Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,603
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    ArlyDude
    Newest Member
    ArlyDude
    Joined

June Discobs Thread


George BM

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 591
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Hmmm

 Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1259 AM CDT Wed Jun 27 2018


   ...Central and southern Appalachians through Middle Atlantic
   region...

   Have expanded the marginal risk category farther east through the
   Middle Atlantic region. A moist warm sector will develop northward
   in wake of a warm front that will advance through VA into southeast
   PA supporting destabilization. However, multi-layer clouds and weak
   mid-level lapse rates should limit MLCAPE to below 1500 J/kg in most
   areas. Winds aloft will increase with the approach of the shortwave
   trough supporting increasing vertical shear. Forecast wind profiles
   show veering and augmented low-level shear in proximity to the warm
   front from northern VA into southern PA. Current indications are
   that storms may develop over the central Appalachians and spread
   east. Down sloping may tend to limit storm coverage with southward
   extent through VA. A couple of tornadoes appear possible with storms
   interacting with warm front, otherwise isolated damaging wind should
   be the main threat. This region will continue to be monitored for a
   possible category risk upgrade in later updates.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, 87storms said:

pretty outstanding spring/summer so far.  i have no issues.  all the rain was a bit much, but it's also made things real lush.  even seeing more lightning bugs this year than in previous years, for whatever reason.

Yeap. Every evening after dusk I see all the trees twinkling with them. The're actually more of them in the trees than I ever recall seeing in previous years.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, George BM said:

Yeap. Every evening after dusk I see all the trees twinkling with them. The're actually more of them in the trees than I ever recall seeing in previous years.

my cousin in bmore said patterson park was littered with fireflies recently and everyone was taking pics.  saw them in my other cousin's neighborhood in olney at the tops of the trees late at night.  i guess that's where they party at lol.

there's also a couple of trees in front of my building that grow white flowers all over starting around early june.  i have no idea what type of trees they are, but they are definitely more bloomed this year.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, yoda said:

Looks like 00z GFS wants 98/104/102 at DCA for Sat/Sun/Mon for high temps

06z GFS is the lulz... starting Saturday the highs are as follows through Friday of next week at DCA - 98/104/107/97/95/100/91

104 is on Sunday and 107 on Monday... yes... thats right lol

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Grabbed this as I saw the CAPE and was like wow (from the Lakes/Ohio Valley part of the forum)

5 hours ago, cyclone77 said:

Yeah def an outlier at this point.

3km NAM showing over 10000J/Kg of cape over eastern Iowa Friday afternoon.  Likely overdone, and it wouldn't do any good anyway, but fun to look at.

34yzo10.jpg

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, yoda said:

06z GFS is the lulz... starting Saturday the highs are as follows through Friday of next week at DCA - 98/104/107/97/95/100/91

104 is on Sunday and 107 on Monday... yes... thats right lol

Not surprising....the 06z GFS puts the entire area under a strong 594dm ridge from Saturday evening through Tuesday.  Even the Euro has trended a bit in that direction.  Might we finally see some summer?  I sure hope so!  It's been a long time since the area has baked well.  

Edit:  00z Euro's 500mb forecast for 00z July 3rd.  :wub: http://www.instantweathermaps.com/ECMWF-php/ecmwf.php?run=2018062800&region=USA&var=HGT_500mb&hour=120

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

GFS surface model issues are well known. I’d mostly toss it.

but it’s clear a long hot and dry period is on tap. Might start watering my lawn tonight.

Yea, clearly throw out the surface temps.  Maybe Monday is our best day to see some bank thermometers flirt with 100° but the widespread death on the GFS 2m temps are wacko.  Still as you said, it's time to get the grass watered.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...