qg_omega Posted June 24, 2018 Share Posted June 24, 2018 Pouring but no thunder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 24, 2018 Share Posted June 24, 2018 absolutely pouring here in white plains, nice soaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted June 24, 2018 Share Posted June 24, 2018 Just now, Snowlover11 said: absolutely pouring here in white plains, nice soaking. Finally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 24, 2018 Author Share Posted June 24, 2018 Current temp 89/DP 69/RH 51% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 24, 2018 Author Share Posted June 24, 2018 Just taking an early guess but it looks like the mid to upper 90's will be the rule for several days once the heatwave gets going around Thursday/Friday although it looks like the triple digit temps may be overdone but not out of the question, we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 24, 2018 Author Share Posted June 24, 2018 1 minute ago, bluewave said: All the big warm ups after July 2013 have found a way to get stuck in the 95-99 degree range. I am more inclined to go with that range for now, although we are due for some triple digit temps if you ask me. Hot regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 24, 2018 Author Share Posted June 24, 2018 4 minutes ago, bluewave said: After the 2013 summer, Newark has had 31 days of 95+ to 0 days reaching 100. But one of these days they will finally break the no 100 degree streak. Well if that is going to happen again I would say this upcoming heatwave has good potential to do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted June 24, 2018 Share Posted June 24, 2018 LGA reached 100 last year in June. Newark was 99 on that day I believe. I remember that day because the car I was riding in overheated, it was brutally hot standing outside. I think Central Park was only low 90s that day. My own thermometer reached 99. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 24, 2018 Share Posted June 24, 2018 38 minutes ago, bluewave said: After the 2013 summer, Newark has had 31 days of 95+ to 0 days reaching 100. But one of these days they will finally break the no 100 degree streak. our hot spells have been mostly from "home grown" ridges backing in from the atlantic. we need a western trough to advect desert heat eastward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 24, 2018 Share Posted June 24, 2018 i also blame increasing moisture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 pouring again in white plains no thunder again. bull****!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LIWeatherGuy29 Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 Are those storms in New Jersey forecasted to make it to long Island or will they weaken? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 4 hours ago, forkyfork said: our hot spells have been mostly from "home grown" ridges backing in from the atlantic. we need a western trough to advect desert heat eastward You could see the seeds of that progressing on/around 7/9-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 Heavy downpour but no thunder or lightning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 6-24 Highs; TEB: 90 NYC: 84 EWR: 89 LGA: 88 JFK: 76 ISP: 77 New Brunswick: 88 TTN: 88 PHL: 89 ACY: 91 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 25, 2018 Author Share Posted June 25, 2018 Pouring here with thunder and lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 0.27" with the t-storm that rolled thru. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 Remainder of June averaging 77degs., or 3degs. AN. Month to date is +0.1. Should end at +0.7. The full 8 days are averaging 79degs. , or 5degs. AN. The GFS is terminal. 5 100's in a row!!! All time high broken twice at 107!!! GW Wongs will go nuts with these numbers, if the City survives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 Absolutely epic light show last night off the south shore. The complex of storms that tracked just south of the beaches produced continuous lighting, something which I haven’t seen in several years. Unfortunately most of the heavy rain remained offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 For the record, the 0Z GFS---The next 10: 85, 83, 79, 92, 97, 101, 105, 107, 107, 105 Will update as needed. Looks like Dallas starting the 28th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 48 minutes ago, bluewave said: Both the Euro and GFS have a core of +24C 850 temperatures next weekend. So it looks like somebody in the Northeast has a shot at 100 degrees. The EPS has a stronger WAR so the highest 850's are directed into New England and Upstate New York. The OP Euro actually has 103 in New Hampshire. Looks as hot as it gets up in the mountains this weekend! I'll be up in Lake George where mid 90s are looking possible especially in the lower elevations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 37 minutes ago, CIK62 said: For the record, the 0Z GFS---The next 10: 85, 83, 79, 92, 97, 101, 105, 107, 107, 105 Will update as needed. Looks like Dallas starting the 28th. That would be lethal for us if anything close to that verifies, the electrical strain would be substantial. Also we haven't had to deal with prolonged heat yet, everytime it got hot we cooled down a day or two later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 58 minutes ago, bluewave said: Be interesting to see if this is the 2nd heatwave of the season that's warmer to the north of NYC Metro. Albany, NY reached 97F today, likely due to downsloping adiabatically warming & drying the boundary layer w/ wind shift from SSE to WSW. This is also Albany's warmest temp since 7/17/2012, and the 4th hottest day in modern records (1938-2018, record is 100F). pic.twitter.com/mqHL2vohKH 2:07 PM - 18 Jun 2018 that was a pretty localized effect, GFL hit 91 and 89 and my house in LG. I think Albany had compressional downslope warming out ahead of a back door front. The actual airmass was hot but not like what is forecast for this weekend and early next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 Interesting AFD out of Upton this morning: LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... Upper ridging and an attendant surface high shift farther offshore on Wednesday in advance of a weak approaching short wave. A warm front will move northward through the day, and with broad south- southwest flow, moisture will rapidly increase, with a noticeable return to humidity by Wednesday night and PWAT values close to climatological maximums for the time of year. As the short wave moves into the area overnight, expect shower and thunderstorm chances to increase overnight Wednesday into Thursday. Despite modest flow, moist adiabatic lapse rates and weak lapse rates will generally limit any severe potential, with the predominate threat locally heavy downpours. The exception may be along the immediate coast Wednesday night, with warm water temperatures across the New York Harbor into western Nassau county and modest SRH/shear in the lowest 3km, weakly rotating storms capable of waterspouts may not be out of the question. Showers and thunderstorms may continue through much of the day Thursday as the short wave slowly moves through the area, coming to an end from west to east by the evening into the overnight as a cold front moves through, bringing lower humidity values. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 2 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: That would be lethal for us if anything close to that verifies, the electrical strain would be substantial. Also we haven't had to deal with prolonged heat yet, everytime it got hot we cooled down a day or two later. The power grid would be getting an incredible workout. This week continues the pattern of sharply contrasting weather. Northern and western suburbs should see low 50's tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 13 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: The power grid would be getting an incredible workout. This week continues the pattern of sharply contrasting weather. Northern and western suburbs should see low 50's tonight. Forecast calls for 48 IMBY tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 37 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Forecast calls for 48 IMBY tonight That would be impressive for the end of June. I could see it happening though considering the skies will be clear and the wind should diminish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 Remember the gfs has been running too warm with its 2m temps since it's upgrade last year...Seems to do it all the time regardless of the pattern at the time. Was wondering if it was more of a local problem, but reading about the complaints from others elsewhere, it's more widespread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 All the "pros" saying the GFS numbers are way too high. Lower to middle and a few upper 90's in the usual hot spots are more likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 25, 2018 Share Posted June 25, 2018 54 minutes ago, weathermedic said: All the "pros" saying the GFS numbers are way too high. Lower to middle and a few upper 90's in the usual hot spots are more likely. Nah. Have you looked at any of the modeling? 850s progged 24-25 over some places in the NE. Thats 100 level heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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