tamarack Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 13 hours ago, powderfreak said: Based on what I see in the NOWdata, for Mount Mansfield (MMNV1) the 4 highest temperatures ever recorded are: 84F on June 7, 1999 82F on July 8, 1988 81F on July 9, 1988 81F on July 20, 1977 Anyone know what the 850mb temps were for that June 1999 heat? The 1988 one is also impressive for back-to-back days. My numbers show 1988 with back-to-back-to-back, 81 on the 10th as well. Also another 81 on July 8, 2010. While I was in my VT/NH file, I looked again at MWN's mildest - 72 on both 8/2/1975 and 6/26/2003. The former stands out as also setting the Rockpile's record high minimum, with 60 - actually posted their one and only CDD that day, though the wind probably negated the need for AC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 NAM cools the coast quite a bit Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 9 minutes ago, weathafella said: NAM cools the coast quite a bit Sunday Sea breeze storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 12 minutes ago, weathafella said: NAM cools the coast quite a bit Sunday Guessing it has something to do with the high pressure northeast of Maine. Will have to see if other models start showing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 11 minutes ago, Modfan said: Sea breeze storms? Doesn’t look like there’s enough of a trigger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 24 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said: Guessing it has something to do with the high pressure northeast of Maine. Will have to see if other models start showing it. 850s slightly cool with winds shifting to the north too. So it is more like a very weak bd...just enough to mute the temps a bit in ENE. Here's the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 Well hopefully there’s a nice spike up before the weak temporary cooling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 26 minutes ago, weathafella said: Well hopefully there’s a nice spike up before the weak temporary cooling Hope it's wrong. I don't want to lose Sunday from a potential 100F to a meh 90F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 Well before any cbreeze GFS cooks everyone Sunday. And 95-100 on the esplanade on the 4th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 No support mechanically within the NAM's circulation evolution, nor has it in any other guidance source. It doesn't appear legit at this time.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 Gfs with back to back hundos at BOS Tuesday and Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 GFS hits someone in New England with 100F everyday through d10. Ha. I'd probably subtract 5F off of those hyper high 2m temps though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: No support mechanically within the NAM's circulation evolution, nor has it in any other guidance source. It doesn't appear legit at this time.. ICON does as well, for whatever it’s worth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 7 minutes ago, weathafella said: Well before any cbreeze GFS cooks everyone Sunday. And 95-100 on the esplanade on the 4th. Will be pleasant along the coast. You can have your inferno. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: GFS hits someone in New England with 100F everyday through d10. Ha. I'd probably subtract 5F off of those hyper high 2m temps though. Edit...I was stuck on 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 Just now, MaineJayhawk said: Will be pleasant along the coast. You can have your inferno. Lol-esplanade is 1/2 mile from the harbor. Enjoy the heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 4 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said: ICON does as well, for whatever it’s worth. Not much but I believe we do get a sea zephyr for a time along the immediate coast Sunday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 15 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said: ICON does as well, for whatever it’s worth. The reason why is convective sequencing most likely...these models have abundance of MCS or vestigial ongoing 'ring of fire' antics scooting through eastern Ontario toward the lower Maritimes, and the outflow is being overly assessed... These models have different convective parameterization by the global models - fwiw. I suspect it's over done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Lol-esplanade is 1/2 mile from the harbor. Enjoy the heat. Glad I don't live there! GFS showing upper 70s for Munjoy Hill in Portland on Sunday. I do live there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 Just now, MaineJayhawk said: Glad I don't live there! GFS showing upper 70s for Munjoy Hill in Portland on Sunday. I do live there. Your loss.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Your loss.... If I want heat, it won't be far away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 11 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said: If I want heat, it won't be far away Just take a ride to IZG or SFM you will get to experience it........................ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Just take a ride to IZG or SFM you will get to experience it........................ I still have my house in North Waterboro - it'll bake with the best of them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said: I still have my house in North Waterboro - it'll bake with the best of them That will do it, I wasn't sure if you still had your place there, My PC is 85-87°F next 5 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 Not impossible... I guess. It seems the models have been fighting this signal by throwing and inventing anything within their physical purview imaginable at it.. Why not drive an MCS through heights rising into 590s dms just to engineer yet another way... heh.. In all seriousness, it shows why it's hard to get ...let alone, sustain, big numbers here. To many butterflies and if anything, give credit to the sensitivity of the models. I do suspect that Sunday BD idea is trumped up a tad...but, with gradient not being very focused, ...what did Jerry call it, 'feeble zephyr' more or less... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 It will be damn hot here in the valley, 6-8 days days straight above 90 are possible as well as 2-3 days near 100 the way I see things now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 GFS manages to hit BOS with a 9 day 90+ stretch, 5 of those days upper 90s/low 100s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 7 minutes ago, weathafella said: GFS manages to hit BOS with a 9 day 90+ stretch, 5 of those days upper 90s/low 100s. We mentioned a 6 dayer was likely. Folks doubted . Now it’s closing in on a 2 weeker FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 I'd still toss those GFS 2m temps...subtract 3-5F off of them. It'll be hot regardless. MOS is back to 100F at BDL and days and days above 70F. GFSX MOS (MEX) KBDL GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 6/28/2018 1200 UTC FHR 24 36| 48 60| 72 84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192 FRI 29| SAT 30| SUN 01| MON 02| TUE 03| WED 04| THU 05|FRI CLIMO N/X 65 92| 66 96| 73 100| 74 94| 72 93| 73 97| 70 94| 71 61 84 TMP 72 83| 74 87| 82 90| 81 85| 79 84| 80 86| 77 84| 77 DPT 64 63| 63 66| 73 75| 72 71| 71 71| 72 70| 68 69| 69 CLD PC CL| CL CL| CL CL| CL CL| CL CL| CL CL| PC CL| CL WND 5 9| 5 12| 9 6| 6 8| 8 10| 10 9| 8 7| 7 P12 9 0| 1 1| 2 1| 15 7| 16 15| 27 20| 24 15| 20 23 22 P24 9| 1| 3| 18| 26| 36| 32| 34 Q12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| | Q24 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| | T12 4 0| 2 4| 13 20| 17 22| 15 23| 22 25| 25 20| 14 T24 | 2 | 22 | 23 | 27 | 35 | 44 | 26 GFSX MOS (MEX) KCON GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 6/28/2018 1200 UTC FHR 24 36| 48 60| 72 84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192 FRI 29| SAT 30| SUN 01| MON 02| TUE 03| WED 04| THU 05|FRI CLIMO N/X 61 88| 58 96| 69 96| 67 94| 67 95| 69 97| 64 92| 64 56 81 TMP 69 77| 70 86| 78 85| 76 83| 75 85| 77 84| 74 79| 73 DPT 65 62| 62 66| 72 70| 69 69| 69 71| 69 65| 64 64| 65 CLD PC PC| CL CL| PC CL| PC CL| PC CL| PC CL| CL CL| CL WND 2 8| 5 13| 7 6| 3 6| 3 9| 3 8| 4 10| 4 P12 16 10| 0 0| 9 2| 29 10| 24 19| 23 15| 11 11| 13 21 21 P24 22| 6| 14| 43| 34| 30| 19| 32 Q12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| | Q24 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| | T12 7 9| 3 8| 17 17| 31 20| 16 24| 20 18| 12 12| 12 T24 | 10 | 22 | 43 | 25 | 39 | 26 | 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 28, 2018 Share Posted June 28, 2018 This will be pretty impressive. All things relative, BTV has near all-time record highs for the picnic tables for 3-days. 78-83F is insane up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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