psv88 Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: So I guess it’s not just snow. Congrats on the jackpot Ha. Just glad the plants got a nice drink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 Early July torch city? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 Much less rain down this way, with just 0.10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 12z NAM coming in fairly dry for the weekend... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 16 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: 12z NAM coming in fairly dry for the weekend... The southern MA has been extremely wet this spring now summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 Finished with 1.11”, wasn’t expecting that much, but it was much needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 GFS has manic relapse as therapy fails to soothe the savage beast within: JUNE 29---94, 30---92 JULY 01---91, 02---95, 03---97, 04---95, 05---97, 06---97 ..................... We will see how long this holds up. Like the last outburst (I hope)---so don't worry since so far GEFS says subtract 6 degrees from these. For reference the normal 500mb height for July 01 is about 5800m, and 850mb temperature is 15C. Ensemble heights look to be +100m, and 850's +5C., so a string of 90's not going to be a surprise if it is mostly sunny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 21, 2018 Author Share Posted June 21, 2018 Current temp 87/DP 57/RH 38% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 First 594 dam ridge in the East to start July since 2013? http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/2013/us0705j5.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 1 minute ago, bluewave said: First 594 dam ridge in the East to start July since 2013? http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/2013/us0705j5.php How hot is this in terms of practical wx? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 6 minutes ago, bluewave said: First 594 dam ridge in the East to start July since 2013? http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/2013/us0705j5.php Those heights in CA./NV. differ by 250M from the OP. I think the flatter pattern with AN heights, is more likely. I use add/subtract 1 degree at 2M for every +/-10meters of anomaly. For 850's if vertical mixing is good, I would add/subtract 2 degrees F for each +/- degree of anomaly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 21, 2018 Share Posted June 21, 2018 two of my analogs are 1963 and 1968...it was 98 on July 1st 1963 and 97 on July 1st 1968...they have model support now...kiss of death... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted June 22, 2018 Share Posted June 22, 2018 legit for 4th of July Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 22, 2018 Share Posted June 22, 2018 Next 8 days averaging 75degs., or about a 1deg. AN. Month to date is +0.7. Should be slightly more by the 30th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted June 22, 2018 Share Posted June 22, 2018 Really impressive warmth on last night's Euro day 10 http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ECMWF0.5_0z/tr24f240.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted June 22, 2018 Share Posted June 22, 2018 ^I'm actually glad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 22, 2018 Share Posted June 22, 2018 2 hours ago, bluewave said: Looks like it's a hot start to July before the ridge pulls back to the Plains a few days later. https://lab.weathermodels.com/models/ecmwf/eps_global_probs.php Good. Just planted some grass which is starting to grow, dont need record heat lasting too long. also will be without AC for 2-3 days when work being done at my house next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 22, 2018 Author Share Posted June 22, 2018 3 hours ago, bluewave said: Looks like it's a hot start to July before the ridge pulls back to the Plains a few days later. https://lab.weathermodels.com/models/ecmwf/eps_global_probs.php If the Euro is correct and the ridge pulls back to the plains wouldn't that put us in the "Ring of Fire" for storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 22, 2018 Share Posted June 22, 2018 10 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: If the Euro is correct and the ridge pulls back to the plains wouldn't that put us in the "Ring of Fire" for storms? Yeah, the ring of fire convection gets going next week as piece of the Plains heat begins to surge toward our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted June 22, 2018 Share Posted June 22, 2018 How hot are we thinking, y'all? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 22, 2018 Author Share Posted June 22, 2018 1 minute ago, bluewave said: Yeah, the ring of fire convection gets going next week as piece of the Plains heat begins to surge toward our area. Looks like another few days or so of 90+ temps is a good bet to start next month, it could be a hot July 4th holiday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 22, 2018 Author Share Posted June 22, 2018 1 minute ago, LurkerBoy said: How hot are we thinking, y'all? Just a guess at this point but probably mid-upper 90's temperature potential for at least a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 22, 2018 Share Posted June 22, 2018 29 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Looks like another few days or so of 90+ temps is a good bet to start next month, it could be a hot July 4th holiday. We could start seeing the first 90's of that warm up later next week as the ridge begins expanding to the east. That's around the time the models show MCS development over the MW/GL moving eastward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 22, 2018 Share Posted June 22, 2018 GFSx already has 3 90's just this month. I think last 3 days of the month will be +10, and raise whole month by a degree to finish at +2. SST is 70 already, so forget 'sea breeze to the rescue' talk. I say 100 for Newark by July 08. This mark will fall during hottest part of summer, when RWTT shows a trough out west and ridging here. (late July to Aug. 05) I will be delighted to be all wrong here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 22, 2018 Share Posted June 22, 2018 latest euro has at least 5 days in a row of 90+ starting thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 22, 2018 Share Posted June 22, 2018 i noticed the high PWATS on the euro but was surprised to see little precip east of the delaware until late day... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 22, 2018 Share Posted June 22, 2018 4 minutes ago, forkyfork said: latest euro has at least 5 days in a row of 90+ starting thursday I think some excessive heat type days are possible, at least 95/70 type stuff with some spots touching 100. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 23, 2018 Share Posted June 23, 2018 I want to track hurricanes Pretty boring right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 23, 2018 Share Posted June 23, 2018 Picked up 0.18" rain just before midnight...High temp of 70 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 23, 2018 Share Posted June 23, 2018 Next 8 days averaging 76degs., or 2degs. AN. Month to date is +0.5. Should end June at +0.9, or 72.3. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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