Hoosier Posted June 20, 2018 Author Share Posted June 20, 2018 almost comical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 20, 2018 Author Share Posted June 20, 2018 12z runs (sans Euro which isn't in yet) in unanimous agreement on a good 1-2" around here in the next couple days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted June 20, 2018 Share Posted June 20, 2018 A cloudy cool day with temperatures in the 60s all day. Sun is just now coming out and we should reach a late day high in the low 70s. Felt amazing compared to the heat of the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 20, 2018 Share Posted June 20, 2018 1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said: A cloudy cool day with temperatures in the 60s all day. Sun is just now coming out and we should reach a late day high in the low 70s. Felt amazing compared to the heat of the weekend. 74 just after 5pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 1.02" of rain in my yard today. Some parts of Cedar Rapids have received more than double that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 9 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: 1.02" of rain in my yard today. Some parts of Cedar Rapids have received more than double that. Yeah some nice soakers around this afternoon/evening. Parts of the Iowa side of the QC picked up 3-4" in about an hour's time. Had a real nice drencher here a short while ago. Picked up 0.97" so far. Some pretty nice boomers as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 3 hours ago, cyclone77 said: Yeah some nice soakers around this afternoon/evening. Parts of the Iowa side of the QC picked up 3-4" in about an hour's time. Had a real nice drencher here a short while ago. Picked up 0.97" so far. Some pretty nice boomers as well. Whole line rapidly crapped the bed as it worked towards me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 53 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Whole line rapidly crapped the bed as it worked towards me Hopefully you guys can cash in later tonight and tomorrow. Short-term cams look kinda clueless to what's going on now, so don't have much confidence in what they're depicting for the rest of the night and tomorrow. Should be some streaks of significant rains though wherever the bands setup and train/pivot over. Ended up with 1.03" for the day. Brings the June total to 3.91". DVN picked up 3.28" early this evening officially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 Very surprised at the lack of flood headlines for the LOT CWA, and surrounding areas as well...Especially given recent heavy rains, and then what’s expected now through Thursday night. Looks like a widespread 2-4” rain event for a good portion of the LOT CWA, with higher amounts possible. Latest HRRR is the biggest run yet for the metro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 2 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Very surprised at the lack of flood headlines for the LOT CWA, and surrounding areas as well...Especially given recent heavy rains, and then what’s expected now through Thursday night. Looks like a widespread 2-4” rain event for a good portion of the LOT CWA, with higher amounts possible. Latest HRRR is the biggest run yet for the metro... NAMs also pretty much in agreement, especially the Northern 2 tiers of counties in the CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 A couple reports of over 5" of rain in Davenport since yesterday afternoon. Quite a bit of street flooding and flooded basements on the local news. Picked up another 0.18" this morning bringing the total since last eve to 1.21". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 Third night in a row in the 40's for a low. Should top out around 70 again with wall to wall sunshine...pretty typical UP summer weather. Heading up to the Copper Country today with supplies and donations for the Keweenaw flood victims. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 On 6/19/2018 at 9:54 AM, janetjanet998 said: also anytime you have a closed low with this kind of moisture quite often there is a heavy rainfall event near that low...especially at night...on the north side very interesting set up over IL models have been very steady new... 12z NAM very concerning for Chicago metro....as upper level features and forcing increase tonight with PW still 1.75 or so..and Cook county is at the Pivot point ..... looks like a steady mod-heavy rain much of the day(rates .1 to .4 inches per hou..r isolated higher) then we will have to see where that heavy band sets up overnight.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 REA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE, IL 1029 AM CDT THU JUN 21 2018 UPDATE 1023 AM CDT MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES IN A CORRIDOR OF NORTHEAST ILLINOIS, AS PART OF A LARGER AREA ROTATING AROUND THE BROAD CLOSED LOW CENTERED ACROSS THE IA/MO BORDER REGION. THE RAIN IN NORTHEAST ILLINOIS HAS BEEN AROUND 0.75" PER HOUR WITH ISOLATED OVER AN INCH RATES. THOSE ARE RATES CONSISTENT WITH THE TROPICAL- LIKE ATMOSPHERE ANALYZED THIS MORNING, AND WITH RECENTLY WET CONDITIONS THESE ARE VERY CLOSE TO FLASH FLOOD CRITERIA RATES. AM CONCERNED WITH A HEAVY RAIN AREA MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST OUT OF FAR SOUTHERN COOK COUNTY AS OF 1020 AM, AS THAT COULD PUSH A FEW BASINS OVER. IT IS MOVING FAIRLY QUICKLY THOUGH WHICH IS WHY HAVE NOT ISSUED AT THIS POINT. WE HAVE RECEIVED A HANDFUL REPORTS OF MINOR / FLOOD ADVISORY FLOODING, AND WILL BE WATCHING FOR A POTENTIAL ISSUANCE OF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR COOK COUNTY, ESPECIALLY IF THAT AFOREMENTIONED HEAVY RAIN AREA SLOWS. WHILE RAIN LOOKS TO CONTINUE IN THIS AXIS BEYOND THIS INTO THE AFTERNOON, THERE CONTINUES TO BE SIGNS THAT IT WILL EASE IN INTENSITY. WHILE LEANING THAT WAY, ANY RAIN STILL MAY BE ENOUGH TO CONTINUE AT LEAST MINOR FLOODING ISSUES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ATTENTION LATER TODAY MAY TEMPORARILY SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST CWA AS THE SURFACE LOW DUMBBELLS ITS WAY INTO CENTRAL ILLINOIS. ALREADY AN AXIS OF MODEST CAPE, INCLUDING OVER 100 J/KG OF 0-3KM CAPE, THAT HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL ILLINOIS IN A CLEARING SWATH. SCATTERED CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED IN THE IOWA/MISSOURI/ILLINOIS BORDER REGION, AND COULD SEE SOME LOW- TOPPED SUPERCELLS APPROACH THE SOUTHWEST FORECAST AREA. CONVECTIVE WINDS AND A TORNADO OR TWO WOULD BE THE THREATS MID-AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. THIS CONVECTIVE