Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,601
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    ArlyDude
    Newest Member
    ArlyDude
    Joined

June 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread


Rtd208

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 982
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Next 8 days averaging 69degs., or 1deg. BN.

Month to date is   -0.50.   Should be about  -0.80 by the 14th.

That quick clearing after rain on Sat., that led to a nice Sun.-Tues period, looks lethargic again, as it messes up at least Sun.  This is how Monday's runs looked.  Could change again.

Sure enough, the 06Z dives everything south to Delaware early Sunday, just like the CMC and EURO do.   No hang-back.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

26 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The New England/SE Canada trough is showing no signs of letting up. June will continue the big temperature departure step from May for us. No 94 degree heat like the first week of May for Newark in the forecast.

972 millibar cyclone east of the Canadian Maritimes #NotTooShabbyForJunepic.twitter.com/Br1iI9WZt3
 
ecmwf-ens_z500aMean_namer_1.thumb.png.af93694dbb169b47cf1d897c74deae6e.png
ecmwf-ens_z500aMean_namer_6.thumb.png.6ef97dace4e030b2a4760d3e14fb58fe.png
 
 

Weeklies show the same thing. No big heat through mid July.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

14 minutes ago, Cfa said:

I mind it. I can’t accept a 2009-ish summer, and especially not after such an abysmal spring. I refuse.

I don't think the summer will be as cool as 2000. 2004 and 2009 were...June might end up below average but it wont be as cool as June 2009...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, psv88 said:

Don’t mind the cool so much, just planted grAss on a large section of the lawn. 70s and a wet pattern are better than heat 

More of a back and forth between warmer and cooler summers since 2014. I think people got conditioned to the historic run of summer heat from 2010 to 2013. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

More of a back and forth between warmer and cooler summers since 2014. I think people got conditioned to the historic run of summer heat from 2010 to 2013. 

Yeah your right, almost come to expect something near those levels. I cant stand cool summers just as much as snowless winters. To be our summer season isnt long enough to sacrifice some of it to extended below norm stretches.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, uncle W said:

I don't think the summer will be as cool as 2000. 2004 and 2009 were...June might end up below average but it wont be as cool as June 2009...

2009 featured cutoff low after cutoff low in June-luckily this pattern is a faster and things are moving along-changeable weather but nothing locking in place like 2009

Link to comment
Share on other sites

48 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

2009 featured cutoff low after cutoff low in June-luckily this pattern is a faster and things are moving along-changeable weather but nothing locking in place like 2009

That record low June-July -AO may have been a 100 year or greater event. 

 

IMG_0149.PNG.adebfca2fe8fe7ee27479ee5f08ff6bf.PNG

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

that was a preview of the following winter's big -NAO and -AO.  

Yeah, that -AO kept producing until the big flip after the record in March 2013. Luckily for us, the -EPO went into record mode since then with some well timed -AO intervals.  That June and July was 2nd coldest on record for Newark and 1st wettest. 71.6F and 14.56" will probably never happen in the same June-July period again for a place like Newark.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Next 8 days averaging 70degs., or just Normal.

Month to date is  -1.2.   Should be  -0.50 by the 15th.

Yes, the models have flipped to dry for the next 10 days.  These babies should be made part of 'Sports Betting'.  lol!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

I think the GFS/NAM are to far so with the heavier precip. Looks like they have come back north a bit at 06z. 

In any event, it looks like the heaviest rains may focus on the same areas again. 

 

precip_30d_accum_newjersey_2018060612.thumb.png.3fb62ac3465db1f2cf8998ba08a2660e.png

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 hours ago, Rtd208 said:

Yeah. The Euro looks best to me for the weekend. We will see how it works out. 

It just got upgraded a few days ago. Recent runs have been alternating between a Mercer, Middlesex, and Monmouth focus vs closer to Philly and Atlantic City. Either solution seems to match the recent rainfall pattern. Places like CT may not see much as has been the case recently. 

Find out how the latest upgrade of ECMWF's Integrated Forecasting System improves weather predictions and enhances dynamic coupling between the ocean, sea ice and the atmosphere. ecmwf.int/en/about/media…pic.twitter.com/rlcysE9vCi
Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Imagine that map 3 months ago?

Yeah, New England wouldn't be happy about a winter snowfall pattern like that. Almost resembles a few El Nino winters where the Midatlantic was the place to be. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...