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June 2018 Obs


jburns

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Slight risk issued for N. Georgia (including Metro Atlanta) and N. Alabama (including the Birmingham area).

Extreme instability is indicated:

*CAPE of 3000+ J/KG

*LIs of -10 or lower

*Mid-level lapse rates of 7-8 C/KM or greater.

With the only thing missing being decent wind shear. That said, it's an otherwise textbook ring of fire setup.

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9 hours ago, Powerball said:

Slight risk issued for N. Georgia (including Metro Atlanta) and N. Alabama (including the Birmingham area).

Extreme instability is indicated:

*CAPE of 3000+ J/KG

*LIs of -10 or lower

*Mid-level lapse rates of 7-8 C/KM or greater.

With the only thing missing being decent wind shear. That said, it's an otherwise textbook ring of fire setup.

The slight risk area was moved a bit further south and an emhanced risk area was added, including portions of Metro Atlanta and the Birmingham areas...

mcd0607.gif.6d7186a05d4d3fcbfc23ab93282b0a77.gif

   Mesoscale Discussion 0607
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1225 PM CDT Fri Jun 01 2018

   Areas affected...Parts of northern GA through northern/central AL to
   northeast MS

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 011725Z - 012000Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

   SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to increase in coverage this
   afternoon across northern and central Alabama, parts of northern
   Georgia, and possibly across parts of northeast Mississippi with
   some of the storms becoming severe producing strong wind gusts and
   large hail.  Severe thunderstorm watch could be needed for portions
   of this region.

   DISCUSSION...Trends in mosaic radar imagery and lightning data
   indicated some increase in coverage with a band of storms advancing
   to the south-southeast across northern AL, while additional storms
   were developing along a surface boundary that extended from
   north-central GA into central AL.  Despite a modest increase in
   effective bulk shear, surface heating within a moisture-rich
   environment and steep low- to mid-level lapse rates will contribute
   to further destabilization through the afternoon.  These latter
   factors suggest locally strong wind gusts and large hail will be
   possible with stronger storms.

   ..Peters/Guyer.. 06/01/2018

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FFC...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

   LAT...LON   34668672 34618522 34318426 33158429 32808544 32718705
               32878812 33268912 33548928 34268874 34668672 
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44 minutes ago, LithiaWx said:

Powerball,

 

I had a line train over it house for about an hour. Going to be interesting to see the rainfall totals imby when I get home to Lithia Springs. 

 

Second line moving on in shortly...... thunderboomers for sure. 

Warned storm moving through.  Looks like a wind maker on the radar. 

 

Edit :  wow one hell of a wind whipped thunderstorm.  Getting pounded.  I bet some trees are going to be down from this thing. 

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20 hours ago, Powerball said:

After making it to 90*F again today, a severe thunderstorm has come out of nowhere. It's virtually stationary too.

I'm at the movies and it knocked out the power.

I guess that's Georgia summer weather for you, lol.

 

 

Rinse, wash and repeat.

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21 hours ago, Powerball said:

After making it to 90*F again today, a severe thunderstorm has come out of nowhere. It's virtually stationary too.

I'm at the movies and it knocked out the power.

I guess that's Georgia summer weather for you, lol.

 

 

Sounds better than Detroit.  :)

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3 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

You would've liked May in Detroit -- one of the warmest on record with very few crap days.  

I was there at the very beginning of the month / end of April. It wasn't bad at all (only two really cool day, with highs in the 50s). 

But the trees were still bare for most of the time, which was really weird to me. Even for that far north, that was pretty late for them to leaf out.

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3 minutes ago, Powerball said:

I was there at the very beginning of the month / end of April. It wasn't bad at all (only two really cool day, with highs in the 50s). 

But the trees were still bare for most of the time, which was really weird to me. Even for that far north, that was pretty late for them to leaf out.

Yeah the leaf out was behind schedule thanks to that rotten April.  It happened really fast.  My trees had no leaves on May 1 (which was a weird sight with temps just a few degrees from 90) and were significantly leafed out on May 2.  

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Pretty typical summer time weather here highs around 90 and chances of storms every afternoon......no real crazy wall to wall heat on the models for most of NC at least through the end of the month but some mid 90's or better popping up for a few days. After rain 13 out of 15 days to end May and begin June we have now gone 6 days without a drop of rain IMBY. 

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