AREA MAY SET THE STAGE FOR THE HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL TONIGHT AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD/EXPANDS INTO THE CWA. STILL SOME VARIANCE ON GUIDANCE ON WHERE EXACTLY THAT MAY SET UP. NO CHANGES TO THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AT THIS TIME. MTF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 These rain showers over CR/IC this morning are almost tropical in nature. Drove through one and it absolutely poured tiny rain drops in the heaviest manner I’ve seen in quite awhile, very efficient rain producers. Thought that was kinda interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 21, 2018 Author Share Posted June 21, 2018 1 hour ago, janetjanet998 said: models have been very steady new... 12z NAM very concerning for Chicago metro....as upper level features and forcing increase tonight with PW still 1.75 or so..and Cook county is at the Pivot point ..... looks like a steady mod-heavy rain much of the day(rates .1 to .4 inches per hou..r isolated higher) then we will have to see where that heavy band sets up overnight.. 12z NAM has a bullseye of over 6" downtown (in addition to what has already occurred through 12z). I don't know about that but certainly potential for things to get a little hairy somewhere in the urban corridor. Very efficient rain production as mentioned above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 1 hour ago, hlcater said: These rain showers over CR/IC this morning are almost tropical in nature. Drove through one and it absolutely poured tiny rain drops in the heaviest manner I’ve seen in quite awhile, very efficient rain producers. Thought that was kinda interesting. Yeah, and I didn't see a drop, and won't. Iowa City to North Liberty to the CR airport are getting hit hard. One station in North Liberty is over 3 inches. Models said there would be a line that pivots and stalls somewhere between CR and IC. Unfortunately, it stalled about 5 miles south of me. We don't need the rain, but I hate just barely getting missed by heavy stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 Flash Flood Watch now from Richmond IN and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 totals increasing....and rain filling in over Will and Kankakee countys..reminds me of tropical bands coming off the ocean..but in this case the lake in places also heavy rian showers over RFD again 1130 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 SSW OAK LAWN 41.70N 87.76W 06/21/2018 M3.67 INCH COOK IL COCORAHS RAIN TOTAL SINCE MIDNIGHT. 3.41 INCHES IN PAST 4 HOURS. 1.49 INCHES IN PAST 2 HOURS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 21, 2018 Author Share Posted June 21, 2018 Really have the model/ensemble signals for robust ridging by the end of the month. Could have some nasty dews too especially with all this rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 1 minute ago, Hoosier said: Really have the model/ensemble signals for robust ridging by the end of the month. Could have some nasty dews too especially with all this rain. Euro all over the warmup and it is going to be muggy as can be too. That might save us from getting extremely hot, but real feels will still be high with heat index. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 1 hour ago, hawkeye_wx said: Yeah, and I didn't see a drop, and won't. Iowa City to North Liberty to the CR airport are getting hit hard. One station in North Liberty is over 3 inches. Models said there would be a line that pivots and stalls somewhere between CR and IC. Unfortunately, it stalled about 5 miles south of me. We don't need the rain, but I hate just barely getting missed by heavy stuff. Still seems to be drifting ever so slightly northward, doubt it makes it to Hiawatha though. I'm expecting FFWs to be issued shortly under there. Perhaps even some isolated 4-5" totals when all is said and done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 25 minutes ago, hlcater said: Still seems to be drifting ever so slightly northward, doubt it makes it to Hiawatha though. I'm expecting FFWs to be issued shortly under there. Perhaps even some isolated 4-5" totals when all is said and done. The line bubbled north just a bit and dropped a quick 0.31" on me. Since then, it appears the line has gone back to where it was, aimed directly at North Liberty, where 3.5 to 5.0 inches has already fallen and the heavy rain is still falling... and for some reason DVN has not issued a flash flood warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 21, 2018 Author Share Posted June 21, 2018 2 hours ago, Stebo said: Euro all over the warmup and it is going to be muggy as can be too. That might save us from getting extremely hot, but real feels will still be high with heat index. 12z Euro builds heights even more impressively. 10 day prog but pig ridge watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 Yeah, 10 days out...but man, it will be a furnace & sauna if that Euro run verifies. The ground is incredibly wet here for the time of year, and we'll probably add to that tonight and tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 RFD wettest June 11.85 (1993) as of 3 pm today if my calculations are correct. 11.76 all time wettest month Aug 2007. 13.98 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 Have had a nice lull since early this morning, allowing things to dry up a bit and allowed a chance for people to mow, etc. HRRR showing some nice rains to back in from the east and northeast later this evening/overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 It has been pretty wet this June, after a top-5 wettest May as well. Fortunately it hasn't all come at once, so we've been spared the widespread and damaging river flooding that took place ten years ago this month. Of course that stretch was also accompanied by tornado outbreaks, something this season as conspicuously lacked as we chasers/severe buffs are all too aware. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 1.2” at CMH and 1.59” IMBY so far today with more to come. Will like pass 2.00” here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 22, 2018 Author Share Posted June 22, 2018 Not exactly sure how it's going to play out in the LOT area. Models sort of suggest the setup could be just progressive enough to prevent things from getting out of hand, but it's a close call, and with good precip rates it won't take long to put up some pretty big numbers on top of what's already fallen. Most favored area appears to be somewhere around here to north of the I-80 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.