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June 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread


Rtd208

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Special Weather Statement

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
537 PM EDT THU JUN 28 2018

NYZ078>081-177-282215-
Southwest Suffolk-Northwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-Northern
Nassau-Northeast Suffolk-
537 PM EDT THU JUN 28 2018

...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL AFFECT SUFFOLK
AND NORTHEASTERN NASSAU COUNTIES...

At 536 PM EDT, radar indicated thunderstorms were located along a
line extending from near Rocky Point to near Stony Brook to near
Oyster Bay. Movement was southeast at 15 mph.

These storms will be near...
  Hauppauge and Stony Brook around 540 PM EDT.
  Rocky Point around 545 PM EDT.
  Centereach around 550 PM EDT.
  Ronkonkoma and Middle Island around 555 PM EDT.
  Wading River and Coram around 600 PM EDT.
  Holbrook around 605 PM EDT.
  Medford and Sayville around 610 PM EDT.
  Brentwood and Shirley around 615 PM EDT.

Locally heavy rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may
cause localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 4067 7308 4075 7290 4072 7312 4069 7315
      4069 7339 4079 7345 4080 7350 4091 7361
      4093 7352 4090 7349 4093 7350 4091 7342
      4093 7341 4091 7322 4098 7309 4098 7275
      4085 7251 4079 7262 4067 7302
TIME...MOT...LOC 2136Z 314DEG 13KT 4098 7295 4087 7315 4089 7349

$$

MALOIT
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59 minutes ago, Cfa said:

78/74.....hoping to be clipped by that storm moving SE over the LI Sound, might just miss me to the east though.

Storm directly to my north, lightning within 1 mile of me but no rain yet. I may get clipped as it slides to the SE, but if this thing was centered a couple of miles further west I’d be the meat of it. Oh well.

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3 minutes ago, Cfa said:

Looks like I’ll possibly get clipped, if this thing was centered a couple of miles further west I’d be in the meat of it. Oh well.

I just got into the meat of it for 5-6 minutes and it dropped 0.22 of rain now...tropical stuff

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7 minutes ago, psv88 said:

I just got into the meat of it for 5-6 minutes and it dropped 0.22 of rain now...tropical stuff

It appears to be moving pretty slow, which is a good thing since it looks like I’ll only get grazed by it. I’d be happy with .22” the way things are looking.

Meanwhile, my job is getting crushed, and I’d just left right before all of this.

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5 minutes ago, Cfa said:

It appears to be moving pretty slow, which is a good thing since it looks like I’ll only get grazed by it. I’d be happy with .22” at this rate lol.

My job is getting crushed, and I’d just left before all of this.

some close lightning strikes now after the heaviest rain passed by. 

Glad we are moving into July and August, when we can finally see decent storms

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Next 7 days explode to average 85degs.,  or 10degs. AN.     Even if 2M T does not break any records due to surface wind vectors being in the wrong direction,  the 850mb T's could scrape a record 24C, (NYC) for 2 or 3 days running.   Newark averages 86 during this period.

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13 minutes ago, psv88 said:

some close lightning strikes now after the heaviest rain passed by. 

Glad we are moving into July and August, when we can finally see decent storms

Agreed, my favorite time of year. Only .01” with this one though, but I had some decent thunder. Sky cleared out a bit afterward and I have a nice view of the blindingly bright white cumulonimbus clouds from the cell that just moved offshore into the Atlantic.

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1 hour ago, Rtd208 said:

Quite the spike in temp over the last hour or so.

Up to a new high of 89, maybe a late of of 90 possible to start the heatwave a day early?

Hit 89 as well, a few degrees above forecast. If the 18z gfs is right, then is just the appetizer. 

I wouldn't be surprised if our peak temps occurred after Sunday. The heat will just be starting to build Fri-Sat.

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3 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Hit 89 as well, a few degrees above forecast. If the 18z gfs is right, then is just the appetizer. 

I wouldn't be surprised if our peak temps occurred after Sunday. The heat will just be starting to build Fri-Sat.

I am curious to see what we do tomorrow temp wise, right now I am going with a high of 93 at Newark.

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