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June Discobs Thread


George BM

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On 6/6/2018 at 7:57 AM, nw baltimore wx said:

The mosquitoes are out of control, and I wish that I had put up a bat box last fall.

Also picked up just under a quarter inch of rain last night from the passing thunderstorm.  June total at 2.45"

i saw a couple of what i think were tiger mosquitoes (daytime black) just feasting on me lol.  also saw a water snake on the road.  dude was at least 4 feet long.  interesting start to the season for sure.

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Lovely... afternoon AFD from LWX:

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
A weak cold front will approach from the north Saturday, but our
area will remain on the warm side of the boundary, and a
southerly flow at the low-levels will continue to usher in
moisture across our area. Saturday will be warm and humid with
some breaks of sunshine, but shortwave energy aloft will result
in a bkn mid-level cloud deck as well.

The increased humidity will lead to an unstable atmosphere. In
fact with dewpoints well into the 60s and even 70s, moderate to
high amounts of CAPE are likely. Latest guidance also shows
surface low pressure developing overhead due to the daytime
heating and also from the shortwave energy passing through in
the northwest flow aloft. This will increase lift across our
area, likely triggering showers and thunderstorms. Shear
profiles may strengthen a bit from the northwest flow aloft,
but still appear to be marginal. However, high amounts of
instability suggests that some storms may become severe, with
locally damaging wind gusts and large hail possible. Also,
thunderstorms will produce short periods of very heavy rainfall.
Do feel that there will be enough of a mid-level flow for storms
to be moving, so a Flash Flood Watch has not been issued at this
time. However, very high rainfall rates may still result in
localized flash flooding of small streams and creeks as well as
urban areas. Will continue to mention in the Hazardous Weather
Outlook for now. The best chance for thunderstorms will be later
in the afternoon and evening...during peak heating.

The cold front will slowly move into the area Saturday night and
latest guidance has the boundary stalling out nearby for Sunday
into Sunday night. More shortwave energy in the northwest flow
aloft may result in waves of low pressure that develop along the
boundary. This will enhance the chances for showers during this
time. Some rain may be locally heavy, depending on exactly where
the boundary stalls and how strong the waves of low pressure
area. As of now, best chance for heavier rainfall is expected
across the Potomac Highlands into central Virginia and southern
Maryland...perhaps toward the Washington Metropolitan area as
well. Confidence for exactly where this setup will take place
does remain low at this time.

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looks like today might be spottier and favor areas east.  tomorrow might have more of a chance of an areawide period of storms.  one thing we have going is a humid southerly flow.  just not sure how thing cooperate upstairs today.

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THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN WORCESTER COUNTY...
At 205 PM EDT, local law enforcement and spotters reported flash
flooding in and around Ocean City. Numerous roads are flooded with 1
to 2 feet of water on them, and cars are stalling out upon driving
through the water. If you encounter a flooded roadway, DO NOT drive
your car through it. Radar and automated gauges reported over 5
inches of rain has fallen since 1230 PM EDT.
Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Ocean Pines, Bishopville, Ocean City and West Ocean City.
Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in the
warned area as additional storms move over the same area.

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