dryslot Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 Fuk that, Hope we have a SE breeze if those temps end up being the case, Pretty rare for 100's here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 I just can't believe this. Widespread 97-102F, sure. Maybe a spot 103F but anything over that, and for a few days on end would be unprecedented. Like some say I expect the models to come back to earth to some degree as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Fuk that. Yeah. It’ll probably end up like our usual higher end heat. Maybe a couple of 95-100 days in the middle of a heat wave. It’s hard to see days of 23-25C 850s with good mixing verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 56 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: There would be a huge burden on the grid and likely rolling blackouts if not straight up, short duration power failures. There would certainly be heat related deaths. Fortunately, many cities and towns set up cooling centers for residents. In some of the big heat events in our country’s history, this wasn’t the case. Hopefully this mitigates some issues. Part of me is rooting for 3 100+ days in a row, but then the other 95% of my soul says wtf. I’m mostly not working at the moment and can hide in my pool and AC. Being at 1000’ helps too. I still am not buying the GFS, but the Euro is a scorcher too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 Just now, dendrite said: Yeah. It’ll probably end up like our usual higher end heat. Maybe a couple of 95-100 days in the middle of a heat wave. It’s hard to see days of 23-25C 850s with good mixing verifying. Agreed. Plus is some clouds or haze show up (as per usual) that gets mitigated a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Yeah. It’ll probably end up like our usual higher end heat. Maybe a couple of 95-100 days in the middle of a heat wave. It’s hard to see days of 23-25C 850s with good mixing verifying. Its hard to see temps here in the triple digits being close to the ocean, I can see possibly the area around IZG though popping into those 100's if the models verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Its hard to see temps here in the triple digits being close to the ocean, I can see possibly the area around IZG though popping into those 100's if the models verify. I mean...1911 did happen. I really won't believe it until we get those 850s inside of 48hr. Something will F it up. It's just funny seeing the models spit these numbers out. Weenie dawn awakening material for James' next novel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 8 minutes ago, dendrite said: Yeah. It’ll probably end up like our usual higher end heat. Maybe a couple of 95-100 days in the middle of a heat wave. It’s hard to see days of 23-25C 850s with good mixing verifying. 1911, here we come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: I mean...1911 did happen. I really won't believe it until we get those 850s inside of 48hr. Something will F it up. It's just funny seeing the models spit these numbers out. Weenie dawn awakening material for James' next novel. Mid high 90's, I can probably buy, Going to take some work for 100's, I would sell at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 Just now, dryslot said: Mid high 90's, I can probably buy, Going to take some work for 100's, I would sell at this point Not buying 112F for BOS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: Not buying 112F for BOS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: Not buying 112F for BOS? Maybe Tolland, It usually gets hot in a desert. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 112F at Logan would make National headlines. That is so far above and beyond Logan's highest temp. It will not happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 1911, here we come. Nice http://www.newenglandhistoricalsociety.com/the-1911-heat-wave-was-so-deadly-it-drove-people-insane/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 Good article about the 1911 heat wave http://www.newenglandhistoricalsociety.com/the-1911-heat-wave-was-so-deadly-it-drove-people-insane/ Ginxy beat me to it...talk about babies crying for their mommas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 1911, here we come. [kevin]Glad we have Will onboard[/kevin] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 The 1911 heat wave is definitely the gold standard in New England for intensity/duration combo. Aug 1944 and then late Aug/early Sep 1953 are exceptionally impressive too, but they were late enough in the season that the raw numbers can't match 1911. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 Also of note in NNE is the 1993 July stretch when BTV set its record with 6 straight days with highs of 90+ but the hottest that week was only 93 https://www.weather.gov/media/btv/climo/extremes/extremetemps.pdf 1995 saw BTV hit 99 at least twice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 Just read that article about 1911. Very interesting. Looking at the pictures people didn't wear shorts in those days. Heavy garments not breathable modern wear. No fans, no AC. If New England thought it was bad think of slaves and people that lived down south and had to endure month after month. Okay time for GFS to see if it maintains it's craziness... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 I sense lots of damage from this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: I sense lots of damage from this Buying the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 Hottest all time days in BTV, 1911 shows up a few times: https://www.weather.gov/media/btv/climo/extremes/xtrmtemp.pdf Quote Highest 101 degrees- Aug 11th, 1944 100 degrees- Jul 14th, 1995 Jun 19th, 1995 Jul 3rd, 1911 99 degrees- Aug 9th, 2001 Jul 20th, 1977 Aug 2nd, 1975 Jul 18th, 1953 98 degrees- Jul 19th, 2013 Sep 9th, 2002 Aug 1st, 1975 Jul 29th, 1949 Jul 3rd, 1966 Jul 27th, 1949 Jul 8th, 1921 Aug 1st, 1917 Jul 4th & 5th, 1911 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Buying the GFS? No, he thinks it's too cold. Bring 'em up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 21 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Good article about the 1911 heat wave http://www.newenglandhistoricalsociety.com/the-1911-heat-wave-was-so-deadly-it-drove-people-insane/ Ginxy beat me to it...talk about babies crying for their mommas. Besides lack of air conditioning and few electric fans, very few people wore shorts and T-shirts back then so I'm sure that didn't help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 The big box stores will be drooling over AC sales once the media starts the hype. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 1 minute ago, klw said: Hottest all time days in BTV, 1911 shows up a few times: https://www.weather.gov/media/btv/climo/extremes/xtrmtemp.pdf Interesting that 1944 max is more impressive at BTV than 1911...it's the other way around most other spots. Did the obs site change between those years? But 1944 was absolutely relentless for duration. It was like a 8-9 day assault. Longer than 1911....though most other places had more intense heat in 1911 than 1944. July 1911 though had like 4 straight days of triple digits in spots...then had a brief break and then another 2-3 day heat wave (though not as intense as round 1) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 boston will hit 100 and people will call it a bust because the gfs numbers were wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 20 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Buying the GFS? Euro has it . It’s real Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 27 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Just read that article about 1911. Very interesting. Looking at the pictures people didn't wear shorts in those days. Heavy garments not breathable modern wear. No fans, no AC. If New England thought it was bad think of slaves and people that lived down south and had to endure month after month. Okay time for GFS to see if it maintains it's craziness... This is how we do it. http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/orders/IPS/IPS-163DB0E8-D1C6-4853-A2A2-B6CE4ED4403A.pdf http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/orders/IPS/IPS-D6DCA0F3-C852-4290-99EA-41D5EC24819F.pdf http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/orders/IPS/IPS-3C32B8DB-3F38-4E6B-B6ED-3D01E6EED628.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 Watching from afar and am in awe of that GFS output. Reminds me of some of the stuff I was seeing in this part of the country in 2012 on other models... and within a 2-3 day lead time, which generally ended up about 2-5 degrees cooler in reality but still solidly in hot as hell territory. Drought monitor does not technically show drought, but there are relatively significant precip deficits going back months. That may be enough to add on modestly to whatever the airmass aloft ends up supporting, versus if soils were water logged. In any event, looks like it could be a dangerous setup. I know air conditioning is generally less prevalent (especially central air) in that part of the country. The human body can handle some heat stress relatively well at first, but once you roll into the 3rd and 4th day without relief... not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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