WNash Posted August 8, 2018 Share Posted August 8, 2018 37 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Finally got something! She's been roaring up the lake with a ton of thunder this morning. Warning up real early with this one. . Pretty good downpour here with a bit of thunder. Great to hear rain on my roof again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 9, 2018 Author Share Posted August 9, 2018 22 hours ago, DeltaT13 said: I would expect some flash flooding in Toronto right now. Very potent and virtually stationary cell pounding the western city and western suburbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted August 9, 2018 Share Posted August 9, 2018 On 8/8/2018 at 8:00 PM, BuffaloWeather said: Wow, thanks for linking those stories BW. I knew those cells looked intense and slow moving. Lots of runoff and low lying spots in that city too. A bad combination. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 13, 2018 Author Share Posted August 13, 2018 Should be entering a better pattern for rain in the next 10 days. https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-7.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 14, 2018 Share Posted August 14, 2018 About 1/2” LE since yesterday afternoon, hrrr has another 1/2” or so on tap for late morning/early afternoon, definitely could use the rain, water well is starting to run dry lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 14, 2018 Author Share Posted August 14, 2018 43 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: About 1/2” LE since yesterday afternoon, hrrr has another 1/2” or so on tap for late morning/early afternoon, definitely could use the rain, water well is starting to run dry lol Looks like central/eastern New York really made out with the rain. Got some rain this morning here but nothing compared to what they got. The eastern seaboard from the Carolinas up north through Maine have had incredible rainfall amounts the last month. 20-30" in some spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted August 14, 2018 Share Posted August 14, 2018 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Looks like central/eastern New York really made out with the rain. Got some rain this morning here but nothing compared to what they got. The eastern seaboard from the Carolinas up north through Maine have had incredible rainfall amounts the last month. 20-30" in some spots. Radar has been impressive in and around Rochester for the last few hours. Looks like some 4"+ amounts possible. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service Buffalo NY 921 AM EDT TUE AUG 14 2018 The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Southwestern Wayne County in western New York... Southeastern Monroe County in western New York... Northwestern Ontario County in western New York... * Until 1245 PM EDT. * At 918 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across eastern Monroe County and far northwest Ontario and far southwest Wayne County. Two to three inches of rain have already fallen, with additional rainfall amounts of up to an inch expected. Flash flooding is expected to begin shortly. * Some locations that will experience flooding include... Penfield, Perinton, Fairport, Victor, Macedon, and Farmington. This includes Interstate 90 between exits 45 and 44. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 14, 2018 Share Posted August 14, 2018 The last few cycles of the hrrr has had a nice soaking in and around the pulaski area between 2-6 pm, i live about 6 miles ESE of pulaski, lets see how well it does.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 14, 2018 Share Posted August 14, 2018 Probably the heaviest rain I’ve seen this summer, loving it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 15, 2018 Author Share Posted August 15, 2018 Walking along the waterfront over the weekend I noticed Lake Erie is running well below normal water level wise. Any good websites to check that data? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 15, 2018 Share Posted August 15, 2018 Finished with about 3” of rain over the past 48hrs, most of that occurring yesterday afternoon..Some 6”-7” totals just to the east in Pulaski... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southbuffalowx Posted August 15, 2018 Share Posted August 15, 2018 20 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Walking along the waterfront over the weekend I noticed Lake Erie is running well below normal water level wise. Any good websites to check that data? https://www.lre.usace.army.mil/Missions/Great-Lakes-Information/Great-Lakes-Water-Levels/Water-Level-Forecast/Weekly-Great-Lakes-Water-Levels/ Lake Erie is actually 19 inches above normal. What did you see that made you think it was so far below? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 15, 2018 Author Share Posted August 15, 2018 24 minutes ago, southbuffalowx said: https://www.lre.usace.army.mil/Missions/Great-Lakes-Information/Great-Lakes-Water-Levels/Water-Level-Forecast/Weekly-Great-Lakes-Water-Levels/ Lake Erie is actually 19 inches above normal. What did you see that made you think it was so far below? I was just downtown and the water level seemed so low compared to normal. I saw rocks uncovered along the beach there that I've never seen. Thanks for the link, quite surprised at the data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 16, 2018 Author Share Posted August 16, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted August 16, 2018 Share Posted August 16, 2018 8 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Can this happen in 3 months from now please? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 16, 2018 Share Posted August 16, 2018 Next 7 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 I was just downtown and the water level seemed so low compared to normal. I saw rocks uncovered along the beach there that I've never seen. Thanks for the link, quite surprised at the data. Wind Direction! Not sure which day you are referring to but both Saturday and Sunday had a fairly constant and very unusual NE wind flow which would certainly lower the lake level on our end!