UA temps. Sat/Sun have warmer starts, but cooling UA temps each passing day, and Sun has compressional heating potential with the front approaching. The wild cards will be the MCS/OFB/cloud debris potential for Fri, and then potential cloud debris issues on Sun as well. The last time ORD had 3 consecutive days of 95+ was in July 2012. Last September just barely missed accomplishing that. Going to take me longer to find the last time they had the exact same high 3 days in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 28, 2018 Author Share Posted June 28, 2018 1 hour ago, Chicago Storm said: Right now I think I'll go 96 Fri/Sat/Sun for ORD, with a peak DP during the period of 78. Tomorrow has the coolest start out of the 3 days, but will feature by far the warmest UA temps. Sat/Sun have warmer starts, but cooling UA temps each passing day, and Sun has compressional heating potential with the front approaching. The wild cards will be the MCS/OFB/cloud debris potential for Fri, and then potential cloud debris issues on Sun as well. I noticed that Midway has often been 1-2 higher than ORD on dewpoints lately. Might mean they could have a slightly better shot than ORD to reach 80 if that continues. The last time that either ORD or MDW had an 80 degree dewpoint on an hourly observation was 7/30/1999, when both sites reached 82. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 29, 2018 Share Posted June 29, 2018 That ridge on the Euro for the 4th through the weekend is just plain ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted June 29, 2018 Share Posted June 29, 2018 On 6/23/2018 at 12:50 PM, Hoosier said: Looks to open on the warm side. Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 29, 2018 Share Posted June 29, 2018 23 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: Right now I think I'll go 96 Fri/Sat/Sun for ORD, with a peak DP during the period of 78. Tomorrow has the coolest start out of the 3 days, but will feature by far the warmest UA temps. Sat/Sun have warmer starts, but cooling UA temps each passing day, and Sun has compressional heating potential with the front approaching. The wild cards will be the MCS/OFB/cloud debris potential for Fri, and then potential cloud debris issues on Sun as well. Will revise to 92 for Sunday, given guidance has come back faster with the fropa now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 29, 2018 Author Share Posted June 29, 2018 20 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: Will revise to 92 for Sunday, given guidance has come back faster with the fropa now. Can we will ORD to a 90 degree high on Monday? Seems like the trickiest day out of the 7-8 day period that started today. It looks potentially just warm enough aloft for 90 but mixing questions/lake breeze are issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 30, 2018 Author Share Posted June 30, 2018 Looking at the weekly products, they have it generally warmer than average for the first few weeks of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 30, 2018 Share Posted June 30, 2018 21 hours ago, Hoosier said: Can we will ORD to a 90 degree high on Monday? Seems like the trickiest day out of the 7-8 day period that started today. It looks potentially just warm enough aloft for 90 but mixing questions/lake breeze are issues. For a while it looked like it might be close, but not it's looking more unlikely. Tue-Thur should be 90+ though still, with Thur being the warmest day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 1, 2018 Author Share Posted July 1, 2018 Although we should shave some amount off the heat indices this coming week, it will be pretty warm/muggy. Outside of areas prone to marine influence, it may turn out to be "in numbers only"... I mean, if heat indices are only about 3-5 degrees lower than the past couple days, how much relief is that, really? High dewpoints will remain with the usual sites possibly hitting 80 at times. I suspect the segment of the public that is heat averse will have had about enough by next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted July 1, 2018 Share Posted July 1, 2018 I picked up a total of 1.02" of rain overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted July 1, 2018 Share Posted July 1, 2018 The only rain showing up in Indiana currently is right over my house. Might actually pick up a few hundredths. It will be interesting to see how this affects temps/dews later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 1, 2018 Share Posted July 1, 2018 Picked up 0.00" overnight, as the storms died just nw as expected. Will be interesting to see if we can get in on those storms as they pop up nearly overhead early this afternoon. HRRR/3km NAM shows them popping up by noon, but any delay in the formation of the storms will kick us out of the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 1, 2018 Author Share Posted July 1, 2018 Winds gusting around 30 mph at times makes it feel a bit better out there today even with temps around 90 and dews in the upper 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 1, 2018 Share Posted July 1, 2018 3 hours ago, cyclone77 said: Picked up 0.00" overnight, as the storms died just nw as expected. Will be interesting to see if we can get in on those storms as they pop up nearly overhead early this afternoon. HRRR/3km NAM shows them popping up by noon, but any delay in the formation of the storms will kick us out of the game. Short-term models did pretty well with this. Last night's 00z NSSL WRF nailed it. EDIT: Looks like MLI got 89'd today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 1, 2018 Author Share Posted July 1, 2018 Only 88 in Buffalo. I guess we see why it's so difficult to reach 100 there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted July 1, 2018 Share Posted July 1, 2018 89’d for the 3rd day in a row. Unbelievable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 1, 2018 Author Share Posted July 1, 2018 34 minutes ago, Chambana said: 89’d for the 3rd day in a row. Unbelievable. Might have a shot at 89 tomorrow if you overachieve a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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