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 17, 2018 Share Posted August 17, 2018 Can this happen in 3 months from now please?And 24 hours later the model precip output changes look familiar...Yup... VERY FAMILIAR.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 17, 2018 Author Share Posted August 17, 2018 17 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: And 24 hours later the model precip output changes look familiar... Yup... VERY FAMILIAR... . Got a decent dose of rain while attending the fair today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 18, 2018 Author Share Posted August 18, 2018 Some good storms about to come through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 18, 2018 Author Share Posted August 18, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 20, 2018 Share Posted August 20, 2018 SYRACUSE (WSYR-TV) - The summer of 2018 in Syracuse is now the most humid in at least 45 years! As of August 19th, Syracuse has felt dew points at or exceeding 70 degrees for 36 days! Dew point temperature is a way to measure the amount of moisture in the air. The higher the dew point the higher the moisture content in the air. In general, the higher the dew point the more uncomfortable it feels. While everyone has their own sense of what a ‘humid’ day is, most central New Yorkers notice it feeling humid when the dew point creeps into the mid 60s. Dew points in the 70s usually signals a change to more tropical-like conditions. Since 1997, the most days during the June through August period with a dew point of 70 or better prior to this summer was 32 days set in 2010 prior to this summer. The average over the past 20 years is 19 days...2018 has exceeded both! Even broken down into hours where the dew points have exceeded 70° is impressive. Syracuse averages 135 hours of 70°+ dew points a year. This summer (through August 19th) we are at 90 hours! The previous high was in 1973 with 343 hours which is far back as we have hourly records. That's about 4 times greater than normal and the most humid summer in at least 45 years! To put more perspective on this, Atlanta, known for its hot and humid summers, averages 570 hours with the dew point 70°+. So safe to say, this has been an Atlanta-like summer with regards to humidity at least! For as humid as it has been here in Syracuse it still pales in comparison to what it typically is like along the Gulf coast.... Houston: 3432 hours New Orleans: 4017 hours Miami: 4165 hours While it has been more humid this summer, Syracuse is still not ranked as one of the top 10 warmest summer's on record. As of August 19th we were ranked as 12th warmest with 11 days above 90 degrees. No daily record high temperatures have been set in Syracuse this summer. Guess it goes to show you, it's not the heat, it's the humidity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 21, 2018 Share Posted August 21, 2018 Tornado Warning for Allegheny State Park area!Go figure that nice looking line broke apart right before it hit BUF metro... maybe some sloppy seconds later tonight?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted August 21, 2018 Share Posted August 21, 2018 6 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Tornado Warning for Allegheny State Park area! Go figure that nice looking line broke apart right before it hit BUF metro... maybe some sloppy seconds later tonight? . Brutal. Can’t get done with this summer fast enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 21, 2018 Author Share Posted August 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, WNash said: Brutal. Can’t get done with this summer fast enough. Northern Erie got 2-4" of rain the other night. No one even posted about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 21, 2018 Author Share Posted August 21, 2018 11 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Tornado Warning for Allegheny State Park area! Go figure that nice looking line broke apart right before it hit BUF metro... maybe some sloppy seconds later tonight? . There was some strong rotation in that thing a little bit ago. Wouldn't be surprised if small tornado touched down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 22, 2018 Author Share Posted August 22, 2018 Hurricane Lane is going to come really close to Hawaii. Right now a Cat 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 28 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Northern Erie got 2-4" of rain the other night. No one even posted about it. Heavy downpours during the dead of the night with no convection.... Yawn... Just getting tired heavy rain and severe storm forcast calls that never pan out for BUF this summer. I honestly don't think we had one real good thunderstorm this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 30 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Northern Erie got 2-4" of rain the other night. No one even posted about it. We had 2”, which left us only about 2-3” down for the season. A little late for our vegetable garden, but it really helped out our saplings and perennials. It was super annoying to watch the storm line split as it rolled in off Erie. We got some wind, but didn’t even hear thunder from a distance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 Interesting Read... An official climate review has ruled the Erie Snowfall for 2017-2018 as UNOFFICAL due to an inexperienced observation team and poor measuring practices! https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/monitoring-content/extremes/scec/reports/20180723-Pennsylvania-Snowfall.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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